akashic
1876–2024
Congressional District 12·Florida

Florida 12th Congressional District moved 6 points toward the Republican candidate between 2020 and 2024.

A reliably Republican corridor anchored by Pasco and Hillsborough exurbs

20082024·5 elections
FL
LatestR+34in 2024
TypologyFlorida Surgecluster typology
Population859,1102024 ACS

Florida 12th Congressional District: Florida Surge district. In 2024, voted R+34%. Republican peak: R+34 in 2024.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+34MIT Election Lab
Political typology
Florida SurgeAkashic typology
Population
859,1102024 5-year
Median household income
$66,7862024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
75.9%2024 5-year
Black
5.2%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
16.0%2024 5-year
Peak Republican margin
R+34 in 2024MIT Election Lab
DW-NOMINATE
Member ideology
R
BILIRAKIS, GusCongress 119 · Republican
DW-NOMINATE first-dimension (economic) score0.42 sits at approximately the 71st percentile.00.42−1 liberal+1 conservative
BILIRAKIS scores 0.42 on the first NOMINATE dimension (−1 most liberal, +1 most conservative).

Predecessors: ROSS, Dennis (2011–2013), PUTNAM, Adam (2009–2011), PUTNAM, Adam (2007–2009), PUTNAM, Adam (2005–2007)

Source · Voteview / Lewis, Poole, Rosenthal et al. (CC-BY).
Congressional District 12
TrumpR+34
2024 presidential margin by county for Congressional District 12, FLA map of the constituent counties of Congressional District 12, FL, each outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic).Citrus County, FL · R+46Hernando County, FL · R+37Pasco County, FL · R+25
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Donald TrumpRepublican66.7%296,430
Kamala HarrisDemocratic32.2%143,204
OtherAll other candidates1.1%5,069
D+60
R+60
3 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover any county for its result.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2008–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 2008 to 2024. Most recent: −34.5% in 2024.−34.5%DR20082024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
2008−6.1%
2012−10.2%
2016−28.3%
2020−28.7%
2024−34.5%
DemocraticRepublican
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−34.5%
143,204296,430444,703
R
−28.7%
150,523273,517429,155
R
−28.3%
121,582223,706360,695
R
−10.2%
141,695174,033315,728
R
−6.1%
153,110173,196330,999

U.S. Senate

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
YearWonD %R %Total
2024R42.8%55.6%10,757,428
2022R41.3%57.7%7,758,014
2018R49.9%50.1%8,190,005
2016R44.3%52.0%9,301,820
2012D55.2%42.2%8,189,946
2010R20.2%48.9%5,411,106
2006D60.3%38.1%4,793,534
2004R48.3%49.4%7,429,894
2000D51.0%46.2%5,856,731
1998D62.5%37.5%3,900,162
1994R29.5%70.5%4,106,816
1992D65.4%34.6%4,962,290
1988R49.6%50.4%4,068,209
1986D54.7%45.3%3,429,996
1982D61.7%38.3%2,653,419
1980R48.3%51.7%3,528,028
1976D63.0%37.0%2,857,534

Demographics

2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
13.6%
American
12.9%
Irish
11.5%
English
10.9%
Italian
8.5%
Polish
3.1%
French
2.4%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
84.7%
speak English only
Spanish10.0%
Other Indo-European3.1%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.5%
Other languages0.7%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
16.3%
Other Christian
7.9%
Baptist
2.6%
Pentecostal & Holiness
2.5%
Mainline Protestant
1.4%
Methodist
1.3%
Non-Christian
0.7%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 67.3% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Florida's 12th has shifted steadily rightward over the past decade as suburban growth north of Tampa brought in working-class homeowners who have favored Republican candidates by double-digit margins in consecutive presidential cycles.

Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of thirty-four points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved six points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was thirty-four points.

A population of 859,110, a 76% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $66,786 describe the district.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Congressional District 12, Florida. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/1212/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Congressional District 12, Florida vote in 2024?
In 2024, Congressional District 12, Florida voted Republican by 34.5 points (R+34), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 444,703 votes cast, 143,204 went Democratic and 296,430 went Republican.
What is Congressional District 12, Florida's political typology?
Akashic places Congressional District 12, Florida in the "Florida Surge" typology. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 5 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 0 times, Republican 5 times, and other 0 times.
How many people live in Congressional District 12, Florida?
Congressional District 12, Florida has a population of 859,110 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Congressional District 12, Florida?
Median household income in Congressional District 12, Florida is $66,786 — below the national median of $80,734. The Florida state median is $74,568.
What is the political history of Congressional District 12, Florida?
Akashic tracks 5 presidential elections in Congressional District 12, Florida from 2008 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 5 went Republican. The district's typology — "Florida Surge" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.