akashic
1876–2024
Deming, NM·New Mexico

Deming, NM moved 8 points toward the Republican candidate between 2020 and 2024.

A small border metro where Luna County routinely swings wider than state averages

18762024·38 elections
NM
LatestR+19in 2024
TypologyNew Americancluster typology
Population25,6112024 ACS

Deming, NM, New Mexico: New American metro. In 2024, voted R+19%. Democratic peak: D+46 in 1912.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+19MIT Election Lab
Political typology
New AmericanAkashic typology
Population
25,6112024 5-year
Median household income
$36,4192024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
40.1%2024 5-year
Black
1.5%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
67.1%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+46 in 1912MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+30 in 1972MIT Election Lab
Deming, NM
TrumpR+19
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Donald TrumpRepublican58.3%4,698
Kamala HarrisDemocratic39.4%3,176
OtherAll other candidates2.3%182
D+60
R+60
1 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1876 to 2024. Most recent: −18.9% in 2024.flipped R · 2012−18.9%DR18762024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
1876No data
1880No data
1884No data
1888No data
1892No data
1896No data
1900No data
1904No data
1908No data
1912+46.4%
1916+29.9%
1920+8.9%
1924−6.9%
1928−14.1%
1932+42.2%
1936+29.3%
1940+13.1%
1944+12.6%
1948+26.6%
1952−12.8%
1956−0.7%
1960+3.8%
1964+15.6%
1968−13.2%
1972−29.9%
1976−1.6%
1980−18.8%
1984−23.4%
1988−5.3%
1992+7.5%
1996+6.1%
2000−6.4%
2004−10.9%
2008+5.3%
2012−1.2%
2016−3.9%
2020−10.4%
2024−18.9%
DemocraticRepublican
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−18.9%
3,1764,6988,056
R
−10.4%
3,5634,4088,103
R
−3.9%
3,1953,4787,295
R
−1.2%
3,5833,6707,500
D
+5.3%
4,3113,8708,340
R
−10.9%
3,3404,1647,593
R
−6.4%
2,9753,3956,612
D
+6.1%
3,0012,6166,326
D
+7.5%
2,6372,1666,272
R
−5.3%
3,0663,4156,636
R
−23.4%
2,5574,1456,776
R
−18.8%
2,4433,6366,346
R
−1.6%
2,8722,9665,903
R
−29.9%
1,5602,9584,677
R
−13.2%
1,4381,9523,896
D
+15.6%
2,2861,6653,969
D
+3.8%
1,7081,5833,306
R
−0.7%
1,5061,5263,067
R
−12.8%
1,3321,7293,095
D
+26.6%
1,6299412,584
D
+12.6%
1,3831,0742,459
D
+13.1%
1,3881,0662,460
D
+29.3%
1,5008062,367
D
+42.2%
1,6056412,286
R
−14.1%
6478601,514
R
−6.9%
5967091,638
D
+8.9%
1,0008341,868
D
+29.9%
7964181,263
D
+46.4%
46181819
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data

Demographics

2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
English
6.6%
German
5.7%
Irish
4.6%
American
4.1%
Italian
1.3%
French
1.1%
Polish
0.6%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
47.9%
speak English only
Spanish50.8%
Other languages0.7%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.5%
Other Indo-European0.1%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
39.9%
Other Christian
16.0%
Baptist
3.0%
Methodist
2.3%
Pentecostal & Holiness
2.3%
Mainline Protestant
0.5%
Non-Christian
0.3%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 35.7% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Deming anchors Luna County, a predominantly Hispanic community along the New Mexico–Chihuahua border where presidential margins have shifted sharply across recent cycles, making it a close-watched bellwether for rural border-county trends statewide.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of forty-six points in 1912 and a Republican high of thirty points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved eight points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was nineteen points.

A population of 25,611, a 40% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $36,419 describe the metro.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Deming, NM, New Mexico. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/19700/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Deming, NM, New Mexico vote in 2024?
In 2024, Deming, NM, New Mexico voted Republican by 18.9 points (R+19), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 8,056 votes cast, 3,176 went Democratic and 4,698 went Republican.
What is Deming, NM, New Mexico's political typology?
Akashic places Deming, NM, New Mexico in the "New American" typology. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the metro has voted Democratic 13 times, Republican 16 times, and other 0 times.
When did Deming, NM, New Mexico last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Deming, NM, New Mexico voted Democratic was 2008.
How many people live in Deming, NM, New Mexico?
Deming, NM, New Mexico has a population of 25,611 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Deming, NM, New Mexico?
Median household income in Deming, NM, New Mexico is $36,419 — below the national median of $80,734. The New Mexico state median is $64,059.
What is the political history of Deming, NM, New Mexico?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Deming, NM, New Mexico from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 13 went Democratic and 16 went Republican. The metro's typology — "New American" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.