akashic
1876–2024
Congressional District 3·Nebraska

Nebraska 3rd Congressional District delivered R+54 in 2024.

One of the widest presidential margins of any U.S. House district

2008 — 2024·5 elections
NE
LatestR+54in 2024
TypologySunbelt Conservativecluster typology
Population652,8012024 ACS

Nebraska 3rd Congressional District: Sunbelt Conservative district. In 2024, voted R+54%. Republican peak: R+54 in 2024.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+54MIT Election Lab
Political typology
Sunbelt ConservativeAkashic typology
Population
652,8012024 5-year
Median household income
$69,5592024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
82.7%2024 5-year
Black
1.5%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
13.1%2024 5-year
Peak Republican margin
R+54 in 2016MIT Election Lab
DW-NOMINATE
Member ideology
R
SMITH, AdrianCongress 119 · Republican
DW-NOMINATE first-dimension (economic) score0.51 sits at approximately the 75th percentile.00.51−1 liberal+1 conservative
SMITH scores 0.51 on the first NOMINATE dimension (−1 most liberal, +1 most conservative).

Predecessors: OSBORNE, Thomas (2005–2007), OSBORNE, Thomas (2003–2005), OSBORNE, Thomas (2001–2003), BARRETT, William E. (1999–2001)

Source · Voteview / Lewis, Poole, Rosenthal et al. (CC-BY).
2024 presidential election
Congressional District 3
TrumpR+54
—
2024 presidential margin by county for Congressional District 3, NEA map of the constituent counties of Congressional District 3, NE, each outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic).Buffalo County, NE · R+45Clay County, NE · R+63Harlan County, NE · R+68Furnas County, NE · R+70Nemaha County, NE · R+44Franklin County, NE · R+69Johnson County, NE · R+40Otoe County, NE · R+39Fillmore County, NE · R+55Deuel County, NE · R+68Howard County, NE · R+62Loup County, NE · R+66Boyd County, NE · R+75Wheeler County, NE · R+76McPherson County, NE · R+90Keya Paha County, NE · R+84Box Butte County, NE · R+56Grant County, NE · R+92Adams County, NE · R+41York County, NE · R+51Nuckolls County, NE · R+64Rock County, NE · R+79Cheyenne County, NE · R+64Burt County, NE · R+45Hitchcock County, NE · R+78Kimball County, NE · R+67Valley County, NE · R+64Nance County, NE · R+60Phelps County, NE · R+68Dixon County, NE · R+58Thomas County, NE · R+77Pawnee County, NE · R+58Hayes County, NE · R+92Chase County, NE · R+77Red Willow County, NE · R+68Richardson County, NE · R+51Keith County, NE · R+64Lincoln County, NE · R+55Dundy County, NE · R+79Custer County, NE · R+72Sheridan County, NE · R+70Greeley County, NE · R+68Brown County, NE · R+74Perkins County, NE · R+72Logan County, NE · R+87Sherman County, NE · R+60Morrill County, NE · R+68Thayer County, NE · R+61Jefferson County, NE · R+45Kearney County, NE · R+58Garden County, NE · R+70Dawson County, NE · R+49Antelope County, NE · R+76Arthur County, NE · R+87Banner County, NE · R+81Boone County, NE · R+66Hamilton County, NE · R+60Gosper County, NE · R+63Webster County, NE · R+65Frontier County, NE · R+73Saline County, NE · R+33Merrick County, NE · R+65Polk County, NE · R+63Washington County, NE · R+42Garfield County, NE · R+76Holt County, NE · R+74Pierce County, NE · R+76Cedar County, NE · R+70Dawes County, NE · R+47Sioux County, NE · R+76Scotts Bluff County, NE · R+48Wayne County, NE · R+49Cherry County, NE · R+76Hooker County, NE · R+74Thurston County, NE · R+7Blaine County, NE · R+73Knox County, NE · R+63Gage County, NE · R+39Dakota County, NE · R+30Hall County, NE · R+38
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Donald Trump ✓Republican76.3%236,372
Kamala HarrisDemocratic22.5%69,665
OtherAll other candidates1.2%3,592
D+60
R+60
80 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover any county for its result.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2008–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 2008 to 2024. Most recent: −53.8% in 2024.−53.8%DR20082024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
2008−34.1%
2012−43.1%
2016−53.6%
2020−51.8%
2024−53.8%
DemocraticRepublican
5 presidential elections
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−53.8%
69,665236,372309,629
R
−51.8%
74,251240,903321,627
R
−53.6%
60,097216,712291,981
R
−43.1%
78,254196,618274,872
R
−34.1%
92,288193,059295,333
Congressional elections · 17 Senate races

U.S. Senate

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
YearWonD %R %Total
2024R0.0%53.2%938,336
2020R24.4%62.7%930,012
2018R38.6%57.7%698,883
2014R31.5%64.3%540,337
2012R42.2%57.8%788,572
2008R40.1%57.5%792,511
2006D63.9%36.1%592,316
2002R14.6%82.8%480,217
2000D51.0%48.8%692,350
1996R42.6%57.4%661,837
1994D54.8%45.0%579,205
1990D58.9%40.9%593,828
1988D56.7%41.7%667,860
1984D51.9%48.0%639,668
1982D66.6%28.5%545,647
1978D67.7%32.3%493,802
1976D52.9%47.1%593,310

Demographics

2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
34.5%
Irish
11.1%
English
9.6%
American
4.1%
Polish
2.3%
French
1.5%
Italian
0.9%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 40.3 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
1.0%
85+
1.7%
2.8%
75–84
3.3%
5.8%
65–74
5.8%
6.6%
55–64
6.5%
5.7%
45–54
5.2%
6.1%
35–44
5.8%
5.6%
25–34
5.4%
4.6%
18–24
4.1%
9.3%
5–17
8.6%
3.1%
<5
3.0%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Median household income
Inflation-adjusted dollars
$69,559
Congressional District 3 ranks near the middle of US counties.
Congressional District 3$69,559
Nebraska$76,475
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
10.9%
Child poverty is below the national average.
Children under 1812.4%
Working age (18–64)10.3%
Seniors (65+)11.6%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
89.4%
speak English only
Spanish8.6%
Other languages0.7%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.6%
Other Indo-European0.6%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Religious adherence data not available for this county.

Covering the vast western two-thirds of Nebraska, this sparsely populated district delivered a 55-point Republican presidential margin in 2024, reflecting the deeply rural, agricultural character of the Great Plains interior.

Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of fifty-four points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved two points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was fifty-four points.

A population of 652,801, a 83% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $69,559 describe the district.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Congressional District 3, Nebraska. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/3103/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Congressional District 3, Nebraska vote in 2024?
In 2024, Congressional District 3, Nebraska voted Republican by 53.8 points (R+54), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 309,629 votes cast, 69,665 went Democratic and 236,372 went Republican.
What is Congressional District 3, Nebraska's political typology?
Akashic places Congressional District 3, Nebraska in the "Sunbelt Conservative" typology. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 5 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 0 times, Republican 5 times, and other 0 times.
How many people live in Congressional District 3, Nebraska?
Congressional District 3, Nebraska has a population of 652,801 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Congressional District 3, Nebraska?
Median household income in Congressional District 3, Nebraska is $69,559 — below the national median of $80,734. The Nebraska state median is $76,475.
What is the political history of Congressional District 3, Nebraska?
Akashic tracks 5 presidential elections in Congressional District 3, Nebraska from 2008 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 5 went Republican. The district's typology — "Sunbelt Conservative" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.