Akashic
1876–2024
Toledo, OH·Ohio

Toledo, OH has voted Democratic in ten straight presidential elections — D+2.7 in 2024.

A Lake Erie industrial hub where union households still shape the ballot

20082024·5 elections
OH
Toledo, OH
HarrisD+2.7
2024 presidential margin by county for Toledo, OH, OHA map of the constituent counties of Toledo, OH, OH, each outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), seated within the faint outlines of the surrounding states.Fulton County, OH · R+42.2Lucas County, OH · D+12.4Wood County, OH · R+10.2
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Kamala HarrisDemocratic50.5%142,710
Donald TrumpRepublican47.8%135,168
OtherAll other candidates1.7%4,761
D+60
R+60
3 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover any county for its result.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1876 to 2024. Most recent: +2.7% in 2024.flipped D · 1988+2.7%DR18762024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
1876No data
1880No data
1884No data
1888No data
1892−7.5%
1896−8.7%
1900−8.3%
1904−39.9%
1908−7.6%
1912+21.9%
1916+21.4%
1920−29.0%
1924−43.8%
1928−32.1%
1932+12.1%
1936+15.0%
1940−6.2%
1944−8.1%
1948−0.0%
1952−9.3%
1956−11.8%
1960−2.8%
1964+32.8%
1968+5.6%
1972−4.6%
1976+9.5%
1980−6.5%
1984−9.2%
1988+1.4%
1992+12.4%
1996+19.0%
2000+9.8%
2004+11.8%
2008+23.4%
2012+22.5%
2016+7.7%
2020+6.7%
2024+2.7%
DemocraticRepublican
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonDemocraticRepublicanOtherMarginTotal
D
50.5%Harris142,710
47.8%Trump135,168
1.7%
+2.7%
282,639
D
52.5%Biden152,692
45.8%Trump133,251
1.7%incl. Jorgensen
+6.7%
290,990
D
50.1%Clinton144,220
42.3%Trump121,905
7.6%incl. Johnson
+7.7%
288,126
D
60.0%Obama178,491
37.4%Romney111,382
2.6%
+22.5%
297,606
D
60.8%Obama187,037
37.4%McCain115,043
1.8%
+23.4%
307,634
D
55.7%Kerry170,340
44.0%Bush134,392
0.3%
+11.8%
305,730
D
53.3%Gore137,836
43.5%Bush112,392
3.2%incl. Nader
+9.8%
258,440
D
54.1%Clinton134,756
35.1%Dole87,341
10.8%incl. Perot
+19.0%
248,997
D
45.9%Clinton126,319
33.5%Bush92,234
20.5%incl. Perot
+12.4%
275,026
D
50.3%Dukakis123,410
48.9%Bush120,031
0.8%
+1.4%
245,456
R
44.9%Mondale117,417
54.1%Reagan141,447
0.9%
−9.2%
261,238
R
41.7%Carter103,452
48.1%Reagan119,487
10.2%incl. Anderson
−6.5%
248,218
D
53.6%Carter125,434
44.1%Ford103,291
2.2%
+9.5%
233,987
R
46.5%McGovern107,251
51.1%Nixon117,868
2.4%
−4.6%
230,568
D
47.9%Humphrey105,551
42.4%Nixon93,331
9.7%incl. Wallace
+5.6%
220,164
D
66.4%Johnson150,018
33.6%Goldwater75,897
0.0%
+32.8%
225,915
R
48.6%Kennedy116,680
51.4%Nixon123,326
0.0%
−2.8%
240,006
R
44.1%Stevenson99,773
55.9%Eisenhower126,375
0.0%
−11.8%
226,148
R
45.3%Stevenson102,776
54.7%Eisenhower123,950
0.0%
−9.3%
226,726
R
49.4%Truman86,461
49.4%Dewey86,518
1.2%incl. Thurmond
−0.0%
175,124
R
45.9%Roosevelt86,281
54.1%Dewey101,521
0.0%
−8.1%
187,802
R
46.9%Roosevelt90,189
53.1%Willkie102,056
0.0%
−6.2%
192,245
D
53.0%Roosevelt88,992
37.9%Landon63,721
9.1%
+15.0%
167,981
D
54.4%Roosevelt80,907
42.3%Hoover62,849
3.3%
+12.1%
148,722
R
33.7%Smith51,377
65.8%Hoover100,260
0.5%
−32.1%
152,460
R
13.8%Davis16,572
57.6%Coolidge69,286
28.7%incl. La Follette
−43.8%
120,345
R
32.8%Cox37,466
61.8%Harding70,602
5.5%
−29.0%
114,312
D
58.1%Wilson39,082
36.7%Hughes24,678
5.2%
+21.4%
67,271
O
38.1%Wilson20,160
16.2%Taft8,571
45.7%incl. Roosevelt
+21.9%
52,899
R
42.5%Bryan23,964
50.0%Taft28,227
7.5%
−7.6%
56,422
R
26.3%Parker13,337
66.2%Roosevelt33,542
7.5%
−39.9%
50,665
R
44.6%Bryan23,404
52.9%McKinley27,738
2.5%
−8.3%
52,437
R
45.1%Bryan22,876
53.8%McKinley27,275
1.1%
−8.7%
50,684
R
44.1%Cleveland16,527
51.6%Harrison19,333
4.2%incl. Weaver
−7.5%
37,448
No data
No data
No data
No data

