Akashic
1876–2024
Youngstown-Warren, OH·Ohio

Youngstown-Warren, OH moved 6.9 points toward the Republican candidate between 2020 and 2024.

A deindustrialized metro where union heritage still shapes the electorate

2008 — 2024·5 elections
OH
2024 presidential election
Youngstown-Warren, OH
TrumpR+12.8
—
2024 presidential margin by county for Youngstown-Warren, OH, OHA map of the constituent counties of Youngstown-Warren, OH, OH, each outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), seated within the faint outlines of the surrounding states.Mahoning County, OH · R+9.4Trumbull County, OH · R+16.7
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Donald Trump ✓Republican55.7%117,232
Kamala HarrisDemocratic43.0%90,394
OtherAll other candidates1.3%2,703
D+60
R+60
2 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover any county for its result.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1876 to 2024. Most recent: −12.8% in 2024.flipped R · 2016−12.8%DR18762024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
1876No data
1880No data
1884No data
1888No data
1892−9.1%
1896−21.2%
1900−19.6%
1904−39.9%
1908−12.0%
1912+5.3%
1916+4.4%
1920−35.3%
1924−54.7%
1928−36.6%
1932−9.9%
1936+39.4%
1940+28.0%
1944+26.8%
1948+22.4%
1952+8.0%
1956−7.9%
1960+16.4%
1964+41.0%
1968+15.9%
1972−6.6%
1976+21.5%
1980+7.7%
1984+14.6%
1988+23.7%
1992+26.7%
1996+33.9%
2000+24.6%
2004+24.9%
2008+24.6%
2012+25.6%
2016−1.0%
2020−5.9%
2024−12.8%
DemocraticRepublican
38 presidential elections
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonDemocraticRepublicanOtherMarginTotal
R
43.0%Harris90,394
55.7%Trump117,232
1.3%
−12.8%
210,329
R
46.4%Biden102,160
52.3%Trump115,097
1.2%incl. Jorgensen
−5.9%
219,967
R
46.6%Clinton100,395
47.7%Trump102,640
5.7%incl. Johnson
−1.0%
215,336
D
61.5%Obama138,731
35.9%Romney80,920
2.6%
+25.6%
225,524
D
61.0%Obama143,318
36.4%McCain85,483
2.6%
+24.6%
234,930
D
62.2%Kerry149,867
37.2%Bush89,738
0.6%
+24.9%
241,049
D
60.3%Gore126,855
35.7%Bush75,114
4.0%incl. Nader
+24.6%
210,358
D
60.3%Clinton128,320
26.4%Dole56,208
13.3%incl. Perot
+33.9%
212,923
D
51.2%Clinton119,322
24.4%Bush57,022
24.4%incl. Perot
+26.7%
233,256
D
61.5%Dukakis134,198
37.8%Bush82,537
0.8%
+23.7%
218,376
D
56.8%Mondale133,416
42.2%Reagan99,047
1.0%
+14.6%
234,697
D
49.5%Carter108,043
41.8%Reagan91,209
8.7%incl. Anderson
+7.7%
218,163
D
59.5%Carter129,665
38.0%Ford82,783
2.5%
+21.5%
217,838
R
45.6%McGovern97,706
52.2%Nixon111,824
2.3%
−6.6%
214,354
D
52.7%Humphrey108,798
36.8%Nixon76,024
10.4%incl. Wallace
+15.9%
206,338
D
70.5%Johnson145,276
29.5%Goldwater60,834
0.0%
+41.0%
206,110
D
58.2%Kennedy129,071
41.8%Nixon92,651
0.0%
+16.4%
221,722
R
46.0%Stevenson92,039
54.0%Eisenhower107,928
0.0%
−7.9%
199,967
D
54.0%Stevenson106,784
46.0%Eisenhower90,957
0.0%
+8.0%
197,741
D
60.5%Truman99,565
38.1%Dewey62,662
1.4%incl. Thurmond
+22.4%
164,538
D
63.4%Roosevelt104,414
36.6%Dewey60,334
0.0%
+26.8%
164,748
D
64.0%Roosevelt111,056
36.0%Willkie62,522
0.0%
+28.0%
173,578
D
68.9%Roosevelt97,270
29.5%Landon41,712
1.6%
+39.4%
141,187
R
42.9%Roosevelt51,010
52.8%Hoover62,742
4.2%
−9.9%
118,774
R
31.4%Smith36,038
67.9%Hoover78,051
0.7%
−36.6%
114,942
R
15.6%Davis13,342
70.3%Coolidge59,988
14.0%incl. La Follette
−54.7%
85,313
R
30.3%Cox21,756
65.5%Harding47,079
4.2%
−35.3%
71,829
D
49.9%Wilson19,104
45.5%Hughes17,423
4.6%
+4.4%
38,305
O
31.8%Wilson10,185
26.4%Taft8,472
41.8%incl. Roosevelt
+5.3%
32,078
R
41.7%Bryan13,788
53.7%Taft17,738
4.6%
−12.0%
33,054
R
23.3%Parker6,546
63.2%Roosevelt17,787
13.6%
−39.9%
28,149
R
39.0%Bryan11,088
58.6%McKinley16,662
2.4%
−19.6%
28,439
R
38.8%Bryan10,601
60.0%McKinley16,396
1.1%
−21.2%
27,310
R
42.5%Cleveland9,575
51.6%Harrison11,625
5.9%incl. Weaver
−9.1%
22,538
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Demographics

