Warrensburg, MO, Missouri: Farm Belt metro. In 2024, voted R+39%. Republican peak: R+41 in 1972.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+39MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Farm BeltAkashic typology
- Population
- 54,7322024 5-year
- Median household income
- $67,2722024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 85.3%2024 5-year
- Black
- 4.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 5.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+26 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+41 in 1972MIT Election Lab
2024 presidential election
Warrensburg, MO
TrumpR+39
Constituent county margins for Warrensburg, MO, MOOne cell per constituent county, colored by 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), ordered bluest first.
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
| Donald Trump ✓Republican | 68.8% | 16,298 |
|---|---|---|
| Kamala HarrisDemocratic | 29.4% | 6,960 |
| OtherAll other candidates | 1.8% | 430 |
D+60R+60
1 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | +6.8% |
| 1896 | +13.6% |
| 1900 | +8.2% |
| 1904 | +4.5% |
| 1908 | +7.4% |
| 1912 | +25.9% |
| 1916 | +10.9% |
| 1920 | −2.3% |
| 1924 | +2.5% |
| 1928 | −23.9% |
| 1932 | +22.5% |
| 1936 | +4.1% |
| 1940 | −8.6% |
| 1944 | −14.7% |
| 1948 | −0.2% |
| 1952 | −23.8% |
| 1956 | −18.6% |
| 1960 | −19.3% |
| 1964 | +19.2% |
| 1968 | −14.5% |
| 1972 | −40.7% |
| 1976 | +0.3% |
| 1980 | −8.0% |
| 1984 | −33.0% |
| 1988 | −16.6% |
| 1992 | +3.4% |
| 1996 | −0.4% |
| 2000 | −14.4% |
| 2004 | −22.1% |
| 2008 | −12.2% |
| 2012 | −24.2% |
| 2016 | −36.5% |
| 2020 | −36.7% |
| 2024 | −39.4% |
DemocraticRepublican
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 6,960 | 16,298 | 23,688 | ||
| R | 6,974 | 15,489 | 23,172 | ||
| R | 5,930 | 13,719 | 21,362 | ||
| R | 7,667 | 12,763 | 21,021 | ||
| R | 9,480 | 12,183 | 22,080 | ||
| R | 7,790 | 12,257 | 20,236 | ||
| R | 6,926 | 9,339 | 16,787 | ||
| R | 6,220 | 6,276 | 14,574 | ||
| D | 5,546 | 5,032 | 15,203 | ||
| R | 5,373 | 7,512 | 12,921 | ||
| R | 4,238 | 8,413 | 12,651 | ||
| R | 5,441 | 6,449 | 12,585 | ||
| D | 5,551 | 5,513 | 11,220 | ||
| R | 3,044 | 7,228 | 10,272 | ||
| R | 3,484 | 4,834 | 9,336 | ||
| D | 6,412 | 4,348 | 10,760 | ||
| R | 4,712 | 6,970 | 11,682 | ||
| R | 4,530 | 6,599 | 11,129 | ||
| R | 4,294 | 6,990 | 11,307 | ||
| R | 4,888 | 4,903 | 9,805 | ||
| R | 4,419 | 5,949 | 10,378 | ||
| R | 5,441 | 6,468 | 11,928 | ||
| D | 6,294 | 5,797 | 12,113 | ||
| D | 6,481 | 4,088 | 10,645 | ||
| R | 4,316 | 7,032 | 11,367 | ||
| D | 5,526 | 5,248 | 11,006 | ||
| R | 5,444 | 5,700 | 11,252 | ||
| D | 3,701 | 2,966 | 6,767 | ||
| D | 3,468 | 1,772 | 6,559 | ||
| D | 3,483 | 2,997 | 6,595 | ||
| D | 3,277 | 2,989 | 6,419 | ||
| D | 3,612 | 3,051 | 6,816 | ||
| D | 4,240 | 3,219 | 7,507 | ||
| D | 3,109 | 2,667 | 6,461 | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — |
Demographics
2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
19.2%
English
12.2%
Irish
11.0%
American
7.1%
Italian
2.7%
Scottish
2.2%
French
1.4%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 31.5 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Median household income
Inflation-adjusted dollars
$67,272
Warrensburg, MO ranks near the middle of US counties.
Warrensburg, MO$67,272
Missouri$70,702
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
11.8%
Child poverty is below the national average.
Children under 1812.5%
Working age (18–64)11.8%
Seniors (65+)9.5%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
95.1%
speak English only
Spanish2.0%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.5%
Other Indo-European0.8%
Other languages0.6%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 70.7% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
Warrensburg anchors Johnson County, where the University of Central Missouri and nearby Whiteman Air Force Base produce an unusually mixed demographic base for a rural Missouri market, tempering the region's otherwise lopsided Republican margins.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of twenty-six points in 1912 and a Republican high of forty-one points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved three points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was thirty-nine points.
A population of 54,732, a 85% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $67,272 describe the metro.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Warrensburg, MO, Missouri. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/47660/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Frequently asked questions
How did Warrensburg, MO, Missouri vote in 2024?
In 2024, Warrensburg, MO, Missouri voted Republican by 39.4 points (R+39), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 23,688 votes cast, 6,960 went Democratic and 16,298 went Republican.
What is Warrensburg, MO, Missouri's political typology?
Akashic places Warrensburg, MO, Missouri in the "Farm Belt" typology. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the metro has voted Democratic 13 times, Republican 21 times, and other 0 times.
When did Warrensburg, MO, Missouri last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Warrensburg, MO, Missouri voted Democratic was 1992.
How many people live in Warrensburg, MO, Missouri?
Warrensburg, MO, Missouri has a population of 54,732 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Warrensburg, MO, Missouri?
Median household income in Warrensburg, MO, Missouri is $67,272 — below the national median of $80,734. The Missouri state median is $70,702.
What is the political history of Warrensburg, MO, Missouri?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Warrensburg, MO, Missouri from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 13 went Democratic and 21 went Republican. The metro's typology — "Farm Belt" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.