akashic
1876–2024
Brownsville-Harlingen, TX·Texas

Brownsville-Harlingen, TX moved 19 points toward the Republican candidate between 2020 and 2024.

A majority-Hispanic border metro where margins shifted sharply in 2020

18762024·38 elections
TX
LatestR+6in 2024
TypologyNew Americancluster typology
Population426,1202024 ACS

Brownsville-Harlingen, TX, Texas: New American metro. In 2024, voted R+6%. Democratic peak: D+82 in 1912.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+6MIT Election Lab
Political typology
New AmericanAkashic typology
Population
426,1202024 5-year
Median household income
$52,6012024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
35.4%2024 5-year
Black
0.6%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
89.3%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+82 in 1912MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+30 in 1952MIT Election Lab
Brownsville-Harlingen, TX
TrumpR+6
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Donald TrumpRepublican52.4%60,991
Kamala HarrisDemocratic46.6%54,258
OtherAll other candidates0.9%1,060
D+60
R+60
1 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1876 to 2024. Most recent: −5.8% in 2024.flipped R · 2024−5.8%DR18762024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
1876No data
1880No data
1884No data
1888No data
1892No data
1896No data
1900No data
1904No data
1908No data
1912+82.2%
1916+49.0%
1920+0.6%
1924+26.2%
1928−5.1%
1932+59.7%
1936+45.4%
1940+28.3%
1944+5.8%
1948+17.6%
1952−29.9%
1956−14.9%
1960+9.8%
1964+25.4%
1968+13.4%
1972−21.8%
1976+21.0%
1980+2.5%
1984−5.6%
1988+12.1%
1992+15.8%
1996+29.1%
2000+8.7%
2004−1.2%
2008+28.8%
2012+31.1%
2016+32.3%
2020+13.1%
2024−5.8%
DemocraticRepublican
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−5.8%
54,25860,991116,309
D
+13.1%
64,06349,032114,326
D
+32.3%
59,40229,47292,665
D
+31.1%
49,97526,09976,895
D
+28.8%
48,48026,67175,657
R
−1.2%
33,99834,80169,156
D
+8.7%
33,21427,80062,057
D
+29.1%
34,89118,43456,493
D
+15.8%
29,43520,12359,057
D
+12.1%
30,97224,26355,552
R
−5.6%
26,39429,54556,126
D
+2.5%
23,20022,04146,285
D
+21.0%
25,31016,44842,111
R
−21.8%
13,34020,81634,300
D
+13.4%
15,72611,75929,527
D
+25.4%
16,0569,53125,659
D
+9.8%
12,41610,19022,640
R
−14.9%
8,82911,95221,022
R
−29.9%
7,55914,01821,602
D
+17.6%
6,7784,68911,859
D
+5.8%
5,9985,30911,846
D
+28.3%
6,0353,3709,433
D
+45.4%
5,8872,1608,206
D
+59.7%
7,1461,7858,985
R
−5.1%
3,2023,5446,757
D
+26.2%
2,2251,2663,667
D
+0.6%
9209091,846
D
+49.0%
1,2604201,716
D
+82.2%
2,1461492,429
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data

Demographics

2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
2.3%
English
2.2%
American
2.1%
Irish
1.3%
Italian
0.7%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
27.8%
speak English only
Spanish71.3%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.5%
Other Indo-European0.4%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
36.8%
Other Christian
12.1%
Baptist
2.8%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.2%
Mainline Protestant
0.9%
Methodist
0.7%
Non-Christian
0.1%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 45.4% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Anchored by the Rio Grande and Cameron County, this metro is roughly 90% Hispanic and delivered a notably closer presidential result in 2020 than in prior cycles, drawing national attention to South Texas voting patterns.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of eighty-two points in 1912 and a Republican high of thirty points in 1952. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved nineteen points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was six points.

A population of 426,120, a 35% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $52,601 describe the metro.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Brownsville-Harlingen, TX, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/15180/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Brownsville-Harlingen, TX, Texas vote in 2024?
In 2024, Brownsville-Harlingen, TX, Texas voted Republican by 5.8 points (R+6), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 116,309 votes cast, 54,258 went Democratic and 60,991 went Republican.
What is Brownsville-Harlingen, TX, Texas's political typology?
Akashic places Brownsville-Harlingen, TX, Texas in the "New American" typology. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the metro has voted Democratic 22 times, Republican 7 times, and other 0 times.
When did Brownsville-Harlingen, TX, Texas last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Brownsville-Harlingen, TX, Texas voted Democratic was 2020.
How many people live in Brownsville-Harlingen, TX, Texas?
Brownsville-Harlingen, TX, Texas has a population of 426,120 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Brownsville-Harlingen, TX, Texas?
Median household income in Brownsville-Harlingen, TX, Texas is $52,601 — below the national median of $80,734. The Texas state median is $78,476.
What is the political history of Brownsville-Harlingen, TX, Texas?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Brownsville-Harlingen, TX, Texas from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 22 went Democratic and 7 went Republican. The metro's typology — "New American" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.