akashic
1876–2024
Congressional District 4·New Jersey

New Jersey 4th Congressional District moved 8 points toward the Republican candidate between 2020 and 2024.

One of New Jersey's most reliably Republican federal districts

2008 — 2024·5 elections
NJ
LatestR+30in 2024
TypologyFlorida Surgecluster typology
Population708,7982024 ACS

New Jersey 4th Congressional District: Florida Surge district. In 2024, voted R+30%. Republican peak: R+30 in 2024.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+30MIT Election Lab
Political typology
Florida SurgeAkashic typology
Population
708,7982024 5-year
Median household income
$104,2702024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
79.6%2024 5-year
Black
4.2%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
11.7%2024 5-year
Peak Republican margin
R+30 in 2024MIT Election Lab
DW-NOMINATE
Member ideology
R
SMITH, Christopher HenryCongress 119 · Republican
DW-NOMINATE first-dimension (economic) score0.18 sits at approximately the 59th percentile.00.18−1 liberal+1 conservative
SMITH scores 0.18 on the first NOMINATE dimension (−1 most liberal, +1 most conservative).

Predecessors: THOMPSON, Frank, Jr. (1979–1981), THOMPSON, Frank, Jr. (1977–1979), THOMPSON, Frank, Jr. (1975–1977), THOMPSON, Frank, Jr. (1973–1975)

Source · Voteview / Lewis, Poole, Rosenthal et al. (CC-BY).
2024 presidential election
Congressional District 4
TrumpR+30
—
2024 presidential margin by county for Congressional District 4, NJA map of the constituent counties of Congressional District 4, NJ, each outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic).Monmouth County, NJ · R+11Ocean County, NJ · R+36
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Donald Trump ✓Republican64.3%265,938
Kamala HarrisDemocratic34.0%140,886
OtherAll other candidates1.7%7,013
D+60
R+60
2 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover any county for its result.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2008–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 2008 to 2024. Most recent: −30.2% in 2024.−30.2%DR20082024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
2008−16.6%
2012−17.2%
2016−28.0%
2020−22.5%
2024−30.2%
DemocraticRepublican
5 presidential elections
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−30.2%
140,886265,938413,837
R
−22.5%
162,921258,627424,664
R
−28.0%
120,223217,819348,855
R
−17.2%
132,291187,084319,375
R
−16.6%
143,876202,154350,750
Congressional elections · 17 Senate races

U.S. Senate

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
YearWonD %R %Total
2024D53.6%44.0%4,031,795
2020D57.2%40.9%4,440,440
2018D54.0%42.8%3,169,310
2014D55.8%42.3%1,869,535
2012D58.9%39.4%3,376,649
2008D56.0%42.0%3,482,445
2006D53.4%44.3%2,250,070
2002D53.9%43.9%2,112,604
2000D50.1%47.1%3,015,662
1996D52.7%42.6%2,883,466
1994D50.3%47.0%2,054,887
1990D50.4%47.4%1,938,454
1988D53.6%45.2%2,987,634
1984D64.2%34.9%3,096,456
1982D50.9%47.8%2,193,945
1978D55.3%43.1%1,957,515
1976D60.7%38.0%2,771,390

Demographics

2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
Italian
20.7%
Irish
18.0%
German
11.5%
Polish
6.5%
English
6.2%
American
6.1%
Scottish
1.2%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 42.0 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
0.9%
85+
1.9%
2.9%
75–84
3.6%
5.5%
65–74
6.4%
6.9%
55–64
7.3%
5.7%
45–54
5.9%
5.5%
35–44
5.5%
5.6%
25–34
5.5%
3.9%
18–24
3.8%
8.6%
5–17
8.3%
3.3%
<5
3.1%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Median household income
Inflation-adjusted dollars
$104,270
Congressional District 4 ranks near the middle of US counties.
Congressional District 4$104,270
New Jersey$103,556
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
8.9%
Child poverty is below the national average.
Children under 1812.4%
Working age (18–64)7.4%
Seniors (65+)9.6%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
84.7%
speak English only
Spanish6.8%
Other Indo-European5.4%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.8%
Other languages1.2%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
32.4%
Non-Christian
7.3%
Other Christian
2.7%
Mainline Protestant
1.9%
Methodist
1.9%
Pentecostal & Holiness
0.8%
Baptist
0.7%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 52.4% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Anchored in Ocean County's coastal and retirement communities, NJ-04 delivered a 19-point Republican presidential margin in 2024 — among the widest in the state — reflecting its older, white, non-urban demographic profile.

Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of thirty points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved eight points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was thirty points.

A population of 708,798, a 80% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $104,270 describe the district.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Congressional District 4, New Jersey. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/3404/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Congressional District 4, New Jersey vote in 2024?
In 2024, Congressional District 4, New Jersey voted Republican by 30.2 points (R+30), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 413,837 votes cast, 140,886 went Democratic and 265,938 went Republican.
What is Congressional District 4, New Jersey's political typology?
Akashic places Congressional District 4, New Jersey in the "Florida Surge" typology. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 5 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 0 times, Republican 5 times, and other 0 times.
How many people live in Congressional District 4, New Jersey?
Congressional District 4, New Jersey has a population of 708,798 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Congressional District 4, New Jersey?
Median household income in Congressional District 4, New Jersey is $104,270 — above the national median of $80,734. The New Jersey state median is $103,556.
What is the political history of Congressional District 4, New Jersey?
Akashic tracks 5 presidential elections in Congressional District 4, New Jersey from 2008 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 5 went Republican. The district's typology — "Florida Surge" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.