Demographic profile

Demographic Profile

Key indicators compared across containing geographies

Demographic Profile. Key indicators compared across containing geographies. ACS values are survey estimates and may include margins of error. Religion data may be available only at county or larger geographies. Sub-county values are labeled when inherited, modeled, or contextual.
IndicatorYoungstown-Warren, OHMetro areaOhioStateUnited StatesNation
Race & Ethnicity
White79.7%76.8%61.0%
Black11.3%12.2%12.2%
Asian0.7%2.6%6.0%
Two or more races6.7%6.5%12.6%
Other race1.6%2.0%8.2%
Hispanic or Latino4.7%4.8%19.3%
Income & Age
Median household income$56,704$71,389$84,427
Poverty rate17.8%13.3%12.5%
Median age43.439.839.1
Age 18–247.9%8.9%9.2%
Age 65 and older22.5%18.3%17.2%
Education & Language
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)24.1%31.6%35.6%
Speaks a non-English language at home5.4%8.0%22.3%
Spanish2.2%2.7%13.6%
German or other West Germanic1.4%0.9%0.5%
Other Indo-European1.0%1.2%2.0%
Ancestry
Largest ancestryGerman 16.4%German 22.3%German 12.5%
2nd-largest ancestryItalian 13.7%Irish 12.3%Mexican 11.3%
3rd-largest ancestryIrish 12.7%English 11.0%English 9.5%
Religion
Catholic19.9%15.4%18.6%
Evangelical Protestant15.3%19.5%16.5%
Unaffiliated or unclaimed50.3%52.2%51.5%
Mainline Protestant6.7%7.0%5.2%

ACS values are survey estimates and may include margins of error.

Religion data may be available only at county or larger geographies. Sub-county values are labeled when inherited, modeled, or contextual.

2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the origins and ancestries reported within it.
Reported ancestry · ACS B04006
German
16.4%
Italian
13.7%
Irish
12.7%
American
11.0%
English
9.1%
Slovak
4.0%
Polish
3.5%
Hungarian
2.1%
Reported ancestry · ACS B04006
African American identity is recorded by the ACS race question; the ancestry item enumerates specific African and Caribbean ancestries only.
African
0.4%
Jamaican
0.2%
The ACS does not publish subgroup detail for people reporting two or more races.
Specific origin · ACS B03001
Puerto Rican
2.7%
Mexican
1.0%
Spanish
0.2%
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, Pacific Islander, and other single-race responses combined.
Below 1% of the population here; subgroup estimates are within the survey's margin of error.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Race shares: B02001 · B03003. Subgroup detail: B03001 (Hispanic or Latino specific origin), B02015 (Asian groups), B02020 · B02016 (American Indian/Alaska Native tribes and Pacific Islander groups), B04006 (reported ancestry). Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so group shares can total more than 100%. All subgroup rows are shares of total population; ancestry is self-reported and multiple-response, so rows do not sum to the parent group's share.
2024 ACS
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 43.4 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
0.9%
85+
1.9%
2.9%
75–84
3.6%
6.2%
65–74
7.0%
6.8%
55–64
7.3%
5.9%
45–54
5.9%
5.7%
35–44
5.7%
6.3%
25–34
5.9%
4.1%
18–24
3.8%
7.7%
5–17
7.4%
2.7%
<5
2.6%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Median household income
Inflation-adjusted dollars
$56,704
Youngstown-Warren, OH$56,704
Ohio$71,389
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
17.8%
Children face higher poverty than working-age adults.
Children under 1827.2%
Working age (18–64)15.8%
Seniors (65+)11.9%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
94.6%
speak English only
Spanish2.2%
German or other West Germanic1.4%
Other Indo-European1.0%
Arabic0.3%
Russian, Polish, or other Slavic0.2%
Other Asian & Pacific Island0.2%
Other languages0.1%
French (incl. Cajun & Haitian)0.1%
Chinese (incl. Mandarin & Cantonese)0.1%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic
19.9%
Evangelical Protestant
15.3%
Mainline Protestant
6.7%
Black Protestant
4.9%
Orthodox Christian
0.9%
Muslim
0.7%
Other Christian
0.7%
Jewish
0.3%
Latter-day Saints
0.2%
Other faiths
0.1%
Unaffiliated or not counted50.3%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. The unaffiliated-or-not-counted share is everyone not claimed as an adherent by any reporting body — uncounted congregations as well as the religiously unaffiliated.

Youngstown-Warren anchors the Mahoning Valley, a region that spent decades as a Democratic stronghold on the strength of steel-industry labor but has shifted markedly toward Republican margins in federal races since 2016.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 41.0 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 54.7 points in 1924. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved 6.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 12.8 points.

A population of 427,420, a 80% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $56,704 describe the metro.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Youngstown-Warren, OH, Ohio. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/49660/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Youngstown-Warren, OH, Ohio vote in 2024?
In 2024, Youngstown-Warren, OH, Ohio voted Republican by 12.8 points (R+12.8), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 210,329 votes cast, 90,394 went Democratic and 117,232 went Republican.
When did Youngstown-Warren, OH, Ohio last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Youngstown-Warren, OH, Ohio voted Democratic was 2012.
How many people live in Youngstown-Warren, OH, Ohio?
Youngstown-Warren, OH, Ohio has a population of 427,420 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Youngstown-Warren, OH, Ohio?
Median household income in Youngstown-Warren, OH, Ohio is $56,704 — below the national median of $80,734. The Ohio state median is $71,389.
What is the political history of Youngstown-Warren, OH, Ohio?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Youngstown-Warren, OH, Ohio from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 19 went Democratic and 14 went Republican.