akashic
1876–2024
El Paso, TX·Texas

El Paso, TX has voted Democratic in ten straight presidential elections — D+15 in 2024.

Border metro where Latino majority turnout shapes statewide margins

1876 — 2024·38 elections
TX
LatestD+15in 2024
TypologyNew Americancluster typology
Population874,1822024 ACS

El Paso, TX, Texas: New American metro. In 2024, voted D+15%. Democratic peak: D+74 in 1936.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
D+15MIT Election Lab
Political typology
New AmericanAkashic typology
Population
874,1822024 5-year
Median household income
$59,7622024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
29.6%2024 5-year
Black
3.4%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
82.6%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+74 in 1936MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+21 in 1972MIT Election Lab
2024 presidential election
El Paso, TX
HarrisD+15
—
2024 presidential margin by county for El Paso, TX, TXA map of the constituent counties of El Paso, TX, TX, each outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic).Hudspeth County, TX · R+47El Paso County, TX · D+15
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Kamala Harris ✓Democratic56.7%143,431
Donald TrumpRepublican41.8%105,883
OtherAll other candidates1.5%3,729
D+60
R+60
2 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover any county for its result.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1876 to 2024. Most recent: +14.8% in 2024.flipped D · 1988+14.8%DR18762024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
1876No data
1880No data
1884No data
1888No data
1892No data
1896No data
1900No data
1904No data
1908No data
1912+63.1%
1916+33.2%
1920+1.6%
1924+70.9%
1928+0.5%
1932+59.6%
1936+73.9%
1940+54.0%
1944+59.9%
1948+46.4%
1952−15.6%
1956−9.6%
1960+9.5%
1964+25.8%
1968+3.4%
1972−21.2%
1976+3.2%
1980−13.2%
1984−12.1%
1988+5.9%
1992+15.1%
1996+30.1%
2000+17.9%
2004+12.7%
2008+32.3%
2012+32.1%
2016+42.5%
2020+34.8%
2024+14.8%
DemocraticRepublican
38 presidential elections
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
D
+14.8%
143,431105,883253,043
D
+34.8%
178,49785,110268,380
D
+42.5%
148,16756,015216,793
D
+32.1%
113,33157,621173,566
D
+32.3%
122,45162,241186,131
D
+12.7%
95,44473,838170,459
D
+17.9%
84,22858,088145,964
D
+30.1%
84,39143,622135,608
D
+15.1%
68,07947,549136,032
D
+5.9%
63,02855,978119,597
R
−12.1%
52,27966,671119,353
R
−13.2%
40,47653,747100,410
D
+3.2%
45,95643,09290,346
R
−21.2%
32,68550,44883,817
D
+3.4%
32,94730,63268,823
D
+25.8%
35,48820,91156,592
D
+9.5%
26,43621,81848,362
R
−9.6%
15,52518,84834,574
R
−15.6%
14,85720,36035,269
D
+46.4%
15,7785,59321,946
D
+59.9%
11,7592,10716,114
D
+54.0%
12,8003,81816,646
D
+73.9%
12,2831,79714,197
D
+59.6%
11,6772,87214,765
D
+0.5%
6,2316,17312,404
D
+70.9%
7,7621,2549,182
D
+1.6%
4,2404,1078,421
D
+33.2%
3,6031,7705,518
D
+63.1%
2,9142914,159
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Demographics

2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
3.6%
Irish
2.2%
American
2.2%
English
2.0%
Italian
1.1%
French
0.5%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 33.6 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
0.6%
85+
0.9%
1.5%
75–84
2.3%
3.5%
65–74
4.2%
4.8%
55–64
5.5%
5.5%
45–54
5.9%
6.7%
35–44
6.3%
8.0%
25–34
7.3%
5.8%
18–24
5.1%
9.9%
5–17
9.6%
3.4%
<5
3.2%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Median household income
Inflation-adjusted dollars
$59,762
El Paso, TX ranks near the middle of US counties.
El Paso, TX$59,762
Texas$78,476
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
18.7%
Children face moderate poverty.
Children under 1824.6%
Working age (18–64)15.9%
Seniors (65+)26.4%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
32.0%
speak English only
Spanish66.1%
Other Indo-European0.9%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.8%
Other languages0.2%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
47.9%
Other Christian
9.4%
Baptist
2.3%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.3%
Non-Christian
0.5%
Mainline Protestant
0.5%
Methodist
0.4%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 37.6% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

El Paso's population is roughly 80% Hispanic, making it one of the most demographically distinct large metros in Texas. Turnout fluctuations here draw outsized attention from statewide campaigns tracking Latino voter mobilization.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of seventy-four points in 1936 and a Republican high of twenty-one points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved twenty points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was fifteen points.

A population of 874,182, a 30% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $59,762 describe the metro.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
El Paso, TX, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/21340/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did El Paso, TX, Texas vote in 2024?
In 2024, El Paso, TX, Texas voted Democratic by 14.8 points (D+15), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 253,043 votes cast, 143,431 went Democratic and 105,883 went Republican.
What is El Paso, TX, Texas's political typology?
Akashic places El Paso, TX, Texas in the "New American" typology. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the metro has voted Democratic 24 times, Republican 5 times, and other 0 times.
When did El Paso, TX, Texas last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which El Paso, TX, Texas voted Republican was 1984.
How many people live in El Paso, TX, Texas?
El Paso, TX, Texas has a population of 874,182 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in El Paso, TX, Texas?
Median household income in El Paso, TX, Texas is $59,762 — below the national median of $80,734. The Texas state median is $78,476.
What is the political history of El Paso, TX, Texas?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in El Paso, TX, Texas from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 24 went Democratic and 5 went Republican. The metro's typology — "New American" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.