akashic
1876–2024
Poplar Bluff, MO·Missouri

Poplar Bluff, MO has voted Republican in eight straight presidential elections — R+64 in 2024.

Gateway to the Missouri Ozarks, where rural realignment runs deep

18762024·38 elections
MO
LatestR+64in 2024
TypologyEvangelical Deep Southcluster typology
Population42,0202024 ACS

Poplar Bluff, MO, Missouri: Evangelical Deep South metro. In 2024, voted R+64%. Republican peak: R+64 in 2024.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+64MIT Election Lab
Political typology
Evangelical Deep SouthAkashic typology
Population
42,0202024 5-year
Median household income
$49,0892024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
86.8%2024 5-year
Black
4.7%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
2.5%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+18 in 1932MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+64 in 2024MIT Election Lab
Poplar Bluff, MO
TrumpR+64
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Donald TrumpRepublican81.5%14,549
Kamala HarrisDemocratic17.7%3,160
OtherAll other candidates0.8%151
D+60
R+60
1 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1876 to 2024. Most recent: −63.8% in 2024.flipped R · 1996−63.8%DR18762024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
1876No data
1880No data
1884No data
1888No data
1892+7.3%
1896+3.2%
1900−6.0%
1904−16.6%
1908−6.9%
1912+2.0%
1916−11.5%
1920−26.1%
1924−19.2%
1928−25.4%
1932+18.5%
1936−1.0%
1940−12.7%
1944−20.3%
1948+10.8%
1952−9.9%
1956−10.3%
1960−23.6%
1964+15.7%
1968−14.5%
1972−45.3%
1976+8.7%
1980−19.3%
1984−29.9%
1988−16.1%
1992+1.0%
1996−8.5%
2000−28.6%
2004−42.8%
2008−37.4%
2012−46.7%
2016−61.5%
2020−62.2%
2024−63.8%
DemocraticRepublican
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−63.8%
3,16014,54917,860
R
−62.2%
3,30114,60218,169
R
−61.5%
3,03613,65017,259
R
−46.7%
4,36312,24816,889
R
−37.4%
5,31611,80517,338
R
−42.8%
4,66611,69616,441
R
−28.6%
4,9969,11114,397
R
−8.5%
5,7806,99614,343
D
+1.0%
6,6026,45015,272
R
−16.1%
5,7517,96813,738
R
−29.9%
4,6998,71213,411
R
−19.3%
5,6058,34214,181
D
+8.7%
6,7595,66912,485
R
−45.3%
3,4669,19812,664
R
−14.5%
4,3796,32613,464
D
+15.7%
7,7105,61613,326
R
−23.6%
5,4068,75114,157
R
−10.3%
5,8697,21613,085
R
−9.9%
6,4267,84314,285
D
+10.8%
5,3194,2769,630
R
−20.3%
4,2196,37510,626
R
−12.7%
6,2138,02414,275
R
−1.0%
6,2346,35512,631
D
+18.5%
6,0584,15510,303
R
−25.4%
3,3205,5918,949
R
−19.2%
2,9534,4898,019
R
−26.1%
2,6624,6017,442
R
−11.5%
2,1352,7175,054
D
+2.0%
1,9461,8514,665
R
−6.9%
1,8932,1864,268
R
−16.6%
1,3691,9603,568
R
−6.0%
1,6701,8883,647
D
+3.2%
1,7431,6353,393
D
+7.3%
1,2331,0522,487
No data
No data
No data
No data

Demographics

2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
14.2%
English
12.6%
Irish
12.0%
American
11.6%
Scottish
1.7%
Polish
1.6%
French
1.6%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
98.2%
speak English only
Spanish0.9%
Other Indo-European0.5%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.4%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Baptist
15.0%
Other Christian
10.2%
Pentecostal & Holiness
7.4%
Catholic & Orthodox
3.1%
Methodist
2.3%
Mainline Protestant
1.9%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 60.1% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Anchored by Butler County, the Poplar Bluff metro has shifted decisively toward Republican margins over the past two decades, reflecting broader trends across Ozark-border small cities with manufacturing and timber economies.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of eighteen points in 1932 and a Republican high of sixty-four points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved two points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was sixty-four points.

A population of 42,020, a 87% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $49,089 describe the metro.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Poplar Bluff, MO, Missouri. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/38740/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Poplar Bluff, MO, Missouri vote in 2024?
In 2024, Poplar Bluff, MO, Missouri voted Republican by 63.8 points (R+64), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 17,860 votes cast, 3,160 went Democratic and 14,549 went Republican.
What is Poplar Bluff, MO, Missouri's political typology?
Akashic places Poplar Bluff, MO, Missouri in the "Evangelical Deep South" typology. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the metro has voted Democratic 8 times, Republican 26 times, and other 0 times.
When did Poplar Bluff, MO, Missouri last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Poplar Bluff, MO, Missouri voted Democratic was 1992.
How many people live in Poplar Bluff, MO, Missouri?
Poplar Bluff, MO, Missouri has a population of 42,020 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Poplar Bluff, MO, Missouri?
Median household income in Poplar Bluff, MO, Missouri is $49,089 — below the national median of $80,734. The Missouri state median is $70,702.
What is the political history of Poplar Bluff, MO, Missouri?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Poplar Bluff, MO, Missouri from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 8 went Democratic and 26 went Republican. The metro's typology — "Evangelical Deep South" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.