Lincoln, IL Metro Area — Elections 1876–2024

Lincoln, IL, Illinois: Farm Belt metro. In 2024, voted R+41%. Republican peak: R+42 in 1984.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: R+41MIT Election Lab
Political typology: Farm BeltAkashic typology
Population: 27,7132024 5-year
Median household income: $66,3582024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 87.1%2024 5-year
Black: 5.4%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 3.5%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin: D+27 in 1912MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin: R+42 in 1984MIT Election Lab

2024 presidential election

Lincoln, IL

TrumpR+41

—

How it voted

Share of the 2024 vote

Donald Trump ✓Republican	69.7%	8,757
Kamala HarrisDemocratic	28.2%	3,543
OtherAll other candidates	2.1%	264

D+60

R+60

1 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin.

presidential history

Presidential margin, 1876–2024

Democratic minus Republican, by election

Presidential margin over time
Year	Margin (D minus R)
1876	No data
1880	No data
1884	No data
1888	No data
1892	+8.6%
1896	−0.6%
1900	+2.3%
1904	−8.8%
1908	+1.3%
1912	+27.3%
1916	−1.7%
1920	−34.7%
1924	−27.2%
1928	−20.5%
1932	+16.1%
1936	+5.7%
1940	−13.8%
1944	−24.0%
1948	−21.1%
1952	−28.9%
1956	−33.3%
1960	−24.5%
1964	+6.2%
1968	−28.6%
1972	−40.0%
1976	−20.4%
1980	−40.1%
1984	−41.9%
1988	−28.3%
1992	−9.8%
1996	−15.4%
2000	−27.1%
2004	−35.9%
2008	−16.9%
2012	−32.0%
2016	−39.3%
2020	−39.7%
2024	−41.5%

DemocraticRepublican

38 presidential elections

Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
Year	Won	Margin	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	R	−41.5%	3,543	8,757	12,564
2020	R	−39.7%	3,840	9,136	13,327
2016	R	−39.3%	3,313	8,181	12,401
2012	R	−32.0%	3,978	7,844	12,088
2008	R	−16.9%	5,250	7,429	12,896
2004	R	−35.9%	4,273	9,112	13,467
2000	R	−27.1%	4,600	8,141	13,065
1996	R	−15.4%	4,618	6,518	12,345
1992	R	−9.8%	5,169	6,567	14,195
1988	R	−28.3%	4,727	8,490	13,286
1984	R	−41.9%	4,052	9,932	14,046
1980	R	−40.1%	3,916	9,681	14,366
1976	R	−20.4%	5,686	8,623	14,386
1972	R	−40.0%	4,395	10,277	14,692
1968	R	−28.6%	4,552	8,638	14,289
1964	D	+6.2%	7,712	6,805	14,517
1960	R	−24.5%	5,691	9,383	15,090
1956	R	−33.3%	4,793	9,589	14,396
1952	R	−28.9%	5,048	9,162	14,229
1948	R	−21.1%	4,832	7,431	12,312
1944	R	−24.0%	4,868	7,955	12,852
1940	R	−13.8%	6,753	8,929	15,725
1936	D	+5.7%	7,886	7,019	15,087
1932	D	+16.1%	8,119	5,850	14,116
1928	R	−20.5%	5,019	7,631	12,725
1924	R	−27.2%	3,708	7,063	12,356
1920	R	−34.7%	3,232	6,957	10,738
1916	R	−1.7%	5,726	5,933	12,279
1912	D	+27.3%	3,229	1,397	6,701
1908	D	+1.3%	3,546	3,451	7,275
1904	R	−8.8%	3,005	3,626	7,076
1900	D	+2.3%	3,672	3,501	7,335
1896	R	−0.6%	3,389	3,430	6,957
1892	D	+8.6%	3,150	2,619	6,156
1888	—	No data	—	—	—
1884	—	No data	—	—	—
1880	—	No data	—	—	—
1876	—	No data	—	—	—

Demographics

2024 ACS

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry

Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.

German

26.1%

Irish

13.0%

English

12.2%

American

5.4%

Italian

2.2%

Polish

2.0%

Scottish

1.6%

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.

2024 ACS

Age distribution by sex

Median age: 41.1 in this county, 39.1 nationally

Male

Age

Female

0.9%

85+

1.9%

2.6%

75–84

3.3%

5.2%

65–74

5.7%

6.3%

55–64

6.5%

6.4%

45–54

6.2%

35–44

7.7%

5.9%

25–34

6.8%

5.4%

18–24

3.9%

7.5%

5–17

7.2%

2.4%

2.1%

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.

2024 ACS

Median household income

Inflation-adjusted dollars

$66,358

Lincoln, IL ranks near the middle of US counties.

Lincoln, IL$66,358

Illinois$83,390

United States$80,734

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.

2024 ACS

Poverty rate

All persons below federal poverty line

13.1%

Children face moderate poverty.

Children under 1816.3%

Working age (18–64)12.5%

Seniors (65+)10.3%

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.

2024 ACS

Language at home

Population aged 5 and older

97.0%

speak English only

Spanish2.0%

Other Indo-European0.6%

Asian & Pacific Islander0.4%

Other languages0.1%

Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.

2020 religion census

Religious adherents

Adherents per capita by tradition

Other Christian

26.9%

Mainline Protestant

10.3%

Methodist

6.0%

Catholic & Orthodox

2.7%

Pentecostal & Holiness

0.8%

Baptist

0.6%

Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 52.7% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Lincoln anchors Logan County, a reliably Republican stretch of the prairie where declining industrial employment and an aging population have reinforced already wide margins in statewide races.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of twenty-seven points in 1912 and a Republican high of forty-two points in 1984. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved two points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was forty-one points.

A population of 27,713, a 87% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $66,358 describe the metro.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page

All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.

Lincoln, IL, Illinois. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/30660/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.

License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Lincoln, IL, Illinois vote in 2024?

In 2024, Lincoln, IL, Illinois voted Republican by 41.5 points (R+41), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 12,564 votes cast, 3,543 went Democratic and 8,757 went Republican.

What is Lincoln, IL, Illinois's political typology?

Akashic places Lincoln, IL, Illinois in the "Farm Belt" typology. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the metro has voted Democratic 7 times, Republican 27 times, and other 0 times.

When did Lincoln, IL, Illinois last vote Democratic?

The most recent presidential election in which Lincoln, IL, Illinois voted Democratic was 1964.

How many people live in Lincoln, IL, Illinois?

Lincoln, IL, Illinois has a population of 27,713 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Lincoln, IL, Illinois?

Median household income in Lincoln, IL, Illinois is $66,358 — below the national median of $80,734. The Illinois state median is $83,390.

What is the political history of Lincoln, IL, Illinois?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Lincoln, IL, Illinois from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 7 went Democratic and 27 went Republican. The metro's typology — "Farm Belt" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.

Lincoln, IL has voted Republican in fifteen straight presidential elections — R+41 in 2024.

Key facts

Demographics

Compare two places, side by side

Frequently asked questions