Akashic
1876–2024
New York 15th Congressional District

New York 15th Congressional District moved 22.0 points toward the Republican candidate between 2020 and 2024.

New York's 15th district under the 2026 lines: a Democratic seat with narrowing margins.

2008 — 2024·5 elections
NY
2024 presidential election
New York 15th Congressional District
HarrisD+48.3
2024
2024 presidential margin for New York 15th Congressional DistrictThe boundary of New York 15th Congressional District, filled by its 2024 presidential margin (D+48.3), over faint outlines of the counties it is drawn from.New York 15th Congressional District · D+48.3
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Kamala Harris ✓Democratic73.6%137,174
Donald TrumpRepublican25.3%47,172
OtherAll other candidates1.1%2,110
D+60
R+60
District boundary, filled by its own 2024 D-vs-R margin — precinct detail where available, over the 1 county it's drawn from (shown faint).
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the district’s overall result across 1876–2024, on its current boundaries.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2008–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 2008 to 2024. Most recent: +48.3% in 2024.+48.3%DR20082024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
2008+80.2%
2012+85.5%
2016+81.8%
2020+70.2%
2024+48.3%
DemocraticRepublican
current representation
Current officeholders
D
Ritchie Torres
U.S. House · NY-15 · Democratic
D
Charles Ellis (chuck) Schumer
U.S. Senate · Democratic
D
Kirsten Gillibrand
U.S. Senate · Democratic

Federal officeholders only. State and local officeholders are planned for the next data pass.

Source · Voteview HSall_members.csv.
5 presidential elections
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). † 2012, 2016 sub-county results are estimated: the source reported these cycles at county or municipality level (COVID-era consolidated reporting), so block-level detail is interpolated from the adjacent cycles’ precinct geography, scaled to the unit’s certified totals.
YearWonDemocraticRepublicanOtherMarginTotal
D
73.6%Harris137,174
25.3%Trump47,172
1.1%
+48.3%
186,456
D
84.7%Biden182,310
14.5%Trump31,132
0.9%incl. Jorgensen
+70.2%
215,277
D
89.9%Clinton184,738
8.1%Trump16,642
2.0%incl. Johnson
+81.8%
205,488
D
92.7%Obama178,956
7.3%Romney14,017
0.0%
+85.5%
192,973
D
89.9%Obama177,428
9.7%McCain19,153
0.4%
+80.2%
197,390
Congressional elections · 25 House races · 17 Senate races

U.S. House

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), House. CC-BY 4.0.
YearDistrictWonDemocraticRepublicanTotal
202415D
69.2%130,392
17.2%32,494
188,545
202215D
75.1%76,406
15.6%15,882
101,732
202015D
88.7%169,533
9.9%18,984
191,037
201815D
94.0%122,007
3.5%4,566
129,751
201615D
95.2%165,688
3.5%6,129
174,036
201415D
94.0%53,128
0.0%0
56,521
201215D
95.6%150,243
2.2%3,487
157,088
201015D
80.4%91,225
9.4%10,678
113,429
200815D
85.8%170,372
7.9%15,676
198,676
200615D
84.9%93,857
6.0%6,592
110,508
200415D
86.5%153,099
7.0%12,355
177,051
200215D
80.8%77,036
9.2%8,790
95,375
200015D
87.8%124,415
4.9%6,906
141,664
199815D
90.9%88,271
5.8%5,633
97,139
199615D
87.1%108,680
4.8%5,951
124,734
199415D
68.7%74,566
0.0%0
108,602
199215D
91.5%101,229
0.0%0
110,693
199015R
28.4%30,519
45.1%48,505
107,522
198815R
36.7%64,425
57.4%100,701
175,483
198615R
38.3%38,436
54.8%54,949
100,361
198415R
40.9%78,575
53.3%102,317
192,048
198215R
39.0%48,200
50.3%62,273
123,698
198015D
50.2%49,684
38.1%37,709
98,976
197815D
59.0%42,646
28.4%20,508
72,331
197615D
54.2%59,350
30.7%33,641
109,487

U.S. Senate

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
YearWonDemocraticRepublicanTotal
2024D
58.8%4,711,669
40.5%3,246,690
8,011,270
2022D
51.7%3,022,822
37.7%2,204,499
5,848,556
2018D
62.0%3,755,489
28.6%1,730,439
6,055,151
2016D
64.7%4,784,220
23.3%1,723,927
7,396,308
2012D
66.4%4,420,043
22.7%1,514,647
6,660,665
2010D
66.3%3,047,880
27.0%1,239,605
4,595,515
2006D
60.1%2,698,931
27.0%1,212,902
4,490,053
2004D
65.4%4,384,907
24.2%1,625,069
6,702,875
2000D
52.5%3,562,415
40.2%2,724,589
6,779,839
1998D
51.1%2,386,314
36.0%1,680,203
4,670,805
1994D
47.5%2,528,387
32.1%1,711,760
5,328,486
1992D
45.6%2,943,001
41.1%2,652,822
6,458,826
1988D
64.7%3,907,178
27.9%1,686,558
6,040,980
1986R
38.4%1,723,216
45.3%2,030,260
4,484,859
1982D
62.2%3,089,871
28.5%1,415,749
4,967,497
1980D
43.5%2,618,661
37.8%2,272,082
6,014,841
1976D
48.6%3,238,511
37.9%2,525,139
6,666,875

