akashic
1876–2024
Harrisonburg, VA·Virginia

Harrisonburg, VA has voted Republican in fifteen straight presidential elections — R+21 in 2024.

A college-anchored metro where student enrollment shapes turnout math

1876 — 2024·38 elections
VA
LatestR+21in 2024
TypologyDiversifying Metrocluster typology
Population136,9922024 ACS

Harrisonburg, VA, Virginia: Diversifying Metro metro. In 2024, voted R+21%. Republican peak: R+56 in 1972.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+21MIT Election Lab
Political typology
Diversifying MetroAkashic typology
Population
136,9922024 5-year
Median household income
$73,7762024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
77.8%2024 5-year
Black
4.4%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
14.7%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+26 in 1912MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+56 in 1972MIT Election Lab
2024 presidential election
Harrisonburg, VA
TrumpR+21
—
2024 presidential margin by county for Harrisonburg, VA, VAA map of the constituent counties of Harrisonburg, VA, VA, each outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic).Rockingham County, VA · R+37Harrisonburg city, VA · D+25
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Donald Trump ✓Republican59.4%39,299
Kamala HarrisDemocratic38.8%25,676
OtherAll other candidates1.8%1,210
D+60
R+60
2 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover any county for its result.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1876 to 2024. Most recent: −20.6% in 2024.flipped R · 1968−20.6%DR18762024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
1876No data
1880No data
1884No data
1888No data
1892+9.1%
1896−7.9%
1900+5.1%
1904+5.2%
1908+4.6%
1912+25.8%
1916+9.6%
1920−8.6%
1924+0.9%
1928−41.3%
1932+13.0%
1936+7.1%
1940+1.4%
1944−19.2%
1948−28.7%
1952−49.4%
1956−49.5%
1960−41.9%
1964+6.9%
1968−46.6%
1972−55.9%
1976−28.3%
1980−32.1%
1984−47.5%
1988−41.8%
1992−29.3%
1996−31.9%
2000−41.0%
2004−39.5%
2008−20.0%
2012−23.8%
2016−22.8%
2020−20.2%
2024−20.6%
DemocraticRepublican
38 presidential elections
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−20.6%
25,67639,29966,185
R
−20.2%
23,66635,94060,897
R
−22.8%
19,57832,25255,474
R
−23.8%
18,71930,75150,459
R
−20.0%
18,89728,51648,009
R
−39.5%
11,99927,90240,246
R
−41.0%
9,31623,22333,952
R
−31.9%
9,21318,98030,644
R
−29.3%
8,82117,95131,125
R
−41.8%
7,51518,61726,529
R
−47.5%
6,60418,70125,468
R
−32.1%
7,19014,78523,655
R
−28.3%
7,15213,14421,147
R
−55.9%
5,84221,41727,839
R
−46.6%
3,14710,63816,067
D
+6.9%
22,35019,44541,824
R
−41.9%
2,8627,0019,887
R
−49.5%
2,1766,5898,920
R
−49.4%
2,2266,5888,826
R
−28.7%
2,4314,5967,534
R
−19.2%
3,3965,0168,441
D
+1.4%
4,0313,9228,025
D
+7.1%
4,3063,7288,091
D
+13.0%
3,7452,8596,799
R
−41.3%
2,0184,8596,877
D
+0.9%
2,6642,6135,402
R
−8.6%
2,6623,1685,895
D
+9.6%
1,9961,6413,682
D
+25.8%
1,7619373,191
D
+4.6%
1,7361,5803,427
D
+5.2%
1,6041,4413,136
D
+5.1%
2,8522,5725,527
R
−7.9%
2,9983,5246,649
D
+9.1%
3,2932,7246,236
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Demographics

2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
18.6%
English
11.3%
Irish
8.2%
American
6.2%
Italian
3.5%
Scottish
1.9%
French
0.7%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 34.4 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
0.6%
85+
1.1%
2.3%
75–84
2.9%
4.4%
65–74
5.0%
5.6%
55–64
5.4%
5.4%
45–54
5.0%
5.7%
35–44
6.1%
6.0%
25–34
5.7%
8.3%
18–24
9.7%
7.6%
5–17
7.2%
3.0%
<5
2.5%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Median household income
Inflation-adjusted dollars
$73,776
Harrisonburg, VA ranks near the middle of US counties.
Harrisonburg, VA$73,776
Virginia$93,170
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
15.8%
Children face moderate poverty.
Children under 1815.1%
Working age (18–64)16.4%
Seniors (65+)8.6%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
83.0%
speak English only
Spanish11.8%
Other Indo-European3.0%
Other languages1.4%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.8%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Other Christian
16.2%
Mainline Protestant
14.1%
Methodist
7.7%
Pentecostal & Holiness
4.4%
Catholic & Orthodox
4.3%
Baptist
2.3%
Non-Christian
2.1%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 49.0% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Home to James Madison University, Harrisonburg's electorate skews younger than surrounding Shenandoah Valley counties, and shifting student registration rates have repeatedly altered competitive margins in statewide races.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of twenty-six points in 1912 and a Republican high of fifty-six points in 1972. The 2024 margin was twenty-one points.

A population of 136,992, a 78% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $73,776 describe the metro.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Harrisonburg, VA, Virginia. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/25500/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Harrisonburg, VA, Virginia vote in 2024?
In 2024, Harrisonburg, VA, Virginia voted Republican by 20.6 points (R+21), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 66,185 votes cast, 25,676 went Democratic and 39,299 went Republican.
What is Harrisonburg, VA, Virginia's political typology?
Akashic places Harrisonburg, VA, Virginia in the "Diversifying Metro" typology. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the metro has voted Democratic 11 times, Republican 23 times, and other 0 times.
When did Harrisonburg, VA, Virginia last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Harrisonburg, VA, Virginia voted Democratic was 1964.
How many people live in Harrisonburg, VA, Virginia?
Harrisonburg, VA, Virginia has a population of 136,992 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Harrisonburg, VA, Virginia?
Median household income in Harrisonburg, VA, Virginia is $73,776 — below the national median of $80,734. The Virginia state median is $93,170.
What is the political history of Harrisonburg, VA, Virginia?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Harrisonburg, VA, Virginia from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 11 went Democratic and 23 went Republican. The metro's typology — "Diversifying Metro" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.