akashic
1876–2024
Congressional District 4·Kansas

Kansas 4th Congressional District delivered R+23 in 2024.

Wichita anchors a district that has trended reliably Republican for decades

20082024·5 elections
KS
LatestR+23in 2024
TypologyIndustrial Catholic Metrocluster typology
Population738,7562024 ACS

Kansas 4th Congressional District: Industrial Catholic Metro district. In 2024, voted R+23%. Republican peak: R+27 in 2016.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+23MIT Election Lab
Political typology
Industrial Catholic MetroAkashic typology
Population
738,7562024 5-year
Median household income
$69,4552024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
73.9%2024 5-year
Black
6.0%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
14.2%2024 5-year
Peak Republican margin
R+27 in 2016MIT Election Lab
DW-NOMINATE
Member ideology
R
ESTES, RonCongress 119 · Republican
DW-NOMINATE first-dimension (economic) score0.65 sits at approximately the 82nd percentile.00.65−1 liberal+1 conservative
ESTES scores 0.65 on the first NOMINATE dimension (−1 most liberal, +1 most conservative).

Predecessors: POMPEO, Mike (2017–2019), POMPEO, Mike (2015–2017), POMPEO, Mike (2013–2015), POMPEO, Mike (2011–2013)

Source · Voteview / Lewis, Poole, Rosenthal et al. (CC-BY).
Congressional District 4
TrumpR+23
2024 presidential margin by county for Congressional District 4, KSA map of the constituent counties of Congressional District 4, KS, each outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic).Pratt County, KS · R+51Pawnee County, KS · R+52Chautauqua County, KS · R+71Stafford County, KS · R+64Elk County, KS · R+70Harvey County, KS · R+21Kingman County, KS · R+60Harper County, KS · R+64Barber County, KS · R+72Greenwood County, KS · R+61Edwards County, KS · R+65Sumner County, KS · R+50Comanche County, KS · R+68Kiowa County, KS · R+71Cowley County, KS · R+40Butler County, KS · R+41Sedgwick County, KS · R+14
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Donald TrumpRepublican60.8%189,319
Kamala HarrisDemocratic37.5%116,778
OtherAll other candidates1.7%5,334
D+60
R+60
17 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover any county for its result.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2008–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 2008 to 2024. Most recent: −23.3% in 2024.−23.3%DR20082024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
2008−19.1%
2012−25.4%
2016−26.8%
2020−21.7%
2024−23.3%
DemocraticRepublican
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−23.3%
116,778189,319311,431
R
−21.7%
123,284193,891324,699
R
−26.8%
90,777165,995280,619
R
−25.4%
96,695165,117269,162
R
−19.1%
112,736167,497287,277

U.S. Senate

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
YearWonD %R %Total
2022R37.0%60.0%1,004,956
2020R41.8%53.2%1,367,755
2016R32.2%62.2%1,177,922
2014R0.0%53.1%866,191
2010R26.4%70.1%837,692
2008R36.5%60.1%1,210,690
2004R27.5%69.2%1,129,022
2002R0.0%82.5%776,850
1998R31.6%65.3%727,236
1996R34.4%62.0%1,052,300
1992R31.0%62.7%1,126,447
1990R26.4%73.6%786,235
1986R30.0%70.0%823,566
1984R21.2%76.0%996,729
1980R36.2%63.8%938,957
1978R42.4%53.9%748,839

Demographics

2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
22.1%
English
11.8%
Irish
10.3%
American
5.9%
Scottish
1.9%
French
1.8%
Italian
1.4%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
87.7%
speak English only
Spanish8.3%
Asian & Pacific Islander2.4%
Other Indo-European0.9%
Other languages0.8%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
12.5%
Other Christian
12.1%
Baptist
7.1%
Methodist
5.3%
Mainline Protestant
4.0%
Pentecostal & Holiness
3.1%
Non-Christian
0.7%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 55.1% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Kansas's 4th is centered on Wichita, the state's largest city and home to a major aerospace manufacturing corridor. Despite the urban core, the district's overall electorate has produced Republican presidential margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles.

Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of twenty-seven points in 2016. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved two points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was twenty-three points.

A population of 738,756, a 74% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $69,455 describe the district.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Congressional District 4, Kansas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/2004/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Congressional District 4, Kansas vote in 2024?
In 2024, Congressional District 4, Kansas voted Republican by 23.3 points (R+23), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 311,431 votes cast, 116,778 went Democratic and 189,319 went Republican.
What is Congressional District 4, Kansas's political typology?
Akashic places Congressional District 4, Kansas in the "Industrial Catholic Metro" typology. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 5 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 0 times, Republican 5 times, and other 0 times.
How many people live in Congressional District 4, Kansas?
Congressional District 4, Kansas has a population of 738,756 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Congressional District 4, Kansas?
Median household income in Congressional District 4, Kansas is $69,455 — below the national median of $80,734. The Kansas state median is $74,275.
What is the political history of Congressional District 4, Kansas?
Akashic tracks 5 presidential elections in Congressional District 4, Kansas from 2008 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 5 went Republican. The district's typology — "Industrial Catholic Metro" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.