akashic
1876–2024
Congressional District 12·Michigan

Michigan 12th Congressional District moved 11 points toward the Republican candidate between 2020 and 2024.

Metro Detroit's most Democratic-leaning federal seat by a wide margin

2008 — 2024·5 elections
MI
LatestD+38in 2024
TypologyFlorida Surgecluster typology
Population487,3462024 ACS

Michigan 12th Congressional District: Florida Surge district. In 2024, voted D+38%. Democratic peak: D+54 in 2008.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
D+38MIT Election Lab
Political typology
Florida SurgeAkashic typology
Population
487,3462024 5-year
Median household income
$64,4002024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
51.3%2024 5-year
Black
34.3%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
6.7%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+54 in 2008MIT Election Lab
DW-NOMINATE
Member ideology
D
TLAIB, RashidaCongress 119 · Democratic
DW-NOMINATE first-dimension (economic) score-0.29 sits at approximately the 36th percentile.0-0.29−1 liberal+1 conservative
TLAIB scores -0.29 on the first NOMINATE dimension (−1 most liberal, +1 most conservative).

Predecessors: DINGELL, Debbie (2021–2023), DINGELL, Debbie (2019–2021), DINGELL, Debbie (2017–2019), DINGELL, Debbie (2015–2017)

Source · Voteview / Lewis, Poole, Rosenthal et al. (CC-BY).
2024 presidential election
Congressional District 12
HarrisD+38
—
2024 presidential margin by county for Congressional District 12, MIA map of the constituent counties of Congressional District 12, MI, each outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic).Wayne County, MI · D+29Oakland County, MI · D+11
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Kamala Harris ✓Democratic66.3%249,017
Donald TrumpRepublican28.5%106,983
OtherAll other candidates5.3%19,733
D+60
R+60
2 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover any county for its result.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2008–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 2008 to 2024. Most recent: +37.8% in 2024.+37.8%DR20082024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
2008+53.7%
2012+53.2%
2016+47.2%
2020+48.5%
2024+37.8%
DemocraticRepublican
5 presidential elections
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
D
+37.8%
249,017106,983375,733
D
+48.5%
285,42197,504387,387
D
+47.2%
250,11485,667348,152
D
+53.2%
274,67783,996358,673
D
+53.7%
298,07988,038391,188
Congressional elections · 17 Senate races

U.S. Senate

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
YearWonD %R %Total
2024D48.6%48.3%5,577,187
2020D49.9%48.2%5,479,720
2018D52.3%45.8%4,237,271
2014D54.6%41.3%3,121,771
2012D58.8%38.0%4,652,918
2008D62.7%33.8%4,848,620
2006D56.9%41.3%3,780,142
2002D60.6%37.9%3,129,287
2000D49.5%47.9%4,167,685
1996D58.4%39.9%3,762,575
1994R42.7%51.9%3,043,385
1990D57.5%41.2%2,560,494
1988D60.4%38.5%3,505,985
1984D51.8%47.2%3,700,938
1982D57.7%40.9%2,994,334
1978D52.1%47.9%2,846,630
1976D52.5%46.8%3,490,412

Demographics

2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
9.6%
Irish
7.1%
Polish
6.3%
English
6.0%
American
4.5%
Italian
3.8%
French
2.1%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 38.3 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
0.6%
85+
1.3%
2.0%
75–84
2.6%
4.7%
65–74
5.5%
6.3%
55–64
6.7%
6.0%
45–54
6.3%
5.9%
35–44
6.3%
7.1%
25–34
7.3%
4.2%
18–24
4.1%
8.8%
5–17
8.4%
3.1%
<5
3.0%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Median household income
Inflation-adjusted dollars
$64,400
Congressional District 12 ranks near the middle of US counties.
Congressional District 12$64,400
Michigan$72,875
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
19.4%
Children face higher poverty than working-age adults.
Children under 1828.6%
Working age (18–64)16.9%
Seniors (65+)13.9%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
83.6%
speak English only
Other languages6.5%
Spanish4.3%
Other Indo-European3.8%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.7%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
15.4%
Baptist
8.4%
Non-Christian
8.2%
Other Christian
7.8%
Pentecostal & Holiness
3.0%
Mainline Protestant
2.7%
Methodist
1.9%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 52.8% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Anchored in Detroit and its inner suburbs, Michigan's 12th congressional district delivered a 20.8-point Democratic margin in 2024, reflecting the dense urban core and majority-minority communities that define its electorate.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of fifty-four points in 2008. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved eleven points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was thirty-eight points.

A population of 487,346, a 51% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $64,400 describe the district.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Congressional District 12, Michigan. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/2612/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Congressional District 12, Michigan vote in 2024?
In 2024, Congressional District 12, Michigan voted Democratic by 37.8 points (D+38), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 375,733 votes cast, 249,017 went Democratic and 106,983 went Republican.
What is Congressional District 12, Michigan's political typology?
Akashic places Congressional District 12, Michigan in the "Florida Surge" typology. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 5 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 5 times, Republican 0 times, and other 0 times.
How many people live in Congressional District 12, Michigan?
Congressional District 12, Michigan has a population of 487,346 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Congressional District 12, Michigan?
Median household income in Congressional District 12, Michigan is $64,400 — below the national median of $80,734. The Michigan state median is $72,875.
What is the political history of Congressional District 12, Michigan?
Akashic tracks 5 presidential elections in Congressional District 12, Michigan from 2008 to 2024. Of those, 5 went Democratic and 0 went Republican. The district's typology — "Florida Surge" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.