Arkansas City-Winfield, KS, Kansas: Stable Rural Right metro. In 2024, voted R+40%. Republican peak: R+63 in 1928.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+40MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Stable Rural RightAkashic typology
- Population
- 34,4112024 5-year
- Median household income
- $57,8782024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 80.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 2.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 12.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+20 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+63 in 1928MIT Election Lab
| Donald Trump ✓Republican | 69.1% | 9,360 |
|---|---|---|
| Kamala HarrisDemocratic | 28.9% | 3,919 |
| OtherAll other candidates | 2.0% | 275 |
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | −49.3% |
| 1896 | +8.5% |
| 1900 | −3.3% |
| 1904 | −38.8% |
| 1908 | +6.9% |
| 1912 | +20.2% |
| 1916 | +5.5% |
| 1920 | −21.1% |
| 1924 | −36.8% |
| 1928 | −62.9% |
| 1932 | +6.0% |
| 1936 | +12.6% |
| 1940 | −8.7% |
| 1944 | −12.4% |
| 1948 | −6.8% |
| 1952 | −36.9% |
| 1956 | −28.3% |
| 1960 | −24.6% |
| 1964 | +3.4% |
| 1968 | −20.6% |
| 1972 | −46.0% |
| 1976 | −2.8% |
| 1980 | −21.4% |
| 1984 | −31.3% |
| 1988 | −11.1% |
| 1992 | −0.1% |
| 1996 | −14.7% |
| 2000 | −17.9% |
| 2004 | −31.8% |
| 2008 | −25.2% |
| 2012 | −29.6% |
| 2016 | −37.4% |
| 2020 | −37.8% |
| 2024 | −40.1% |
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 3,919 | 9,360 | 13,554 | ||
| R | 4,273 | 9,656 | 14,231 | ||
| R | 3,551 | 8,270 | 12,621 | ||
| R | 4,319 | 8,081 | 12,710 | ||
| R | 5,012 | 8,492 | 13,787 | ||
| R | 4,818 | 9,407 | 14,447 | ||
| R | 5,535 | 8,080 | 14,210 | ||
| R | 5,588 | 7,872 | 15,499 | ||
| R | 5,405 | 5,422 | 15,784 | ||
| R | 6,186 | 7,778 | 14,286 | ||
| R | 5,193 | 10,008 | 15,399 | ||
| R | 5,474 | 8,749 | 15,312 | ||
| R | 7,095 | 7,513 | 14,931 | ||
| R | 3,592 | 10,332 | 14,653 | ||
| R | 5,014 | 8,070 | 14,861 | ||
| D | 7,591 | 7,092 | 14,797 | ||
| R | 6,205 | 10,276 | 16,580 | ||
| R | 3,753 | 6,734 | 10,533 | ||
| R | 5,242 | 11,454 | 16,812 | ||
| R | 7,042 | 8,102 | 15,541 | ||
| R | 6,577 | 8,453 | 15,120 | ||
| R | 8,115 | 9,684 | 17,935 | ||
| D | 10,805 | 8,378 | 19,255 | ||
| D | 8,681 | 7,657 | 17,126 | ||
| R | 2,818 | 12,701 | 15,721 | ||
| R | 3,161 | 8,529 | 14,577 | ||
| R | 4,733 | 7,352 | 12,414 | ||
| D | 5,962 | 5,297 | 12,075 | ||
| O | 2,539 | 1,113 | 7,066 | ||
| D | 2,995 | 2,578 | 6,078 | ||
| R | 1,456 | 3,961 | 6,459 | ||
| R | 3,436 | 3,679 | 7,289 | ||
| D | 3,410 | 2,871 | 6,360 | ||
| O | 0 | 3,896 | 7,909 | ||
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Demographics
Straddling the Oklahoma border in south-central Kansas, the Arkansas City–Winfield metro has long trended heavily Republican in federal races, with its economy historically tied to refining, wheat farming, and light manufacturing.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of twenty points in 1912 and a Republican high of sixty-three points in 1928. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved two points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was forty points.
A population of 34,411, a 80% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $57,878 describe the metro.
Compare two places, side by side
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Arkansas City-Winfield, KS, Kansas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/11680/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.