Defiance, OH, Ohio: Heartland Swing metro. In 2024, voted R+40%. Republican peak: R+40 in 2024.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+40MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Heartland SwingAkashic typology
- Population
- 38,3432024 5-year
- Median household income
- $73,0642024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 86.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.7%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 11.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+35 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+40 in 2024MIT Election Lab
| Donald Trump ✓Republican | 69.1% | 13,302 |
|---|---|---|
| Kamala HarrisDemocratic | 29.4% | 5,667 |
| OtherAll other candidates | 1.5% | 291 |
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | +21.3% |
| 1896 | +27.2% |
| 1900 | +16.4% |
| 1904 | +2.9% |
| 1908 | +18.9% |
| 1912 | +34.7% |
| 1916 | +13.1% |
| 1920 | −22.9% |
| 1924 | −17.5% |
| 1928 | −28.7% |
| 1932 | +25.1% |
| 1936 | +5.2% |
| 1940 | −30.0% |
| 1944 | −34.4% |
| 1948 | −14.2% |
| 1952 | −36.0% |
| 1956 | −38.1% |
| 1960 | −26.2% |
| 1964 | +26.6% |
| 1968 | −11.9% |
| 1972 | −33.3% |
| 1976 | −12.3% |
| 1980 | −27.3% |
| 1984 | −36.9% |
| 1988 | −27.2% |
| 1992 | −8.5% |
| 1996 | −7.1% |
| 2000 | −20.7% |
| 2004 | −23.9% |
| 2008 | −10.4% |
| 2012 | −13.2% |
| 2016 | −34.0% |
| 2020 | −36.4% |
| 2024 | −39.6% |
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 5,667 | 13,302 | 19,260 | ||
| R | 5,981 | 13,038 | 19,381 | ||
| R | 5,368 | 11,688 | 18,603 | ||
| R | 7,732 | 10,176 | 18,461 | ||
| R | 8,399 | 10,407 | 19,232 | ||
| R | 6,975 | 11,397 | 18,516 | ||
| R | 6,175 | 9,540 | 16,242 | ||
| R | 6,343 | 7,469 | 15,893 | ||
| R | 5,735 | 7,195 | 17,211 | ||
| R | 5,448 | 9,566 | 15,153 | ||
| R | 5,004 | 10,951 | 16,130 | ||
| R | 5,096 | 9,358 | 15,639 | ||
| R | 5,850 | 7,526 | 13,679 | ||
| R | 4,377 | 8,914 | 13,630 | ||
| R | 5,686 | 7,348 | 13,959 | ||
| D | 8,707 | 5,048 | 13,755 | ||
| R | 5,207 | 8,912 | 14,119 | ||
| R | 3,941 | 8,786 | 12,727 | ||
| R | 4,161 | 8,834 | 12,995 | ||
| R | 4,454 | 5,927 | 10,409 | ||
| R | 3,634 | 7,450 | 11,084 | ||
| R | 4,313 | 8,010 | 12,323 | ||
| D | 5,608 | 5,000 | 11,670 | ||
| D | 6,532 | 3,871 | 10,595 | ||
| R | 3,487 | 6,289 | 9,776 | ||
| R | 3,227 | 4,841 | 9,213 | ||
| R | 3,723 | 5,987 | 9,890 | ||
| D | 3,359 | 2,565 | 6,055 | ||
| D | 2,784 | 872 | 5,504 | ||
| D | 3,754 | 2,531 | 6,482 | ||
| D | 3,216 | 3,032 | 6,392 | ||
| D | 3,766 | 2,684 | 6,578 | ||
| D | 4,239 | 2,414 | 6,703 | ||
| D | 3,311 | 2,062 | 5,876 | ||
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Demographics
Defiance anchors a rural northwest Ohio labor market built around auto-parts and industrial production, a demographic profile that has tracked closely with working-class realignment trends visible across the Great Lakes region over the past two election cycles.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of thirty-five points in 1912 and a Republican high of forty points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved three points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was forty points.
A population of 38,343, a 87% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $73,064 describe the metro.
Compare two places, side by side
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Defiance, OH, Ohio. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/19580/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.