Coldwater, MI, Michigan: Sunbelt Conservative metro. In 2024, voted R+42%. Republican peak: R+50 in 1928.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+42MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Sunbelt ConservativeAkashic typology
- Population
- 45,3002024 5-year
- Median household income
- $63,7242024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 87.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.7%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 6.8%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+21 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+50 in 1928MIT Election Lab
| Donald Trump ✓Republican | 70.4% | 14,848 |
|---|---|---|
| Kamala HarrisDemocratic | 28.0% | 5,911 |
| OtherAll other candidates | 1.6% | 330 |
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | −16.9% |
| 1896 | +4.9% |
| 1900 | −11.1% |
| 1904 | −44.3% |
| 1908 | −20.3% |
| 1912 | +5.2% |
| 1916 | −0.6% |
| 1920 | −43.1% |
| 1924 | −40.5% |
| 1928 | −49.7% |
| 1932 | +9.6% |
| 1936 | −0.9% |
| 1940 | −26.2% |
| 1944 | −35.3% |
| 1948 | −29.1% |
| 1952 | −43.9% |
| 1956 | −39.5% |
| 1960 | −29.4% |
| 1964 | +21.1% |
| 1968 | −20.2% |
| 1972 | −25.9% |
| 1976 | −13.2% |
| 1980 | −34.4% |
| 1984 | −47.8% |
| 1988 | −27.5% |
| 1992 | −0.8% |
| 1996 | +1.7% |
| 2000 | −13.0% |
| 2004 | −21.0% |
| 2008 | −6.1% |
| 2012 | −18.2% |
| 2016 | −38.1% |
| 2020 | −38.5% |
| 2024 | −42.4% |
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 5,911 | 14,848 | 21,089 | ||
| R | 6,159 | 14,064 | 20,536 | ||
| R | 5,061 | 11,786 | 17,663 | ||
| R | 6,913 | 10,035 | 17,147 | ||
| R | 8,413 | 9,534 | 18,285 | ||
| R | 7,004 | 10,784 | 17,967 | ||
| R | 6,691 | 8,743 | 15,783 | ||
| D | 6,567 | 6,321 | 14,805 | ||
| R | 5,850 | 5,976 | 16,593 | ||
| R | 5,231 | 9,225 | 14,531 | ||
| R | 3,860 | 11,004 | 14,945 | ||
| R | 4,635 | 10,224 | 16,230 | ||
| R | 6,301 | 8,251 | 14,802 | ||
| R | 4,887 | 8,388 | 13,526 | ||
| R | 4,518 | 7,071 | 12,654 | ||
| D | 7,858 | 5,110 | 13,034 | ||
| R | 4,759 | 8,752 | 13,587 | ||
| R | 3,827 | 8,856 | 12,744 | ||
| R | 3,564 | 9,215 | 12,884 | ||
| R | 3,405 | 6,323 | 10,027 | ||
| R | 3,406 | 7,155 | 10,609 | ||
| R | 4,318 | 7,400 | 11,764 | ||
| R | 5,425 | 5,528 | 11,375 | ||
| D | 5,685 | 4,663 | 10,640 | ||
| R | 2,266 | 6,818 | 9,150 | ||
| R | 2,253 | 6,016 | 9,302 | ||
| R | 2,181 | 5,704 | 8,181 | ||
| R | 3,062 | 3,100 | 6,356 | ||
| D | 2,185 | 1,865 | 6,193 | ||
| R | 2,402 | 3,715 | 6,463 | ||
| R | 1,598 | 4,385 | 6,289 | ||
| R | 3,419 | 4,293 | 7,844 | ||
| D | 3,976 | 3,596 | 7,720 | ||
| R | 2,161 | 3,271 | 6,584 | ||
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Demographics
Coldwater anchors a rural southwest Michigan county where decades of industrial employment in plastics and auto-supply firms have shaped a working-class electorate that leans heavily toward Republican candidates in federal and statewide races.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of twenty-one points in 1964 and a Republican high of fifty points in 1928. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved four points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was forty-two points.
A population of 45,300, a 88% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $63,724 describe the metro.
Compare two places, side by side
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Coldwater, MI, Michigan. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/17740/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.