akashic
1876–2024
Providence-Warwick, RI-MA·Rhode Island

Providence-Warwick, RI-MA has voted Democratic in ten straight presidential elections — D+9 in 2024.

New England's smallest major metro, with outsized union and university clout

1876 — 2024·38 elections
RI
LatestD+9in 2024
TypologyFlorida Surgecluster typology
Population1,684,0712024 ACS

Providence-Warwick, RI-MA, Rhode Island: Florida Surge metro. In 2024, voted D+9%. Democratic peak: D+60 in 1964.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
D+9MIT Election Lab
Political typology
Florida SurgeAkashic typology
Population
1,684,0712024 5-year
Median household income
$87,2042024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
72.6%2024 5-year
Black
5.2%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
15.1%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+60 in 1964MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+46 in 1896MIT Election Lab
2024 presidential election
Providence-Warwick, RI-MA
HarrisD+9
—
2024 presidential margin by county for Providence-Warwick, RI-MA, RIA map of the constituent counties of Providence-Warwick, RI-MA, RI, each outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic).Bristol County, RI · D+26Newport County, RI · D+25Washington County, RI · D+15Bristol County, MA · D+1Kent County, RI · D+2Providence County, RI · D+14
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Kamala Harris ✓Democratic53.4%421,539
Donald TrumpRepublican44.1%348,484
OtherAll other candidates2.5%19,763
D+60
R+60
6 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover any county for its result.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1876 to 2024. Most recent: +9.2% in 2024.flipped D · 1988+9.2%DR18762024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
1876No data
1880No data
1884No data
1888No data
1892−9.4%
1896−46.4%
1900−27.8%
1904−24.4%
1908−27.4%
1912+1.6%
1916−6.9%
1920−37.3%
1924−29.4%
1928+1.6%
1932+11.2%
1936+15.8%
1940+16.9%
1944+18.1%
1948+19.3%
1952−2.0%
1956−16.3%
1960+29.4%
1964+60.4%
1968+32.9%
1972−1.2%
1976+15.4%
1980+8.2%
1984−2.4%
1988+11.9%
1992+19.8%
1996+35.5%
2000+31.0%
2004+23.3%
2008+26.4%
2012+25.0%
2016+13.3%
2020+17.5%
2024+9.2%
DemocraticRepublican
38 presidential elections
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
D
+9.2%
421,539348,484789,786
D
+17.5%
459,587319,709797,747
D
+13.3%
381,428285,933720,102
D
+25.0%
422,842251,049687,225
D
+26.4%
443,694255,660713,159
D
+23.3%
407,614251,570670,012
D
+31.0%
385,833193,403620,449
D
+35.5%
360,775151,847588,460
D
+19.8%
315,705183,971665,119
D
+11.9%
332,977261,558598,099
R
−2.4%
291,116305,312598,528
D
+8.2%
281,802232,338604,572
D
+15.4%
343,954251,206602,355
R
−1.2%
297,808304,773604,576
D
+32.9%
365,957179,031568,569
D
+60.4%
462,348113,845576,714
D
+29.4%
388,081211,792600,257
R
−16.3%
241,147335,361576,976
R
−2.0%
296,737309,040606,509
D
+19.3%
295,477199,003500,253
D
+18.1%
265,885184,367450,968
D
+16.9%
279,753198,796479,539
D
+15.8%
246,043174,785452,323
D
+11.2%
209,078166,112382,845
D
+1.6%
178,230172,727352,949
R
−29.4%
96,408184,215299,095
R
−37.3%
72,781164,187245,013
R
−6.9%
58,45967,436129,866
D
+1.6%
42,83240,982115,857
R
−27.4%
35,42564,625106,461
R
−24.4%
35,94260,34799,891
R
−27.8%
29,16753,18086,495
R
−46.4%
20,48159,06683,220
R
−9.4%
35,16142,70780,452
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Demographics

2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
Irish
16.3%
Italian
12.4%
English
10.6%
French
7.4%
German
4.5%
American
3.5%
Polish
3.2%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 40.8 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
0.8%
85+
1.4%
2.3%
75–84
3.1%
5.1%
65–74
5.7%
6.8%
55–64
7.2%
6.1%
45–54
6.3%
6.4%
35–44
6.4%
6.9%
25–34
6.7%
4.8%
18–24
4.8%
7.5%
5–17
7.1%
2.5%
<5
2.4%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Median household income
Inflation-adjusted dollars
$87,204
Providence-Warwick, RI-MA ranks near the middle of US counties.
Providence-Warwick, RI-MA$87,204
Rhode Island$103,960
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
11.2%
Child poverty is below the national average.
Children under 1813.8%
Working age (18–64)10.2%
Seniors (65+)13.5%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
77.3%
speak English only
Spanish11.2%
Other Indo-European8.7%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.9%
Other languages1.0%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
38.3%
Other Christian
4.3%
Mainline Protestant
1.9%
Non-Christian
1.4%
Baptist
0.9%
Pentecostal & Holiness
0.8%
Methodist
0.6%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 51.8% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Providence-Warwick anchors a densely packed corridor where Brown University, RISD, and a historically strong labor movement shape an electorate that has leaned Democratic by double digits in recent presidential cycles.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of sixty points in 1964 and a Republican high of forty-six points in 1896. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved eight points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was nine points.

A population of 1,684,071, a 73% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $87,204 describe the metro.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Providence-Warwick, RI-MA, Rhode Island. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/39300/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Providence-Warwick, RI-MA, Rhode Island vote in 2024?
In 2024, Providence-Warwick, RI-MA, Rhode Island voted Democratic by 9.2 points (D+9), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 789,786 votes cast, 421,539 went Democratic and 348,484 went Republican.
What is Providence-Warwick, RI-MA, Rhode Island's political typology?
Akashic places Providence-Warwick, RI-MA, Rhode Island in the "Florida Surge" typology. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the metro has voted Democratic 22 times, Republican 12 times, and other 0 times.
When did Providence-Warwick, RI-MA, Rhode Island last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Providence-Warwick, RI-MA, Rhode Island voted Republican was 1984.
How many people live in Providence-Warwick, RI-MA, Rhode Island?
Providence-Warwick, RI-MA, Rhode Island has a population of 1,684,071 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Providence-Warwick, RI-MA, Rhode Island?
Median household income in Providence-Warwick, RI-MA, Rhode Island is $87,204 — above the national median of $80,734. The Rhode Island state median is $103,960.
What is the political history of Providence-Warwick, RI-MA, Rhode Island?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Providence-Warwick, RI-MA, Rhode Island from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 22 went Democratic and 12 went Republican. The metro's typology — "Florida Surge" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.