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modeled baseline; rows rank by absolute residual with footprint share as the tiebreaker.","This module describes modeled geography versus county election results, not individual behavior."],"timeline":[{"year":2024,"demVoteShare":51.8,"repVoteShare":48.2,"demMarginPct":3.62,"ciLower":-5.96,"ciUpper":11.7,"method":"anchored_ancestry_model","reliability":"LOW","modelVersion":"v1-public-release-2000-2024","summaryLabel":"R+6 to D+12 (Estimated range)"},{"year":2020,"demVoteShare":54.9,"repVoteShare":45.1,"demMarginPct":9.83,"ciLower":-1.63,"ciUpper":18.78,"method":"anchored_ancestry_model","reliability":"LOW","modelVersion":"v1-public-release-2000-2024","summaryLabel":"R+2 to D+19 (Estimated range)"},{"year":2016,"demVoteShare":53.6,"repVoteShare":46.4,"demMarginPct":7.28,"ciLower":-4.79,"ciUpper":16.24,"method":"anchored_ancestry_model","reliability":"LOW","modelVersion":"v1-public-release-2000-2024","summaryLabel":"R+5 to D+16 (Estimated 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(Estimated range)"}],"politicsSummary":{"latestYear":2024,"latestMarginPct":3.62,"ciLower":-5.96,"ciUpper":11.7,"method":"anchored_ancestry_model","reliability":"LOW","modelVersion":"v1-public-release-2000-2024","summaryLabel":"R+6 to D+12 (Estimated range)"},"related":[{"slug":"native_hawaiian","name":"Native Hawaiian","href":"/ancestry/native_hawaiian","relationship":"Same family","releaseLabel":"EXPERIMENTAL","indexStatus":"noindex","confidenceLabel":"Modeled","shareOfPopulationPct":0.05,"shareOfAdherentsPct":null},{"slug":"chamorro","name":"Chamorro","href":"/ancestry/chamorro","relationship":"Same family","releaseLabel":"EXPERIMENTAL","indexStatus":"noindex","confidenceLabel":"Estimated range","shareOfPopulationPct":0.02,"shareOfAdherentsPct":null},{"slug":"fijian","name":"Fijian","href":"/ancestry/fijian","relationship":"Same 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