akashic
1876–2024
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI·Michigan

Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI has voted Democratic in nine straight presidential elections — D+7 in 2024.

Anchor of Michigan's electoral math, with one of the nation's largest Arab-American enclaves

1876 — 2024·38 elections
MI
LatestD+7in 2024
TypologyFlorida Surgecluster typology
Population4,376,8282024 ACS

Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI, Michigan: Florida Surge metro. In 2024, voted D+7%. Republican peak: R+70 in 1924.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
D+7MIT Election Lab
Political typology
Florida SurgeAkashic typology
Population
4,376,8282024 5-year
Median household income
$77,5352024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
64.6%2024 5-year
Black
21.3%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
5.3%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+45 in 1964MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+70 in 1924MIT Election Lab
2024 presidential election
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
HarrisD+7
—
2024 presidential margin by county for Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI, MIA map of the constituent counties of Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI, MI, each outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic).Lapeer County, MI · R+40Oakland County, MI · D+11Livingston County, MI · R+24Wayne County, MI · D+29Macomb County, MI · R+14St. Clair County, MI · R+35
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Kamala Harris ✓Democratic52.2%1,268,213
Donald TrumpRepublican45.1%1,095,203
OtherAll other candidates2.7%64,786
D+60
R+60
6 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover any county for its result.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1876 to 2024. Most recent: +7.1% in 2024.flipped D · 1992+7.1%DR18762024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
1876No data
1880No data
1884No data
1888No data
1892+1.6%
1896−12.8%
1900−13.6%
1904−37.8%
1908−29.2%
1912−3.1%
1916−8.4%
1920−55.2%
1924−70.4%
1928−31.2%
1932+15.2%
1936+29.6%
1940+17.6%
1944+20.2%
1948+13.7%
1952+6.7%
1956+6.6%
1960+22.0%
1964+45.1%
1968+25.3%
1972−7.6%
1976+5.6%
1980+3.1%
1984−10.0%
1988−3.0%
1992+11.8%
1996+22.4%
2000+16.2%
2004+14.1%
2008+25.5%
2012+19.9%
2016+10.6%
2020+13.5%
2024+7.1%
DemocraticRepublican
38 presidential elections
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
D
+7.1%
1,268,2131,095,2032,428,202
D
+13.5%
1,351,2201,026,0362,408,987
D
+10.6%
1,110,502887,6292,100,631
D
+19.9%
1,242,859825,3292,093,158
D
+25.5%
1,360,918801,1602,194,510
D
+14.1%
1,203,845903,7052,126,747
D
+16.2%
1,061,771760,1641,865,676
D
+22.4%
963,486582,8191,696,468
D
+11.8%
907,147681,3301,910,614
R
−3.0%
783,217831,3241,628,660
R
−10.0%
780,252954,9231,744,079
D
+3.1%
849,725794,9271,776,709
D
+5.6%
878,861783,4551,692,388
R
−7.6%
755,536882,2091,669,487
D
+25.3%
951,841530,2271,665,797
D
+45.1%
1,188,876449,3561,641,553
D
+22.0%
1,043,578666,6561,715,994
D
+6.6%
847,846743,0681,593,666
D
+6.7%
751,649656,9721,414,791
D
+13.7%
584,538439,1031,063,251
D
+20.2%
651,173431,5631,088,376
D
+17.6%
537,840376,241920,622
D
+29.6%
482,625253,144776,125
D
+15.2%
382,135278,088684,323
R
−31.2%
184,959354,373543,642
R
−70.4%
36,728326,219411,382
R
−55.2%
67,677265,735358,650
R
−8.4%
79,55394,681179,536
O
−3.1%
35,34339,284128,306
R
−29.2%
39,03473,772118,984
R
−37.8%
33,24875,707112,211
R
−13.6%
46,13261,081109,946
R
−12.8%
46,09160,261110,428
D
+1.6%
46,34844,85695,332
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No data
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Demographics

2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
14.1%
Irish
9.1%
Polish
8.6%
English
8.1%
Italian
5.8%
American
4.1%
French
2.7%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 40.2 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
0.7%
85+
1.3%
2.2%
75–84
2.8%
5.0%
65–74
5.7%
6.7%
55–64
7.0%
6.3%
45–54
6.5%
6.1%
35–44
6.3%
6.9%
25–34
6.9%
4.1%
18–24
3.9%
8.3%
5–17
7.9%
2.9%
<5
2.7%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Median household income
Inflation-adjusted dollars
$77,535
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI ranks near the middle of US counties.
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI$77,535
Michigan$72,875
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
13.6%
Children face moderate poverty.
Children under 1819.0%
Working age (18–64)12.0%
Seniors (65+)11.8%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
85.2%
speak English only
Other Indo-European4.7%
Other languages4.6%
Spanish3.1%
Asian & Pacific Islander2.4%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
19.4%
Other Christian
6.5%
Non-Christian
5.8%
Baptist
4.7%
Mainline Protestant
3.2%
Pentecostal & Holiness
2.5%
Methodist
1.7%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 56.2% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

The Detroit metro delivers lopsided Democratic margins in Wayne County while Macomb County swings between parties, making the combined suburban-urban balance a reliable bellwether for statewide outcomes.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of forty-five points in 1964 and a Republican high of seventy points in 1924. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved six points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was seven points.

A population of 4,376,828, a 65% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $77,535 describe the metro.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI, Michigan. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/19820/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI, Michigan vote in 2024?
In 2024, Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI, Michigan voted Democratic by 7.1 points (D+7), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 2,428,202 votes cast, 1,268,213 went Democratic and 1,095,203 went Republican.
What is Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI, Michigan's political typology?
Akashic places Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI, Michigan in the "Florida Surge" typology. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the metro has voted Democratic 22 times, Republican 11 times, and other 1 times.
When did Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI, Michigan last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI, Michigan voted Republican was 1988.
How many people live in Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI, Michigan?
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI, Michigan has a population of 4,376,828 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI, Michigan?
Median household income in Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI, Michigan is $77,535 — below the national median of $80,734. The Michigan state median is $72,875.
What is the political history of Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI, Michigan?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI, Michigan from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 22 went Democratic and 11 went Republican. The metro's typology — "Florida Surge" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.