Bakersfield-Delano, CA, California: New American metro. In 2024, voted R+21%. Democratic peak: D+52 in 1912.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+21MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- New AmericanAkashic typology
- Population
- 915,0752024 5-year
- Median household income
- $70,2102024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 43.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 5.1%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 56.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+52 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+34 in 2004MIT Election Lab
| Donald Trump ✓Republican | 59.3% | 167,879 |
|---|---|---|
| Kamala HarrisDemocratic | 38.2% | 108,241 |
| OtherAll other candidates | 2.5% | 7,126 |
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | +20.6% |
| 1880 | +17.5% |
| 1884 | +14.1% |
| 1888 | +14.5% |
| 1892 | +10.9% |
| 1896 | +10.2% |
| 1900 | +7.2% |
| 1904 | −13.9% |
| 1908 | −1.1% |
| 1912 | +51.7% |
| 1916 | +24.7% |
| 1920 | −6.8% |
| 1924 | −29.2% |
| 1928 | −26.2% |
| 1932 | +45.2% |
| 1936 | +50.4% |
| 1940 | +24.5% |
| 1944 | +11.6% |
| 1948 | +14.6% |
| 1952 | −10.4% |
| 1956 | −3.0% |
| 1960 | −1.3% |
| 1964 | +17.5% |
| 1968 | −4.1% |
| 1972 | −25.0% |
| 1976 | −6.7% |
| 1980 | −26.0% |
| 1984 | −31.0% |
| 1988 | −24.1% |
| 1992 | −11.3% |
| 1996 | −17.2% |
| 2000 | −24.5% |
| 2004 | −34.0% |
| 2008 | −17.7% |
| 2012 | −16.7% |
| 2016 | −12.7% |
| 2020 | −10.2% |
| 2024 | −21.1% |
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 108,241 | 167,879 | 283,246 | ||
| R | 133,366 | 164,484 | 305,292 | ||
| R | 98,689 | 129,584 | 244,163 | ||
| R | 89,495 | 126,618 | 222,189 | ||
| R | 93,457 | 134,793 | 233,808 | ||
| R | 68,603 | 140,417 | 211,174 | ||
| R | 66,003 | 110,663 | 182,308 | ||
| R | 62,658 | 92,151 | 171,391 | ||
| R | 60,510 | 80,762 | 179,263 | ||
| R | 55,083 | 90,550 | 147,293 | ||
| R | 49,567 | 94,776 | 145,744 | ||
| R | 41,097 | 72,842 | 122,121 | ||
| R | 50,567 | 58,023 | 110,961 | ||
| R | 41,937 | 71,686 | 119,193 | ||
| R | 49,284 | 53,990 | 115,832 | ||
| D | 64,174 | 45,014 | 109,308 | ||
| R | 51,440 | 52,800 | 104,705 | ||
| R | 43,533 | 46,220 | 90,075 | ||
| R | 36,151 | 44,600 | 81,332 | ||
| D | 33,029 | 24,464 | 58,811 | ||
| D | 26,205 | 20,730 | 47,161 | ||
| D | 32,202 | 19,445 | 52,126 | ||
| D | 25,726 | 8,345 | 34,479 | ||
| D | 19,634 | 7,011 | 27,920 | ||
| R | 8,541 | 14,692 | 23,445 | ||
| R | 3,159 | 8,646 | 18,763 | ||
| R | 6,095 | 7,079 | 14,444 | ||
| D | 9,566 | 5,611 | 15,981 | ||
| D | 5,569 | 0 | 10,765 | ||
| R | 2,215 | 2,270 | 4,978 | ||
| R | 1,724 | 2,359 | 4,571 | ||
| D | 1,960 | 1,692 | 3,746 | ||
| D | 1,763 | 1,430 | 3,265 | ||
| D | 1,266 | 992 | 2,513 | ||
| D | 1,229 | 910 | 2,195 | ||
| D | 798 | 598 | 1,423 | ||
| D | 661 | 463 | 1,131 | ||
| D | 844 | 556 | 1,400 |
Demographics
Bakersfield-Delano anchors California's most reliably Republican media market, where petroleum extraction and large-scale agriculture shape a working-class electorate that consistently diverges from the coastal Democratic baseline by double-digit margins.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of fifty-two points in 1912 and a Republican high of thirty-four points in 2004. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved eleven points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was twenty-one points.
A population of 915,075, a 44% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $70,210 describe the metro.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Bakersfield-Delano, CA, California. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/12540/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.