Bowling Green, KY, Kentucky: Sunbelt Conservative metro. In 2024, voted R+36%. Republican peak: R+40 in 1972.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+36MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Sunbelt ConservativeAkashic typology
- Population
- 186,9592024 5-year
- Median household income
- $63,9332024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 80.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 7.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 6.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+14 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+40 in 1972MIT Election Lab
| Donald Trump ✓Republican | 67.1% | 52,639 |
|---|---|---|
| Kamala HarrisDemocratic | 31.4% | 24,653 |
| OtherAll other candidates | 1.5% | 1,207 |
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | +1.8% |
| 1896 | −1.0% |
| 1900 | −7.5% |
| 1904 | −9.4% |
| 1908 | −9.2% |
| 1912 | +14.4% |
| 1916 | −5.7% |
| 1920 | −13.2% |
| 1924 | −6.8% |
| 1928 | −39.1% |
| 1932 | +8.7% |
| 1936 | +2.2% |
| 1940 | −3.1% |
| 1944 | −9.5% |
| 1948 | −0.8% |
| 1952 | −16.9% |
| 1956 | −20.8% |
| 1960 | −25.9% |
| 1964 | +8.3% |
| 1968 | −28.3% |
| 1972 | −40.2% |
| 1976 | −4.4% |
| 1980 | −19.8% |
| 1984 | −37.3% |
| 1988 | −30.5% |
| 1992 | −13.5% |
| 1996 | −17.8% |
| 2000 | −29.2% |
| 2004 | −31.9% |
| 2008 | −25.1% |
| 2012 | −28.4% |
| 2016 | −34.8% |
| 2020 | −29.5% |
| 2024 | −35.7% |
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 24,653 | 52,639 | 78,499 | ||
| R | 26,427 | 49,166 | 77,022 | ||
| R | 20,241 | 43,702 | 67,370 | ||
| R | 21,280 | 38,516 | 60,731 | ||
| R | 22,900 | 38,509 | 62,112 | ||
| R | 19,541 | 38,006 | 57,933 | ||
| R | 17,139 | 31,554 | 49,409 | ||
| R | 16,278 | 23,966 | 43,304 | ||
| R | 16,690 | 22,710 | 44,702 | ||
| R | 13,745 | 25,878 | 39,774 | ||
| R | 11,713 | 25,716 | 37,557 | ||
| R | 14,179 | 21,412 | 36,565 | ||
| R | 14,894 | 16,286 | 31,461 | ||
| R | 8,750 | 20,774 | 29,915 | ||
| R | 7,497 | 15,953 | 29,906 | ||
| D | 14,487 | 12,256 | 26,812 | ||
| R | 11,188 | 19,024 | 30,212 | ||
| R | 11,412 | 17,426 | 28,913 | ||
| R | 11,005 | 15,488 | 26,562 | ||
| R | 10,509 | 10,677 | 21,880 | ||
| R | 11,439 | 13,851 | 25,367 | ||
| R | 12,392 | 13,179 | 25,647 | ||
| D | 13,101 | 12,537 | 25,714 | ||
| D | 15,580 | 13,064 | 28,776 | ||
| R | 8,414 | 19,230 | 27,658 | ||
| R | 11,738 | 13,472 | 25,435 | ||
| R | 11,792 | 15,395 | 27,370 | ||
| R | 7,968 | 8,944 | 17,069 | ||
| D | 6,491 | 4,334 | 15,009 | ||
| R | 7,014 | 8,470 | 15,766 | ||
| R | 6,574 | 7,975 | 14,908 | ||
| R | 6,994 | 8,142 | 15,328 | ||
| R | 7,178 | 7,320 | 14,866 | ||
| D | 5,189 | 4,987 | 11,356 | ||
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Demographics
Bowling Green's electorate has trended reliably Republican at the federal level, but its large international refugee and immigrant community — one of Kentucky's most diverse — adds demographic complexity that distinguishes it from surrounding rural counties.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of fourteen points in 1912 and a Republican high of forty points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved six points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was thirty-six points.
A population of 186,959, a 80% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $63,933 describe the metro.
Compare two places, side by side
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Bowling Green, KY, Kentucky. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/14540/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.