Demographics

Demographic profile

Demographic Profile

Key indicators compared across containing geographies

Demographic Profile. Key indicators compared across containing geographies. ACS values are survey estimates and may include margins of error. Religion data may be available only at county or larger geographies. Sub-county values are labeled when inherited, modeled, or contextual.
IndicatorToledo, OHMetro areaOhioStateUnited StatesNation
Race & Ethnicity
White73.8%76.8%61.0%
Black14.2%12.2%12.2%
Asian1.7%2.6%6.0%
Two or more races7.5%6.5%12.6%
Other race2.8%2.0%8.2%
Hispanic or Latino7.6%4.8%19.3%
Income & Age
Median household income$65,600$71,389$84,427
Poverty rate15.9%13.3%12.5%
Median age38.239.839.1
Age 18–2410.4%8.9%9.2%
Age 65 and older17.5%18.3%17.2%
Education & Language
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)30.3%31.6%35.6%
Speaks a non-English language at home5.9%8.0%22.3%
Spanish2.5%2.7%13.6%
Ancestry
Largest ancestryGerman 25.9%German 22.3%German 12.5%
2nd-largest ancestryIrish 11.3%Irish 12.3%Mexican 11.3%
3rd-largest ancestryEnglish 9.4%English 11.0%English 9.5%
Religion
Catholic16.3%15.4%18.6%
Evangelical Protestant13.5%19.5%16.5%
Unaffiliated or unclaimed55.3%52.2%51.5%
Mainline Protestant8.2%7.0%5.2%

ACS values are survey estimates and may include margins of error.

Religion data may be available only at county or larger geographies. Sub-county values are labeled when inherited, modeled, or contextual.

2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the origins and ancestries reported within it.
Reported ancestry · ACS B04006
German
25.9%
Irish
11.3%
English
9.4%
Polish
7.2%
American
4.6%
Italian
3.6%
French
3.2%
Hungarian
1.3%
Reported ancestry · ACS B04006
African American identity is recorded by the ACS race question; the ancestry item enumerates specific African and Caribbean ancestries only.
African
1.0%
Jamaican
0.2%
Specific origin · ACS B03001
Mexican
5.8%
Puerto Rican
0.7%
The ACS does not publish subgroup detail for people reporting two or more races.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, Pacific Islander, and other single-race responses combined.
Detailed group · ACS B02015
Asian Indian
0.5%
Chinese
0.4%
Filipino
0.2%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Race shares: B02001 · B03003. Subgroup detail: B03001 (Hispanic or Latino specific origin), B02015 (Asian groups), B02020 · B02016 (American Indian/Alaska Native tribes and Pacific Islander groups), B04006 (reported ancestry). Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so group shares can total more than 100%. All subgroup rows are shares of total population; ancestry is self-reported and multiple-response, so rows do not sum to the parent group's share.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
94.1%
speak English only
Spanish2.5%
Arabic0.8%
Other Indo-European0.7%
Other Asian & Pacific Island0.4%
German or other West Germanic0.3%
Other languages0.3%
Chinese (incl. Mandarin & Cantonese)0.3%
French (incl. Cajun & Haitian)0.2%
Russian, Polish, or other Slavic0.2%
Tagalog (incl. Filipino)0.1%
Korean0.1%
Vietnamese0.1%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic
16.3%
Evangelical Protestant
13.5%
Mainline Protestant
8.2%
Black Protestant
3.2%
Muslim
1.4%
Other Christian
0.6%
Jewish
0.5%
Latter-day Saints
0.4%
Hindu
0.3%
Orthodox Christian
0.3%
Unaffiliated or not counted55.3%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. The unaffiliated-or-not-counted share is everyone not claimed as an adherent by any reporting body — uncounted congregations as well as the religiously unaffiliated.

Toledo's Lucas County anchors a metro that has swung between parties in presidential cycles, with manufacturing employment and a substantial Latino community in the city core acting as persistent variables in turnout models.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 32.8 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 43.8 points in 1924. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved 4.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 2.7 points.

A population of 602,322, a 74% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $65,600 describe the metro.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Toledo, OH, Ohio. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/45780/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Toledo, OH, Ohio vote in 2024?
In 2024, Toledo, OH, Ohio voted Democratic by 2.7 points (D+2.7), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 282,639 votes cast, 142,710 went Democratic and 135,168 went Republican.
When did Toledo, OH, Ohio last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Toledo, OH, Ohio voted Republican was 1984.
How many people live in Toledo, OH, Ohio?
Toledo, OH, Ohio has a population of 602,322 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Toledo, OH, Ohio?
Median household income in Toledo, OH, Ohio is $65,600 — below the national median of $80,734. The Ohio state median is $71,389.
What is the political history of Toledo, OH, Ohio?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Toledo, OH, Ohio from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 16 went Democratic and 17 went Republican.