Akashic
1876–2024
Jamestown-Dunkirk, NY·New York

Jamestown-Dunkirk, NY delivered R+21.8 in 2024.

Lake Erie's industrial corridor, where margins hinge on working-class turnout

20082024·5 elections
NY
Jamestown-Dunkirk, NY
TrumpR+21.8
2024 presidential margin by county for Jamestown-Dunkirk, NY, NYA map of the single county of Jamestown-Dunkirk, NY, NY, outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), seated within the faint outlines of the surrounding states.Chautauqua County, NY · R+21.8
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Donald TrumpRepublican60.5%34,528
Kamala HarrisDemocratic38.7%22,085
OtherAll other candidates0.8%433
D+60
R+60
A single county, filled by its 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover it for the full result.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1876 to 2024. Most recent: −21.8% in 2024.flipped R · 2012−21.8%DR18762024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
1876No data
1880No data
1884No data
1888No data
1892−26.2%
1896−36.0%
1900−38.2%
1904−46.5%
1908−39.9%
1912−13.5%
1916−32.1%
1920−54.0%
1924−57.9%
1928−47.5%
1932−27.0%
1936−13.0%
1940−24.4%
1944−19.5%
1948−17.8%
1952−28.4%
1956−37.1%
1960−14.7%
1964+38.4%
1968−3.6%
1972−17.2%
1976−10.2%
1980−12.3%
1984−26.5%
1988−10.1%
1992+2.3%
1996+9.9%
2000−3.5%
2004−8.5%
2008+0.9%
2012−7.9%
2016−23.1%
2020−19.9%
2024−21.8%
DemocraticRepublican
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonDemocraticRepublicanOtherMarginTotal
R
38.7%Harris22,085
60.5%Trump34,528
0.8%
−21.8%
57,046
R
39.0%Biden23,088
58.9%Trump34,853
2.1%incl. Jorgensen
−19.9%
59,196
R
35.2%Clinton19,091
58.3%Trump31,594
6.5%incl. Johnson
−23.1%
54,234
R
45.1%Obama23,812
52.9%Romney27,971
2.0%
−7.9%
52,852
D
49.5%Obama29,129
48.6%McCain28,579
1.9%
+0.9%
58,802
R
44.7%Kerry27,257
53.2%Bush32,434
2.1%
−8.5%
60,944
R
46.0%Gore27,016
49.5%Bush29,064
4.5%incl. Nader
−3.5%
58,722
D
47.7%Clinton26,831
37.8%Dole21,261
14.6%incl. Perot
+9.9%
56,290
D
36.1%Clinton22,645
33.8%Bush21,222
30.1%incl. Perot
+2.3%
62,789
R
44.6%Dukakis25,814
54.7%Bush31,642
0.7%
−10.1%
57,867
R
36.6%Mondale22,986
63.1%Reagan39,597
0.2%
−26.5%
62,724
R
38.9%Carter22,871
51.2%Reagan30,081
9.9%incl. Anderson
−12.3%
58,756
R
44.7%Carter27,447
54.9%Ford33,730
0.4%
−10.2%
61,436
R
41.3%McGovern26,253
58.4%Nixon37,158
0.3%
−17.2%
63,583
R
45.2%Humphrey26,431
48.8%Nixon28,561
6.0%incl. Wallace
−3.6%
58,507
D
69.2%Johnson42,924
30.7%Goldwater19,069
0.1%
+38.4%
62,056
R
42.6%Kennedy28,143
57.3%Nixon37,836
0.1%
−14.7%
66,031
R
31.5%Stevenson20,269
68.5%Eisenhower44,149
0.0%
−37.1%
64,418
R
35.7%Stevenson23,427
64.1%Eisenhower42,043
0.2%
−28.4%
65,620
R
39.7%Truman20,683
57.5%Dewey29,969
2.9%incl. Thurmond
−17.8%
52,144
R
40.0%Roosevelt22,086
59.5%Dewey32,824
0.5%
−19.5%
55,174
R
37.6%Roosevelt21,524
62.0%Willkie35,536
0.4%
−24.4%
57,316
R
42.4%Roosevelt23,283
55.4%Landon30,435
2.2%
−13.0%
54,927
R
33.6%Roosevelt16,914
60.6%Hoover30,479
5.7%
−27.0%
50,275
R
25.1%Smith13,223
72.7%Hoover38,220
2.2%
−47.5%
52,584
R
13.3%Davis5,560
71.3%Coolidge29,757
15.4%incl. La Follette
−57.9%
41,764
R
17.6%Cox6,781
71.6%Harding27,618
10.9%
−54.0%
38,587
R
30.1%Wilson7,153
62.2%Hughes14,782
7.7%
−32.1%
23,770
O
22.7%Wilson4,954
36.2%Taft7,899
41.2%incl. Roosevelt
−13.5%
21,844
R
25.7%Bryan6,158
65.6%Taft15,739
8.7%
−39.9%
23,985
R
23.2%Parker5,295
69.8%Roosevelt15,891
7.0%
−46.5%
22,775
R
29.4%Bryan6,660
67.6%McKinley15,318
3.0%
−38.2%
22,652
R
30.6%Bryan6,581
66.6%McKinley14,325
2.8%
−36.0%
21,507
R
32.2%Cleveland6,397
58.4%Harrison11,595
9.4%incl. Weaver
−26.2%
19,866
No data
No data
No data
No data

