akashic
1876–2024
Bay City, TX·Texas

Bay City, TX has voted Republican in twelve straight presidential elections — R+50 in 2024.

1876 — 2024·38 elections
TX
LatestR+50in 2024
TypologyNew Americancluster typology
Population36,3292024 ACS

Bay City, TX, Texas: New American metro. In 2024, voted R+50%. Democratic peak: D+66 in 1932.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+50MIT Election Lab
Political typology
New AmericanAkashic typology
Population
36,3292024 5-year
Median household income
$58,6282024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
52.5%2024 5-year
Black
10.3%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
43.7%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+66 in 1932MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+50 in 2024MIT Election Lab
2024 presidential election
Bay City, TX
TrumpR+50
—
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Donald Trump ✓Republican74.7%9,957
Kamala HarrisDemocratic24.2%3,231
OtherAll other candidates1.0%139
D+60
R+60
1 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1876 to 2024. Most recent: −50.5% in 2024.flipped R · 1980−50.5%DR18762024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
1876No data
1880No data
1884No data
1888No data
1892No data
1896No data
1900No data
1904No data
1908No data
1912+54.3%
1916+45.5%
1920+3.5%
1924+19.4%
1928−18.0%
1932+66.3%
1936+57.3%
1940+53.5%
1944+47.0%
1948+18.6%
1952−32.5%
1956−34.2%
1960−0.1%
1964+26.5%
1968+5.9%
1972−33.8%
1976+14.8%
1980−9.2%
1984−23.7%
1988−8.8%
1992−4.3%
1996−4.0%
2000−23.2%
2004−30.1%
2008−27.4%
2012−33.5%
2016−39.9%
2020−44.5%
2024−50.5%
DemocraticRepublican
38 presidential elections
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−50.5%
3,2319,95713,327
R
−44.5%
3,7339,84513,727
R
−39.9%
3,5008,36612,196
R
−33.5%
3,9808,04012,133
R
−27.4%
4,4407,83512,373
R
−30.1%
4,3558,11912,521
R
−23.2%
4,6967,58412,459
R
−4.0%
5,3745,87612,494
R
−4.3%
4,7595,32813,165
R
−8.8%
5,6756,78712,566
R
−23.7%
5,2018,45213,694
R
−9.2%
4,5855,54510,382
D
+14.8%
4,9713,6798,731
R
−33.8%
2,4735,0037,495
D
+5.9%
3,5953,0948,466
D
+26.5%
4,1432,4076,555
R
−0.1%
2,9712,9755,998
R
−34.2%
1,9043,9275,909
R
−32.5%
2,1014,1226,224
D
+18.6%
1,6281,0163,299
D
+47.0%
1,8544123,067
D
+53.5%
2,1566512,813
D
+57.3%
1,7004592,164
D
+66.3%
2,0394082,461
R
−18.0%
8291,1942,029
D
+19.4%
1,3538932,374
D
+3.5%
9929182,091
D
+45.5%
7482521,091
D
+54.3%
7101071,111
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Demographics

2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
11.5%
English
8.3%
Irish
6.6%
American
4.3%
French
2.4%
Italian
1.9%
Scottish
0.9%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 37.8 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
0.4%
85+
0.8%
2.6%
75–84
3.2%
5.8%
65–74
5.3%
6.6%
55–64
6.8%
4.9%
45–54
5.5%
6.1%
35–44
5.7%
6.8%
25–34
6.1%
4.1%
18–24
3.6%
9.2%
5–17
9.5%
2.4%
<5
4.5%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Median household income
Inflation-adjusted dollars
$58,628
Bay City, TX ranks near the middle of US counties.
Bay City, TX$58,628
Texas$78,476
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
20.7%
Children face higher poverty than working-age adults.
Children under 1831.7%
Working age (18–64)17.7%
Seniors (65+)9.2%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
72.8%
speak English only
Spanish24.9%
Other Indo-European1.3%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.0%
Other languages0.1%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
20.6%
Baptist
19.4%
Other Christian
8.6%
Methodist
3.3%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.9%
Mainline Protestant
1.9%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 44.3% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Bay City, TX sits in the Gulf South and Southern Plains. In 2024 it voted Republican.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of sixty-six points in 1932 and a Republican high of fifty points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved six points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was fifty points.

A population of 36,329, a 53% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $58,628 describe the metro.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Bay City, TX, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/13060/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Bay City, TX, Texas vote in 2024?
In 2024, Bay City, TX, Texas voted Republican by 50.5 points (R+50), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 13,327 votes cast, 3,231 went Democratic and 9,957 went Republican.
What is Bay City, TX, Texas's political typology?
Akashic places Bay City, TX, Texas in the "New American" typology. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the metro has voted Democratic 12 times, Republican 17 times, and other 0 times.
When did Bay City, TX, Texas last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Bay City, TX, Texas voted Democratic was 1976.
How many people live in Bay City, TX, Texas?
Bay City, TX, Texas has a population of 36,329 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Bay City, TX, Texas?
Median household income in Bay City, TX, Texas is $58,628 — below the national median of $80,734. The Texas state median is $78,476.
What is the political history of Bay City, TX, Texas?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Bay City, TX, Texas from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 12 went Democratic and 17 went Republican. The metro's typology — "New American" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.