akashic
1876–2024
Fresno, CA·California

Fresno, CA moved 12 points toward the Republican candidate between 2020 and 2024.

Central Valley's largest metro, where farm economy meets a shifting electorate

18762024·38 elections
CA
LatestR+7in 2024
TypologyNew Americancluster typology
Population1,177,6652024 ACS

Fresno, CA, California: New American metro. In 2024, voted R+7%. Democratic peak: D+56 in 1936.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+7MIT Election Lab
Political typology
New AmericanAkashic typology
Population
1,177,6652024 5-year
Median household income
$74,5332024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
35.8%2024 5-year
Black
4.2%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
55.4%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+56 in 1936MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+31 in 1924MIT Election Lab
Fresno, CA
TrumpR+7
2024 presidential margin by county for Fresno, CA, CAA map of the constituent counties of Fresno, CA, CA, each outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic).Madera County, CA · R+21Fresno County, CA · R+4
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Donald TrumpRepublican52.1%198,268
Kamala HarrisDemocratic45.3%172,609
OtherAll other candidates2.6%9,749
D+60
R+60
2 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover any county for its result.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1876 to 2024. Most recent: −6.7% in 2024.flipped R · 2024−6.7%DR18762024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
1876+48.2%
1880+29.6%
1884+12.4%
1888+6.6%
1892+42.3%
1896+17.6%
1900−0.2%
1904−22.1%
1908−12.0%
1912+43.5%
1916+9.7%
1920−19.0%
1924−30.9%
1928−10.1%
1932+43.9%
1936+56.4%
1940+39.0%
1944+27.5%
1948+21.2%
1952+2.2%
1956+13.3%
1960+11.4%
1964+31.6%
1968+3.9%
1972−4.4%
1976+1.9%
1980−11.1%
1984−10.8%
1988−2.2%
1992+0.4%
1996−4.0%
2000−12.2%
2004−17.5%
2008+0.0%
2012−0.7%
2016+3.3%
2020+5.3%
2024−6.7%
DemocraticRepublican
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−6.7%
172,609198,268380,626
D
+5.3%
216,193193,842418,649
D
+3.3%
158,370147,406330,569
R
−0.7%
145,147147,342299,630
D
+0.0%
154,658154,598315,926
R
−17.5%
116,635166,859286,313
R
−12.2%
106,709137,625254,230
R
−4.0%
105,702115,323239,055
D
+0.4%
103,281102,203249,406
R
−2.2%
103,277108,090214,151
R
−10.8%
95,309118,711216,177
R
−11.1%
73,03793,114181,166
D
+1.9%
82,58379,377165,697
R
−4.4%
79,26286,886171,611
D
+3.9%
72,08566,130151,699
D
+31.6%
98,76651,253150,170
D
+11.4%
80,29063,799144,759
D
+13.3%
74,39656,850131,554
D
+2.2%
60,58357,958119,467
D
+21.2%
52,98833,79590,647
D
+27.5%
45,04525,53371,052
D
+39.0%
54,61523,73279,253
D
+56.4%
47,50512,93261,260
D
+43.9%
35,98513,37751,465
R
−10.1%
18,78023,04142,387
R
−30.9%
5,06017,15339,085
R
−19.0%
10,75816,40029,621
D
+9.7%
16,12113,03031,989
O
+43.5%
10,045023,115
R
−12.0%
5,3176,98013,874
R
−22.1%
3,4255,71310,348
R
−0.2%
4,3274,3499,114
D
+17.6%
4,5293,1387,890
D
+42.3%
3,45338,153
D
+6.6%
2,8222,4615,492
D
+12.4%
1,7041,3143,137
D
+29.6%
1,1336131,754
D
+48.2%
9683381,306

Demographics

2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
6.5%
English
4.8%
Irish
4.6%
Italian
2.4%
American
1.6%
Scottish
0.9%
French
0.8%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
56.0%
speak English only
Spanish34.6%
Asian & Pacific Islander5.1%
Other Indo-European3.4%
Other languages0.9%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
23.4%
Other Christian
10.2%
Pentecostal & Holiness
3.8%
Baptist
2.1%
Non-Christian
1.9%
Mainline Protestant
1.3%
Methodist
0.4%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 56.9% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Fresno's San Joaquin Valley core has trended more competitive in recent cycles, driven by a growing Latino majority and an agricultural economy that shapes voter priorities around water rights, labor, and land use.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of fifty-six points in 1936 and a Republican high of thirty-one points in 1924. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved twelve points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was seven points.

A population of 1,177,665, a 36% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $74,533 describe the metro.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Fresno, CA, California. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/23420/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Fresno, CA, California vote in 2024?
In 2024, Fresno, CA, California voted Republican by 6.7 points (R+7), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 380,626 votes cast, 172,609 went Democratic and 198,268 went Republican.
What is Fresno, CA, California's political typology?
Akashic places Fresno, CA, California in the "New American" typology. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the metro has voted Democratic 22 times, Republican 15 times, and other 1 times.
When did Fresno, CA, California last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Fresno, CA, California voted Democratic was 2020.
How many people live in Fresno, CA, California?
Fresno, CA, California has a population of 1,177,665 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Fresno, CA, California?
Median household income in Fresno, CA, California is $74,533 — below the national median of $80,734. The California state median is $99,122.
What is the political history of Fresno, CA, California?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Fresno, CA, California from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 22 went Democratic and 15 went Republican. The metro's typology — "New American" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.