akashic
1876–2024
Jefferson City, MO·Missouri

Jefferson City, MO has voted Republican in fifteen straight presidential elections — R+43 in 2024.

Missouri's capital metro, where state-government employment anchors a mid-size conservative core

1876 — 2024·38 elections
MO
LatestR+43in 2024
TypologyStable Rural Rightcluster typology
Population150,4372024 ACS

Jefferson City, MO, Missouri: Stable Rural Right metro. In 2024, voted R+43%. Republican peak: R+49 in 1972.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+43MIT Election Lab
Political typology
Stable Rural RightAkashic typology
Population
150,4372024 5-year
Median household income
$73,8992024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
85.2%2024 5-year
Black
6.4%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
3.3%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+33 in 1932MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+49 in 1972MIT Election Lab
2024 presidential election
Jefferson City, MO
TrumpR+43
—
2024 presidential margin by county for Jefferson City, MO, MOA map of the constituent counties of Jefferson City, MO, MO, each outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic).Cole County, MO · R+34Callaway County, MO · R+43Moniteau County, MO · R+63Osage County, MO · R+73
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Donald Trump ✓Republican71.0%54,426
Kamala HarrisDemocratic27.6%21,122
OtherAll other candidates1.4%1,079
D+60
R+60
4 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover any county for its result.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1876 to 2024. Most recent: −43.5% in 2024.flipped R · 1968−43.5%DR18762024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
1876No data
1880No data
1884No data
1888No data
1892+14.4%
1896+16.9%
1900+13.1%
1904+10.5%
1908+9.9%
1912+18.3%
1916+8.7%
1920−8.8%
1924+2.8%
1928+3.5%
1932+32.8%
1936+18.1%
1940+5.2%
1944+0.9%
1948+15.1%
1952−7.8%
1956−4.5%
1960−2.3%
1964+2.0%
1968−23.9%
1972−49.1%
1976−19.6%
1980−21.9%
1984−45.4%
1988−29.9%
1992−9.8%
1996−11.8%
2000−22.3%
2004−34.9%
2008−27.5%
2012−36.5%
2016−43.3%
2020−42.6%
2024−43.5%
DemocraticRepublican
38 presidential elections
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−43.5%
21,12254,42676,627
R
−42.6%
20,90953,07075,531
R
−43.3%
18,13748,87670,909
R
−36.5%
21,15746,26868,784
R
−27.5%
25,53045,30371,810
R
−34.9%
21,89845,57867,836
R
−22.3%
22,87836,32360,326
R
−11.8%
20,91127,20053,512
R
−9.8%
19,87825,50057,446
R
−29.9%
17,27532,09749,490
R
−45.4%
13,98637,20651,192
R
−21.9%
19,09930,23750,914
R
−19.6%
17,26925,78643,386
R
−49.1%
10,67031,22741,897
R
−23.9%
12,88122,16938,931
D
+2.0%
19,27518,52137,796
R
−2.3%
19,04719,94838,995
R
−4.5%
17,55019,21136,761
R
−7.8%
17,59820,58038,217
D
+15.1%
19,56514,42434,038
D
+0.9%
17,34417,02834,420
D
+5.2%
20,63518,60839,291
D
+18.1%
22,19615,36637,764
D
+32.8%
23,44411,84435,404
D
+3.5%
17,03615,87632,981
D
+2.8%
15,52414,63831,361
R
−8.8%
13,72516,38630,270
D
+8.7%
9,8558,27218,282
D
+18.3%
8,9975,98416,497
D
+9.9%
9,5747,82417,634
D
+10.5%
9,0547,30116,748
D
+13.1%
9,7257,43617,489
D
+16.9%
10,1087,16217,454
D
+14.4%
8,0705,90914,980
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Demographics

2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
30.0%
English
10.9%
Irish
9.4%
American
8.7%
French
2.3%
Italian
2.1%
Scottish
1.8%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 39.7 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
0.8%
85+
1.2%
2.3%
75–84
3.0%
5.1%
65–74
5.6%
6.6%
55–64
6.7%
6.4%
45–54
5.6%
7.1%
35–44
5.8%
6.8%
25–34
6.0%
4.6%
18–24
4.4%
8.4%
5–17
8.0%
3.0%
<5
2.7%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Median household income
Inflation-adjusted dollars
$73,899
Jefferson City, MO ranks near the middle of US counties.
Jefferson City, MO$73,899
Missouri$70,702
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
9.9%
Child poverty is below the national average.
Children under 1812.8%
Working age (18–64)8.8%
Seniors (65+)11.5%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
96.2%
speak English only
Spanish1.6%
Other Indo-European1.2%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.6%
Other languages0.3%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
18.5%
Baptist
15.2%
Mainline Protestant
6.6%
Other Christian
5.4%
Methodist
3.0%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.9%
Non-Christian
0.2%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 49.2% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Jefferson City anchors Cole County, one of Missouri's most reliably Republican metros, yet its government workforce and proximity to the University of Missouri create a distinct professional-class voter bloc that moderates margins relative to surrounding rural counties.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of thirty-three points in 1932 and a Republican high of forty-nine points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved one point toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was forty-three points.

A population of 150,437, a 85% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $73,899 describe the metro.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Jefferson City, MO, Missouri. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/27620/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Jefferson City, MO, Missouri vote in 2024?
In 2024, Jefferson City, MO, Missouri voted Republican by 43.5 points (R+43), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 76,627 votes cast, 21,122 went Democratic and 54,426 went Republican.
What is Jefferson City, MO, Missouri's political typology?
Akashic places Jefferson City, MO, Missouri in the "Stable Rural Right" typology. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the metro has voted Democratic 15 times, Republican 19 times, and other 0 times.
When did Jefferson City, MO, Missouri last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Jefferson City, MO, Missouri voted Democratic was 1964.
How many people live in Jefferson City, MO, Missouri?
Jefferson City, MO, Missouri has a population of 150,437 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Jefferson City, MO, Missouri?
Median household income in Jefferson City, MO, Missouri is $73,899 — below the national median of $80,734. The Missouri state median is $70,702.
What is the political history of Jefferson City, MO, Missouri?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Jefferson City, MO, Missouri from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 15 went Democratic and 19 went Republican. The metro's typology — "Stable Rural Right" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.