Demographics

Demographic profile

Demographic Profile

Key indicators compared across containing geographies

Demographic Profile. Key indicators compared across containing geographies. ACS values are survey estimates and may include margins of error. Religion data may be available only at county or larger geographies. Sub-county values are labeled when inherited, modeled, or contextual.
IndicatorJamestown-Dunkirk, NYMetro areaNew YorkStateUnited StatesNation
Race & Ethnicity
White86.2%55.2%61.0%
Black2.6%14.4%12.2%
Asian0.7%9.1%6.0%
Two or more races6.4%10.3%12.6%
Other race4.1%11.1%8.2%
Hispanic or Latino9.6%19.8%19.3%
Income & Age
Median household income$58,351$85,974$84,427
Poverty rate17.4%14.0%12.5%
Median age42.939.939.1
Age 18–249.1%9.0%9.2%
Age 65 and older21.4%18.0%17.2%
Education & Language
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)25.1%40.0%35.6%
Speaks a non-English language at home9.2%30.9%22.3%
Spanish5.3%14.8%13.6%
German or other West Germanic2.3%1.5%0.5%
Ancestry
Largest ancestryGerman 18.1%Italian 10.9%German 12.5%
2nd-largest ancestryEnglish 13.3%Irish 10.5%Mexican 11.3%
3rd-largest ancestryItalian 12.3%German 8.6%English 9.5%
Religion
Catholic16.4%30.8%18.6%
Evangelical Protestant9.1%5.1%16.5%
Unaffiliated or unclaimed62.4%48.7%51.5%
Mainline Protestant9.3%3.8%5.2%

ACS values are survey estimates and may include margins of error.

Religion data may be available only at county or larger geographies. Sub-county values are labeled when inherited, modeled, or contextual.

2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the origins and ancestries reported within it.
Reported ancestry · ACS B04006
German
18.1%
English
13.3%
Italian
12.3%
Irish
11.9%
Swedish
9.0%
Polish
8.1%
American
3.9%
French
2.3%
Specific origin · ACS B03001
Puerto Rican
7.1%
Mexican
0.6%
Dominican
0.5%
Salvadoran
0.3%
Venezuelan
0.3%
Cuban
0.2%
Guatemalan
0.2%
The ACS does not publish subgroup detail for people reporting two or more races.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, Pacific Islander, and other single-race responses combined.
African American identity is recorded by the ACS race question; the ancestry item enumerates specific African and Caribbean ancestries, none of which clears the display floor here.
Below 1% of the population here; subgroup estimates are within the survey's margin of error.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Race shares: B02001 · B03003. Subgroup detail: B03001 (Hispanic or Latino specific origin), B02015 (Asian groups), B02020 · B02016 (American Indian/Alaska Native tribes and Pacific Islander groups), B04006 (reported ancestry). Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so group shares can total more than 100%. All subgroup rows are shares of total population; ancestry is self-reported and multiple-response, so rows do not sum to the parent group's share.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
90.8%
speak English only
Spanish5.3%
German or other West Germanic2.3%
Other Indo-European0.6%
French (incl. Cajun & Haitian)0.2%
Chinese (incl. Mandarin & Cantonese)0.2%
Russian, Polish, or other Slavic0.1%
Vietnamese0.1%
Other Asian & Pacific Island0.1%
Arabic0.1%
Other languages0.1%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic
16.4%
Mainline Protestant
9.3%
Evangelical Protestant
9.1%
Other Christian
0.8%
Black Protestant
0.5%
Latter-day Saints
0.5%
Muslim
0.5%
Other faiths
0.3%
Orthodox Christian
0.1%
Buddhist
0.1%
Unaffiliated or not counted62.4%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. The unaffiliated-or-not-counted share is everyone not claimed as an adherent by any reporting body — uncounted congregations as well as the religiously unaffiliated.

Chautauqua County anchors this small metro along Lake Erie's southern shore, where manufacturing decline has redrawn political loyalties over two decades and countywide margins have swung sharply in presidential cycles.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 38.4 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 57.9 points in 1924. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved 1.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 21.8 points.

A population of 125,544, a 86% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $58,351 describe the metro.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Jamestown-Dunkirk, NY, New York. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/27460/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Jamestown-Dunkirk, NY, New York vote in 2024?
In 2024, Jamestown-Dunkirk, NY, New York voted Republican by 21.8 points (R+21.8), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 57,046 votes cast, 22,085 went Democratic and 34,528 went Republican.
When did Jamestown-Dunkirk, NY, New York last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Jamestown-Dunkirk, NY, New York voted Democratic was 2008.
How many people live in Jamestown-Dunkirk, NY, New York?
Jamestown-Dunkirk, NY, New York has a population of 125,544 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Jamestown-Dunkirk, NY, New York?
Median household income in Jamestown-Dunkirk, NY, New York is $58,351 — below the national median of $80,734. The New York state median is $85,974.
What is the political history of Jamestown-Dunkirk, NY, New York?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Jamestown-Dunkirk, NY, New York from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 4 went Democratic and 29 went Republican.