akashic
1876–2024
Fredericksburg, TX·Texas

Fredericksburg, TX has voted Republican in fifteen straight presidential elections — R+61 in 2024.

Hill Country retirement magnet reshaping a once-rural Texas swing corridor

18762024·38 elections
TX
LatestR+61in 2024
TypologyDiversifying Metrocluster typology
Population27,5242024 ACS

Fredericksburg, TX, Texas: Diversifying Metro metro. In 2024, voted R+61%. Republican peak: R+85 in 1956.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+61MIT Election Lab
Political typology
Diversifying MetroAkashic typology
Population
27,5242024 5-year
Median household income
$76,1622024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
81.9%2024 5-year
Black
0.3%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
22.9%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+60 in 1932MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+85 in 1952MIT Election Lab
Fredericksburg, TX
TrumpR+61
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Donald TrumpRepublican80.1%13,202
Kamala HarrisDemocratic19.2%3,160
OtherAll other candidates0.8%130
D+60
R+60
1 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1876 to 2024. Most recent: −60.9% in 2024.flipped R · 1968−60.9%DR18762024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
1876No data
1880No data
1884No data
1888No data
1892No data
1896No data
1900No data
1904No data
1908No data
1912+5.5%
1916−56.2%
1920−53.8%
1924−15.4%
1928−10.4%
1932+59.7%
1936−16.1%
1940−73.6%
1944−73.2%
1948−62.9%
1952−84.8%
1956−85.4%
1960−53.4%
1964+14.4%
1968−54.1%
1972−72.8%
1976−46.7%
1980−59.3%
1984−65.5%
1988−55.7%
1992−37.2%
1996−51.7%
2000−66.4%
2004−62.3%
2008−56.6%
2012−65.7%
2016−61.7%
2020−58.9%
2024−60.9%
DemocraticRepublican
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−60.9%
3,16013,20216,492
R
−58.9%
3,17612,51415,850
R
−61.7%
2,28810,44613,214
R
−65.7%
2,05510,30612,550
R
−56.6%
2,5769,56312,338
R
−62.3%
2,1049,29711,553
R
−66.4%
1,5118,0969,920
R
−51.7%
1,6555,8678,151
R
−37.2%
1,6004,7128,372
R
−55.7%
1,5885,6627,313
R
−65.5%
1,1375,4966,651
R
−59.3%
1,1704,7366,018
R
−46.7%
1,2603,5414,885
R
−72.8%
5263,4904,074
R
−54.1%
7252,9454,105
D
+14.4%
2,2641,6953,960
R
−53.4%
8162,6873,507
R
−85.4%
2403,0703,315
R
−84.8%
3003,6873,995
R
−62.9%
5932,7413,413
R
−73.2%
3332,9503,573
R
−73.6%
4873,2133,704
R
−16.1%
1,0161,4212,514
D
+59.7%
2,6426623,317
R
−10.4%
1,1741,4472,625
O
−15.4%
3527682,702
R
−53.8%
1371,2702,104
R
−56.2%
4051,4631,882
O
+5.5%
3072191,606
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data

Demographics

2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
30.2%
English
14.3%
Irish
9.7%
American
4.4%
Scottish
3.4%
Italian
1.4%
Polish
1.3%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
83.5%
speak English only
Spanish13.9%
Other Indo-European2.1%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.4%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
42.1%
Other Christian
19.3%
Mainline Protestant
14.0%
Baptist
4.6%
Methodist
3.2%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 16.8% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Rapid in-migration of retirees and remote workers has made the Fredericksburg metro one of Texas's fastest-growing micro-markets, shifting a historically agricultural Hill Country electorate toward more competitive margins over the past decade.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of sixty points in 1932 and a Republican high of eighty-five points in 1956. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved two points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was sixty-one points.

A population of 27,524, a 82% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $76,162 describe the metro.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Fredericksburg, TX, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/23240/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Fredericksburg, TX, Texas vote in 2024?
In 2024, Fredericksburg, TX, Texas voted Republican by 60.9 points (R+61), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 16,492 votes cast, 3,160 went Democratic and 13,202 went Republican.
What is Fredericksburg, TX, Texas's political typology?
Akashic places Fredericksburg, TX, Texas in the "Diversifying Metro" typology. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the metro has voted Democratic 2 times, Republican 25 times, and other 2 times.
When did Fredericksburg, TX, Texas last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Fredericksburg, TX, Texas voted Democratic was 1964.
How many people live in Fredericksburg, TX, Texas?
Fredericksburg, TX, Texas has a population of 27,524 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Fredericksburg, TX, Texas?
Median household income in Fredericksburg, TX, Texas is $76,162 — below the national median of $80,734. The Texas state median is $78,476.
What is the political history of Fredericksburg, TX, Texas?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Fredericksburg, TX, Texas from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 2 went Democratic and 25 went Republican. The metro's typology — "Diversifying Metro" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.