akashic
1876–2024
Arcadia, FL·Florida

Arcadia, FL has voted Republican in twelve straight presidential elections — R+43 in 2024.

A small citrus-belt metro where Latino voter registration has surged past 40%

1876 — 2024·38 elections
FL
LatestR+43in 2024
TypologyFlorida Surgecluster typology
Population35,3862024 ACS

Arcadia, FL, Florida: Florida Surge metro. In 2024, voted R+43%. Democratic peak: D+59 in 1912.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+43MIT Election Lab
Political typology
Florida SurgeAkashic typology
Population
35,3862024 5-year
Median household income
$54,4172024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
60.8%2024 5-year
Black
12.5%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
30.1%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+59 in 1912MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+55 in 1972MIT Election Lab
2024 presidential election
Arcadia, FL
TrumpR+43
—
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Donald Trump ✓Republican71.2%8,888
Kamala HarrisDemocratic28.2%3,525
OtherAll other candidates0.6%75
D+60
R+60
1 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1876 to 2024. Most recent: −42.9% in 2024.flipped R · 1980−42.9%DR18762024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
1876No data
1880No data
1884No data
1888No data
1892No data
1896No data
1900No data
1904+52.5%
1908+52.1%
1912+58.5%
1916+53.2%
1920+36.9%
1924+44.9%
1928−29.4%
1932+52.5%
1936+48.0%
1940+56.4%
1944+52.1%
1948+28.2%
1952+17.6%
1956+3.2%
1960−0.2%
1964−5.6%
1968−4.1%
1972−55.2%
1976+14.8%
1980−10.2%
1984−35.3%
1988−31.9%
1992−5.7%
1996−0.7%
2000−12.0%
2004−16.9%
2008−12.3%
2012−14.3%
2016−27.7%
2020−32.0%
2024−42.9%
DemocraticRepublican
38 presidential elections
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−42.9%
3,5258,88812,488
R
−32.0%
4,2598,31312,659
R
−27.7%
3,7816,77810,818
R
−14.3%
4,1745,5879,865
R
−12.3%
4,3835,63210,131
R
−16.9%
3,9135,5249,510
R
−12.0%
3,3214,2567,812
R
−0.7%
3,2223,2757,492
R
−5.7%
2,6463,0707,429
R
−31.9%
2,1814,2436,464
R
−35.3%
2,3044,8227,129
R
−10.2%
2,7133,3566,285
D
+14.8%
2,7152,0004,822
R
−55.2%
8522,9583,813
O
−4.1%
9371,1034,094
R
−5.6%
1,7771,9863,763
R
−0.2%
1,6801,6873,367
D
+3.2%
1,3151,2342,549
D
+17.6%
1,7921,2563,048
D
+28.2%
1,1575692,082
D
+52.1%
1,7225432,265
D
+56.4%
1,8885262,414
D
+48.0%
1,5945602,154
D
+52.5%
1,6245062,130
R
−29.4%
7481,3822,158
D
+44.9%
641230915
D
+36.9%
2,4961,0773,844
D
+53.2%
1,7553852,576
D
+58.5%
8471101,259
D
+52.1%
9922441,437
D
+52.5%
7211881,016
—
No data
———
—
No data
———
—
No data
———
—
No data
———
—
No data
———
—
No data
———
—
No data
———

Demographics

2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
English
9.3%
German
7.4%
American
7.3%
Irish
7.2%
Italian
2.4%
French
2.4%
Scottish
1.8%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 43.5 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
1.1%
85+
1.5%
4.4%
75–84
3.9%
6.3%
65–74
6.6%
6.3%
55–64
5.8%
7.7%
45–54
4.5%
7.9%
35–44
5.0%
8.4%
25–34
4.7%
4.8%
18–24
3.2%
6.9%
5–17
6.0%
1.3%
<5
3.8%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Median household income
Inflation-adjusted dollars
$54,417
Arcadia, FL ranks near the middle of US counties.
Arcadia, FL$54,417
Florida$74,568
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
24.1%
Children face higher poverty than working-age adults.
Children under 1834.8%
Working age (18–64)22.9%
Seniors (65+)13.9%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
77.6%
speak English only
Spanish19.8%
Other Indo-European2.5%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.1%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Baptist
12.9%
Other Christian
6.8%
Catholic & Orthodox
5.6%
Methodist
5.3%
Mainline Protestant
1.8%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.4%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 66.2% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

DeSoto County's agricultural economy anchors Arcadia's working-class electorate, and rapid growth in Hispanic residents — many tied to cattle ranching and orange groves — has reshaped registration patterns faster than statewide trends suggest.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of fifty-nine points in 1912 and a Republican high of fifty-five points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved eleven points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was forty-three points.

A population of 35,386, a 61% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $54,417 describe the metro.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Arcadia, FL, Florida. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/11580/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Arcadia, FL, Florida vote in 2024?
In 2024, Arcadia, FL, Florida voted Republican by 42.9 points (R+43), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 12,488 votes cast, 3,525 went Democratic and 8,888 went Republican.
What is Arcadia, FL, Florida's political typology?
Akashic places Arcadia, FL, Florida in the "Florida Surge" typology. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the metro has voted Democratic 14 times, Republican 16 times, and other 1 times.
When did Arcadia, FL, Florida last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Arcadia, FL, Florida voted Democratic was 1976.
How many people live in Arcadia, FL, Florida?
Arcadia, FL, Florida has a population of 35,386 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Arcadia, FL, Florida?
Median household income in Arcadia, FL, Florida is $54,417 — below the national median of $80,734. The Florida state median is $74,568.
What is the political history of Arcadia, FL, Florida?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Arcadia, FL, Florida from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 14 went Democratic and 16 went Republican. The metro's typology — "Florida Surge" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.