Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN Metro Area — Elections 1876–2024

Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN, Kentucky: Industrial Catholic Metro metro. In 2024, voted R+16%. Republican peak: R+36 in 1972.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: R+16MIT Election Lab
Political typology: Industrial Catholic MetroAkashic typology
Population: 2,270,7062024 5-year
Median household income: $82,0442024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 76.8%2024 5-year
Black: 11.5%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 4.6%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin: D+18 in 1936MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin: R+36 in 1972MIT Election Lab

2024 presidential election

Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN

TrumpR+16

—

How it voted

Share of the 2024 vote

Donald Trump ✓Republican	57.1%	649,601
Kamala HarrisDemocratic	41.3%	470,491
OtherAll other candidates	1.6%	18,487

D+60

R+60

15 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover any county for its result.

presidential history

Presidential margin, 1876–2024

Democratic minus Republican, by election

Presidential margin over time
Year	Margin (D minus R)
1876	No data
1880	No data
1884	No data
1888	No data
1892	+5.0%
1896	−6.7%
1900	−3.1%
1904	−21.7%
1908	−4.2%
1912	+11.5%
1916	+3.4%
1920	−7.5%
1924	−30.4%
1928	−17.2%
1932	+8.5%
1936	+18.4%
1940	+1.6%
1944	−1.1%
1948	+0.1%
1952	−15.0%
1956	−27.8%
1960	−11.5%
1964	+12.8%
1968	−13.8%
1972	−35.5%
1976	−15.9%
1980	−22.8%
1984	−34.8%
1988	−29.8%
1992	−15.0%
1996	−13.5%
2000	−23.1%
2004	−23.2%
2008	−13.6%
2012	−15.8%
2016	−17.6%
2020	−13.8%
2024	−15.7%

DemocraticRepublican

38 presidential elections

Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
Year	Won	Margin	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	R	−15.7%	470,491	649,601	1,138,579
2020	R	−13.8%	486,366	644,607	1,149,671
2016	R	−17.6%	405,121	593,384	1,066,652
2012	R	−15.8%	425,903	590,325	1,038,212
2008	R	−13.6%	441,492	582,594	1,037,648
2004	R	−23.2%	382,290	614,886	1,002,068
2000	R	−23.1%	310,134	503,817	837,947
1996	R	−13.5%	305,498	411,123	780,921
1992	R	−15.0%	273,071	395,359	817,785
1988	R	−29.8%	249,800	464,113	719,026
1984	R	−34.8%	235,029	488,671	727,888
1980	R	−22.8%	240,176	393,006	671,747
1976	R	−15.9%	259,323	359,176	629,236
1972	R	−35.5%	193,925	414,746	621,278
1968	R	−13.8%	217,355	302,517	617,451
1964	D	+12.8%	342,786	264,957	607,940
1960	R	−11.5%	287,419	361,783	649,242
1956	R	−27.8%	203,030	359,831	563,417
1952	R	−15.0%	245,324	331,657	577,195
1948	D	+0.1%	230,877	230,386	464,940
1944	R	−1.1%	239,061	244,173	483,512
1940	D	+1.6%	256,507	248,184	504,978
1936	D	+18.4%	267,205	179,753	476,484
1932	D	+8.5%	232,571	195,189	439,307
1928	R	−17.2%	184,853	262,207	448,754
1924	R	−30.4%	89,060	194,671	347,339
1920	R	−7.5%	159,261	186,030	356,891
1916	D	+3.4%	106,012	98,819	212,469
1912	D	+11.5%	84,928	62,841	192,271
1908	R	−4.2%	95,960	104,724	207,907
1904	R	−21.7%	65,567	105,338	183,354
1900	R	−3.1%	88,702	94,527	186,791
1896	R	−6.7%	85,746	98,076	185,295
1892	D	+5.0%	80,748	72,811	158,331
1888	—	No data	—	—	—
1884	—	No data	—	—	—
1880	—	No data	—	—	—
1876	—	No data	—	—	—

Demographics

2024 ACS

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry

Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.

German

25.6%

Irish

12.9%

English

12.0%

American

5.6%

Italian

3.9%

Scottish

1.3%

Polish

1.3%

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.

2024 ACS

Age distribution by sex

Median age: 38.2 in this county, 39.1 nationally

Male

Age

Female

0.6%

85+

1.1%

2.0%

75–84

2.7%

4.8%

65–74

5.3%

6.4%

55–64

6.6%

5.9%

45–54

6.0%

6.5%

35–44

6.5%

6.7%

25–34

6.6%

4.7%

18–24

4.5%

8.8%

5–17

8.4%

3.0%

2.9%

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.

2024 ACS

Median household income

Inflation-adjusted dollars

$82,044

Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN ranks near the middle of US counties.

Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN$82,044

Kentucky$71,957

United States$80,734

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.

2024 ACS

Poverty rate

All persons below federal poverty line

11.8%

Child poverty is below the national average.

Children under 1814.5%

Working age (18–64)10.9%

Seniors (65+)10.9%

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.

2024 ACS

Language at home

Population aged 5 and older

92.4%

speak English only

Spanish2.9%

Other Indo-European2.3%

Asian & Pacific Islander1.6%

Other languages0.8%

Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.

2020 religion census

Religious adherents

Adherents per capita by tradition

Other Christian

19.7%

Catholic & Orthodox

17.3%

Baptist

5.7%

Mainline Protestant

2.3%

Methodist

2.3%

Pentecostal & Holiness

2.1%

Non-Christian

2.0%

Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 48.5% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Cincinnati's core county has shifted between parties in presidential cycles while the surrounding Indiana and Kentucky exurbs trend reliably conservative, making the metro's aggregate margin a reliable stress-test for statewide coalitions.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of eighteen points in 1936 and a Republican high of thirty-six points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved two points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was sixteen points.

A population of 2,270,706, a 77% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $82,044 describe the metro.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page

All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.

Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN, Kentucky. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/17140/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.

License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN, Kentucky vote in 2024?

In 2024, Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN, Kentucky voted Republican by 15.7 points (R+16), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 1,138,579 votes cast, 470,491 went Democratic and 649,601 went Republican.

What is Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN, Kentucky's political typology?

Akashic places Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN, Kentucky in the "Industrial Catholic Metro" typology. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the metro has voted Democratic 8 times, Republican 26 times, and other 0 times.

When did Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN, Kentucky last vote Democratic?

The most recent presidential election in which Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN, Kentucky voted Democratic was 1964.

How many people live in Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN, Kentucky?

Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN, Kentucky has a population of 2,270,706 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN, Kentucky?

Median household income in Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN, Kentucky is $82,044 — above the national median of $80,734. The Kentucky state median is $71,957.

What is the political history of Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN, Kentucky?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN, Kentucky from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 8 went Democratic and 26 went Republican. The metro's typology — "Industrial Catholic Metro" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.

Hamilton County, OH	D +16,581
Warren County, OH	D +6,024
Brown County, OH	R +3,639

Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN has voted Republican in fifteen straight presidential elections — R+16 in 2024.

Key facts

Demographics

Compare two places, side by side

Frequently asked questions