Fresno, CA, California: New American metro. In 2024, voted R+7%. Democratic peak: D+56 in 1936.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+7MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- New AmericanAkashic typology
- Population
- 1,177,6652024 5-year
- Median household income
- $74,5332024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 35.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 4.2%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 55.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+56 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+31 in 1924MIT Election Lab
| Donald Trump ✓Republican | 52.1% | 198,268 |
|---|---|---|
| Kamala HarrisDemocratic | 45.3% | 172,609 |
| OtherAll other candidates | 2.6% | 9,749 |
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | +48.2% |
| 1880 | +29.6% |
| 1884 | +12.4% |
| 1888 | +6.6% |
| 1892 | +42.3% |
| 1896 | +17.6% |
| 1900 | −0.2% |
| 1904 | −22.1% |
| 1908 | −12.0% |
| 1912 | +43.5% |
| 1916 | +9.7% |
| 1920 | −19.0% |
| 1924 | −30.9% |
| 1928 | −10.1% |
| 1932 | +43.9% |
| 1936 | +56.4% |
| 1940 | +39.0% |
| 1944 | +27.5% |
| 1948 | +21.2% |
| 1952 | +2.2% |
| 1956 | +13.3% |
| 1960 | +11.4% |
| 1964 | +31.6% |
| 1968 | +3.9% |
| 1972 | −4.4% |
| 1976 | +1.9% |
| 1980 | −11.1% |
| 1984 | −10.8% |
| 1988 | −2.2% |
| 1992 | +0.4% |
| 1996 | −4.0% |
| 2000 | −12.2% |
| 2004 | −17.5% |
| 2008 | +0.0% |
| 2012 | −0.7% |
| 2016 | +3.3% |
| 2020 | +5.3% |
| 2024 | −6.7% |
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 172,609 | 198,268 | 380,626 | ||
| D | 216,193 | 193,842 | 418,649 | ||
| D | 158,370 | 147,406 | 330,569 | ||
| R | 145,147 | 147,342 | 299,630 | ||
| D | 154,658 | 154,598 | 315,926 | ||
| R | 116,635 | 166,859 | 286,313 | ||
| R | 106,709 | 137,625 | 254,230 | ||
| R | 105,702 | 115,323 | 239,055 | ||
| D | 103,281 | 102,203 | 249,406 | ||
| R | 103,277 | 108,090 | 214,151 | ||
| R | 95,309 | 118,711 | 216,177 | ||
| R | 73,037 | 93,114 | 181,166 | ||
| D | 82,583 | 79,377 | 165,697 | ||
| R | 79,262 | 86,886 | 171,611 | ||
| D | 72,085 | 66,130 | 151,699 | ||
| D | 98,766 | 51,253 | 150,170 | ||
| D | 80,290 | 63,799 | 144,759 | ||
| D | 74,396 | 56,850 | 131,554 | ||
| D | 60,583 | 57,958 | 119,467 | ||
| D | 52,988 | 33,795 | 90,647 | ||
| D | 45,045 | 25,533 | 71,052 | ||
| D | 54,615 | 23,732 | 79,253 | ||
| D | 47,505 | 12,932 | 61,260 | ||
| D | 35,985 | 13,377 | 51,465 | ||
| R | 18,780 | 23,041 | 42,387 | ||
| R | 5,060 | 17,153 | 39,085 | ||
| R | 10,758 | 16,400 | 29,621 | ||
| D | 16,121 | 13,030 | 31,989 | ||
| O | 10,045 | 0 | 23,115 | ||
| R | 5,317 | 6,980 | 13,874 | ||
| R | 3,425 | 5,713 | 10,348 | ||
| R | 4,327 | 4,349 | 9,114 | ||
| D | 4,529 | 3,138 | 7,890 | ||
| D | 3,453 | 3 | 8,153 | ||
| D | 2,822 | 2,461 | 5,492 | ||
| D | 1,704 | 1,314 | 3,137 | ||
| D | 1,133 | 613 | 1,754 | ||
| D | 968 | 338 | 1,306 |
Demographics
Fresno's San Joaquin Valley core has trended more competitive in recent cycles, driven by a growing Latino majority and an agricultural economy that shapes voter priorities around water rights, labor, and land use.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of fifty-six points in 1936 and a Republican high of thirty-one points in 1924. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved twelve points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was seven points.
A population of 1,177,665, a 36% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $74,533 describe the metro.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Fresno, CA, California. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/23420/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.