Brownsville-Harlingen, TX, Texas: New American metro. In 2024, voted R+6%. Democratic peak: D+82 in 1912.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+6MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- New AmericanAkashic typology
- Population
- 426,1202024 5-year
- Median household income
- $52,6012024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 35.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 89.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+82 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+30 in 1952MIT Election Lab
| Donald Trump ✓Republican | 52.4% | 60,991 |
|---|---|---|
| Kamala HarrisDemocratic | 46.6% | 54,258 |
| OtherAll other candidates | 0.9% | 1,060 |
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | No data |
| 1896 | No data |
| 1900 | No data |
| 1904 | No data |
| 1908 | No data |
| 1912 | +82.2% |
| 1916 | +49.0% |
| 1920 | +0.6% |
| 1924 | +26.2% |
| 1928 | −5.1% |
| 1932 | +59.7% |
| 1936 | +45.4% |
| 1940 | +28.3% |
| 1944 | +5.8% |
| 1948 | +17.6% |
| 1952 | −29.9% |
| 1956 | −14.9% |
| 1960 | +9.8% |
| 1964 | +25.4% |
| 1968 | +13.4% |
| 1972 | −21.8% |
| 1976 | +21.0% |
| 1980 | +2.5% |
| 1984 | −5.6% |
| 1988 | +12.1% |
| 1992 | +15.8% |
| 1996 | +29.1% |
| 2000 | +8.7% |
| 2004 | −1.2% |
| 2008 | +28.8% |
| 2012 | +31.1% |
| 2016 | +32.3% |
| 2020 | +13.1% |
| 2024 | −5.8% |
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 54,258 | 60,991 | 116,309 | ||
| D | 64,063 | 49,032 | 114,326 | ||
| D | 59,402 | 29,472 | 92,665 | ||
| D | 49,975 | 26,099 | 76,895 | ||
| D | 48,480 | 26,671 | 75,657 | ||
| R | 33,998 | 34,801 | 69,156 | ||
| D | 33,214 | 27,800 | 62,057 | ||
| D | 34,891 | 18,434 | 56,493 | ||
| D | 29,435 | 20,123 | 59,057 | ||
| D | 30,972 | 24,263 | 55,552 | ||
| R | 26,394 | 29,545 | 56,126 | ||
| D | 23,200 | 22,041 | 46,285 | ||
| D | 25,310 | 16,448 | 42,111 | ||
| R | 13,340 | 20,816 | 34,300 | ||
| D | 15,726 | 11,759 | 29,527 | ||
| D | 16,056 | 9,531 | 25,659 | ||
| D | 12,416 | 10,190 | 22,640 | ||
| R | 8,829 | 11,952 | 21,022 | ||
| R | 7,559 | 14,018 | 21,602 | ||
| D | 6,778 | 4,689 | 11,859 | ||
| D | 5,998 | 5,309 | 11,846 | ||
| D | 6,035 | 3,370 | 9,433 | ||
| D | 5,887 | 2,160 | 8,206 | ||
| D | 7,146 | 1,785 | 8,985 | ||
| R | 3,202 | 3,544 | 6,757 | ||
| D | 2,225 | 1,266 | 3,667 | ||
| D | 920 | 909 | 1,846 | ||
| D | 1,260 | 420 | 1,716 | ||
| D | 2,146 | 149 | 2,429 | ||
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Demographics
Anchored by the Rio Grande and Cameron County, this metro is roughly 90% Hispanic and delivered a notably closer presidential result in 2020 than in prior cycles, drawing national attention to South Texas voting patterns.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of eighty-two points in 1912 and a Republican high of thirty points in 1952. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved nineteen points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was six points.
A population of 426,120, a 35% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $52,601 describe the metro.
Compare two places, side by side
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Brownsville-Harlingen, TX, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/15180/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.