akashic
1876–2024
Congressional District 4·Florida

Florida 4th Congressional District moved 5 points toward the Republican candidate between 2020 and 2024.

One of Florida's most reliably Republican congressional districts

2008 — 2024·5 elections
FL
LatestR+12in 2024
TypologyDiversifying Metrocluster typology
Population1,023,2512024 ACS

Florida 4th Congressional District: Diversifying Metro district. In 2024, voted R+12%. Republican peak: R+12 in 2024.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+12MIT Election Lab
Political typology
Diversifying MetroAkashic typology
Population
1,023,2512024 5-year
Median household income
$76,7272024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
58.5%2024 5-year
Black
22.7%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
11.5%2024 5-year
Peak Republican margin
R+12 in 2024MIT Election Lab
DW-NOMINATE
Member ideology
R
BEAN, AaronCongress 119 · Republican
DW-NOMINATE first-dimension (economic) score0.69 sits at approximately the 85th percentile.00.69−1 liberal+1 conservative
BEAN scores 0.69 on the first NOMINATE dimension (−1 most liberal, +1 most conservative).

Predecessors: RUTHERFORD, John Henry (2021–2023), RUTHERFORD, John Henry (2019–2021), RUTHERFORD, John Henry (2017–2019), CRENSHAW, Ander (2015–2017)

Source · Voteview / Lewis, Poole, Rosenthal et al. (CC-BY).
2024 presidential election
Congressional District 4
TrumpR+12
—
2024 presidential margin by county for Congressional District 4, FLA map of the constituent counties of Congressional District 4, FL, each outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic).Nassau County, FL · R+47Duval County, FL · R+1Clay County, FL · R+39
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Donald Trump ✓Republican55.2%220,099
Kamala HarrisDemocratic43.4%173,062
OtherAll other candidates1.4%5,558
D+60
R+60
3 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover any county for its result.
Districts are drawn from fractional county slices; this map shows the whole counties that overlap the district. District boundaries: TIGER 2024.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2008–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 2008 to 2024. Most recent: −11.8% in 2024.−11.8%DR20082024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
2008−6.7%
2012−8.6%
2016−10.5%
2020−6.7%
2024−11.8%
DemocraticRepublican
5 presidential elections
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−11.8%
173,062220,099398,719
R
−6.7%
184,042210,849400,778
R
−10.5%
148,982185,555347,718
R
−8.6%
147,654175,517323,171
R
−6.7%
151,168172,987326,901
Congressional elections · 17 Senate races

U.S. Senate

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
YearWonD %R %Total
2024R42.8%55.6%10,757,428
2022R41.3%57.7%7,758,014
2018R49.9%50.1%8,190,005
2016R44.3%52.0%9,301,820
2012D55.2%42.2%8,189,946
2010R20.2%48.9%5,411,106
2006D60.3%38.1%4,793,534
2004R48.3%49.4%7,429,894
2000D51.0%46.2%5,856,731
1998D62.5%37.5%3,900,162
1994R29.5%70.5%4,106,816
1992D65.4%34.6%4,962,290
1988R49.6%50.4%4,068,209
1986D54.7%45.3%3,429,996
1982D61.7%38.3%2,653,419
1980R48.3%51.7%3,528,028
1976D63.0%37.0%2,857,534

Demographics

2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
English
10.3%
German
9.2%
Irish
9.2%
American
7.8%
Italian
3.9%
Scottish
2.1%
Polish
1.0%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 38.6 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
0.6%
85+
1.1%
2.0%
75–84
2.7%
4.7%
65–74
5.4%
6.2%
55–64
6.7%
5.8%
45–54
6.2%
6.6%
35–44
6.8%
7.3%
25–34
7.4%
4.2%
18–24
4.0%
8.4%
5–17
8.0%
3.0%
<5
2.9%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Median household income
Inflation-adjusted dollars
$76,727
Congressional District 4 ranks near the middle of US counties.
Congressional District 4$76,727
Florida$74,568
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
12.6%
Children face moderate poverty.
Children under 1817.5%
Working age (18–64)11.3%
Seniors (65+)11.2%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
85.9%
speak English only
Spanish7.3%
Other Indo-European3.3%
Asian & Pacific Islander2.4%
Other languages1.0%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Other Christian
20.4%
Baptist
15.6%
Catholic & Orthodox
13.3%
Methodist
3.3%
Mainline Protestant
2.1%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.7%
Non-Christian
1.4%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 42.1% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Florida's 4th congressional district, anchored in the Jacksonville suburbs and Nassau County, has posted Republican presidential margins above 20 points in recent cycles, reflecting a fast-growing exurban electorate with strong military and defense-sector ties.

Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of twelve points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved five points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was twelve points.

A population of 1,023,251, a 59% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $76,727 describe the district.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Congressional District 4, Florida. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/1204/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Congressional District 4, Florida vote in 2024?
In 2024, Congressional District 4, Florida voted Republican by 11.8 points (R+12), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 398,719 votes cast, 173,062 went Democratic and 220,099 went Republican.
What is Congressional District 4, Florida's political typology?
Akashic places Congressional District 4, Florida in the "Diversifying Metro" typology. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 5 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 0 times, Republican 5 times, and other 0 times.
How many people live in Congressional District 4, Florida?
Congressional District 4, Florida has a population of 1,023,251 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Congressional District 4, Florida?
Median household income in Congressional District 4, Florida is $76,727 — below the national median of $80,734. The Florida state median is $74,568.
What is the political history of Congressional District 4, Florida?
Akashic tracks 5 presidential elections in Congressional District 4, Florida from 2008 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 5 went Republican. The district's typology — "Diversifying Metro" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.