akashic
1876–2024
Congressional District 2·New Mexico

New Mexico 2nd Congressional District moved 8 points toward the Republican candidate between 2020 and 2024.

One of the West's most reliably red districts runs from Roswell to the border

20082024·5 elections
NM
LatestR+2in 2024
TypologyTexan Rightcluster typology
Population934,1682024 ACS

New Mexico 2nd Congressional District: Texan Right district. In 2024, voted R+2%. Democratic peak: D+14 in 2008.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+2MIT Election Lab
Political typology
Texan RightAkashic typology
Population
934,1682024 5-year
Median household income
$61,7902024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
47.5%2024 5-year
Black
2.3%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
53.9%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+14 in 2008MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+2 in 2024MIT Election Lab
DW-NOMINATE
Member ideology
D
VASQUEZ, GabrielCongress 119 · Democratic
DW-NOMINATE first-dimension (economic) score-0.33 sits at approximately the 34th percentile.0-0.33−1 liberal+1 conservative
VASQUEZ scores -0.33 on the first NOMINATE dimension (−1 most liberal, +1 most conservative).

Predecessors: HERRELL, Yvette (2021–2023), TORRES SMALL, Xochitl (2019–2021), PEARCE, Stevan (2017–2019), PEARCE, Stevan (2015–2017)

Source · Voteview / Lewis, Poole, Rosenthal et al. (CC-BY).
Congressional District 2
TrumpR+2
2024 presidential margin by county for Congressional District 2, NMA map of the constituent counties of Congressional District 2, NM, each outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic).Grant County, NM · D+5Sierra County, NM · R+19Hidalgo County, NM · R+23Luna County, NM · R+19Cibola County, NM · D+2Catron County, NM · R+50Valencia County, NM · R+16Socorro County, NM · R+4Otero County, NM · R+27Lea County, NM · R+62Chaves County, NM · R+45Eddy County, NM · R+56Doña Ana County, NM · D+10McKinley County, NM · D+25Bernalillo County, NM · D+21
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Donald TrumpRepublican49.8%135,434
Kamala HarrisDemocratic48.0%130,537
OtherAll other candidates2.1%5,739
D+60
R+60
15 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover any county for its result.
Districts are drawn from fractional county slices; this map shows the whole counties that overlap the district. District boundaries: TIGER 2024.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2008–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 2008 to 2024. Most recent: −1.8% in 2024.flipped R · 2024−1.8%DR20082024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
2008+14.1%
2012+9.9%
2016+6.0%
2020+5.9%
2024−1.8%
DemocraticRepublican
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−1.8%
130,537135,434271,710
D
+5.9%
137,446121,860264,895
D
+6.0%
107,18293,604225,392
D
+9.9%
115,27794,535209,812
D
+14.1%
129,86997,459229,837

U.S. Senate

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
YearWonD %R %Total
2024D55.1%44.9%903,311
2020D51.7%45.6%917,237
2018D54.1%30.5%697,012
2014D55.6%44.4%515,506
2012D51.0%45.3%775,793
2008D61.3%38.7%823,650
2006D70.6%29.3%558,550
2002R35.0%65.0%483,056
2000D61.7%38.3%589,526
1996R29.8%64.7%551,821
1994D54.0%46.0%463,196
1990R27.0%72.9%406,938
1988D63.3%36.7%508,598
1984R28.1%71.9%502,634
1982D53.8%46.2%404,810
1978R46.6%53.4%343,487
1976R42.7%56.8%413,056

Demographics

2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
8.5%
English
8.3%
Irish
6.7%
American
4.0%
Italian
2.2%
Scottish
1.5%
French
1.3%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
66.9%
speak English only
Spanish28.4%
Other languages2.4%
Other Indo-European1.1%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.1%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
25.8%
Other Christian
10.1%
Baptist
4.4%
Pentecostal & Holiness
2.9%
Non-Christian
1.8%
Mainline Protestant
1.5%
Methodist
1.3%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 52.1% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Spanning the southeastern quadrant of New Mexico, this vast, energy-producing district has shifted steadily rightward over the past decade, delivering double-digit Republican presidential margins even as the state as a whole trends Democratic.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of fourteen points in 2008 and a Republican high of two points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved eight points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was two points.

A population of 934,168, a 48% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $61,790 describe the district.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Congressional District 2, New Mexico. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/3502/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Congressional District 2, New Mexico vote in 2024?
In 2024, Congressional District 2, New Mexico voted Republican by 1.8 points (R+2), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 271,710 votes cast, 130,537 went Democratic and 135,434 went Republican.
What is Congressional District 2, New Mexico's political typology?
Akashic places Congressional District 2, New Mexico in the "Texan Right" typology. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 5 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 4 times, Republican 1 times, and other 0 times.
When did Congressional District 2, New Mexico last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Congressional District 2, New Mexico voted Democratic was 2020.
How many people live in Congressional District 2, New Mexico?
Congressional District 2, New Mexico has a population of 934,168 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Congressional District 2, New Mexico?
Median household income in Congressional District 2, New Mexico is $61,790 — below the national median of $80,734. The New Mexico state median is $64,059.
What is the political history of Congressional District 2, New Mexico?
Akashic tracks 5 presidential elections in Congressional District 2, New Mexico from 2008 to 2024. Of those, 4 went Democratic and 1 went Republican. The district's typology — "Texan Right" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.