Demographics

Demographic profile

Demographic Profile

Key indicators compared across containing geographies

Demographic Profile. Key indicators compared across containing geographies. ACS values are survey estimates and may include margins of error. Religion data may be available only at county or larger geographies. Sub-county values are labeled when inherited, modeled, or contextual.
IndicatorNY-15Congressional districtNew YorkStateUnited StatesNation
Race & Ethnicity
White14.1%55.2%61.0%
Black36.4%14.4%12.2%
Asian3.5%9.1%6.0%
Two or more races12.7%10.3%12.6%
Other race33.4%11.1%8.2%
Hispanic or Latino52.4%19.8%19.3%
Income & Age
Median household income$47,075$85,974$84,427
Poverty rate29.8%14.0%12.5%
Median age35.539.939.1
Age 18–249.5%9.0%9.2%
Age 65 and older14.6%18.0%17.2%
Education & Language
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)22.4%40.0%35.6%
Speaks a non-English language at home57.0%30.9%22.3%
Spanish45.1%14.8%13.6%
Other languages4.3%1.3%0.8%
Other Indo-European3.5%4.0%2.0%
French (incl. Cajun & Haitian)1.8%1.5%0.7%
Ancestry
Largest ancestryDominican 23.8%Italian 10.9%German 12.5%
2nd-largest ancestryPuerto Rican 16.3%Irish 10.5%Mexican 11.3%
3rd-largest ancestryMexican 5.8%German 8.6%English 9.5%
Religion
Catholic22.9%County context30.8%18.6%
Evangelical Protestant4.3%County context5.1%16.5%
Unaffiliated or unclaimed61.3%County context48.7%51.5%
Muslim7.6%County context3.5%1.3%

ACS values are survey estimates and may include margins of error.

Religion data may be available only at county or larger geographies. Sub-county values are labeled when inherited, modeled, or contextual.

2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the origins and ancestries reported within it.
Specific origin · ACS B03001
Dominican
23.8%
Puerto Rican
16.3%
Mexican
5.8%
Ecuadorian
2.1%
Honduran
1.4%
Cuban
0.6%
Colombian
0.6%
Guatemalan
0.5%
Reported ancestry · ACS B04006
African American identity is recorded by the ACS race question; the ancestry item enumerates specific African and Caribbean ancestries only.
Jamaican
3.9%
African
2.5%
Ghanaian
1.4%
West Indian
0.9%
Guyanese
0.8%
Nigerian
0.6%
Haitian
0.4%
Trinidadian and Tobagonian
0.4%
Tribal grouping · detailed group · ACS B02020 · B02016
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, Pacific Islander, and other single-race responses combined.
Aztec
0.4%
Reported ancestry · ACS B04006
American
3.4%
Italian
2.5%
Irish
1.7%
German
0.9%
Russian
0.5%
English
0.4%
Polish
0.3%
French
0.3%
The ACS does not publish subgroup detail for people reporting two or more races.
Detailed group · ACS B02015
Asian Indian
1.3%
Bangladeshi
1.0%
Chinese
0.5%
Filipino
0.4%
Vietnamese
0.2%
Pakistani
0.2%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Race shares: B02001 · B03003. Subgroup detail: B03001 (Hispanic or Latino specific origin), B02015 (Asian groups), B02020 · B02016 (American Indian/Alaska Native tribes and Pacific Islander groups), B04006 (reported ancestry). Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so group shares can total more than 100%. All subgroup rows are shares of total population; ancestry is self-reported and multiple-response, so rows do not sum to the parent group's share.
2024 ACS
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 35.5 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
0.6%
85+
1.2%
1.7%
75–84
2.8%
3.6%
65–74
4.7%
5.5%
55–64
6.5%
5.5%
45–54
6.4%
6.1%
35–44
6.8%
7.2%
25–34
7.7%
4.8%
18–24
4.7%
9.0%
5–17
8.7%
3.3%
<5
3.2%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Median household income
Inflation-adjusted dollars
$47,075
New York 15th Congressional District$47,075
New York$85,974
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
29.8%
Children face higher poverty than working-age adults.
Children under 1835.9%
Working age (18–64)24.9%
Seniors (65+)28.9%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
43.0%
speak English only
Spanish45.1%
Other languages4.3%
Other Indo-European3.5%
French (incl. Cajun & Haitian)1.8%
Arabic0.6%
Russian, Polish, or other Slavic0.4%
Chinese (incl. Mandarin & Cantonese)0.4%
Tagalog (incl. Filipino)0.3%
Vietnamese0.2%
Other Asian & Pacific Island0.2%
German or other West Germanic0.1%
Korean0.1%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic
22.9%
Muslim
7.6%
Evangelical Protestant
4.3%
Mainline Protestant
1.5%
Jewish
0.9%
Black Protestant
0.9%
Latter-day Saints
0.3%
Orthodox Christian
0.1%
Buddhist
0.1%
Hindu
0.1%
Unaffiliated or not counted61.3%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. The unaffiliated-or-not-counted share is everyone not claimed as an adherent by any reporting body — uncounted congregations as well as the religiously unaffiliated.

New York's 15th congressional district, as drawn for the 2026 elections, takes in parts of Bronx county. About 777,000 people live within its 2026 boundaries, with a median age of 35.5. Measured on those boundaries, the district has voted Democratic in every presidential election since 2012, by narrowing margins. The margin was D+85.5 in 2012, D+81.8 in 2016, D+70.3 in 2020, and D+48.3 in 2024.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 85.5 points in 2012. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 22.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 48.3 points.

A population of 777,002, a 14% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $47,075 describe the district.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
New York 15th Congressional District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/3615/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did New York 15th Congressional District vote in 2024?
In 2024, New York 15th Congressional District voted Democratic by 48.3 points (D+48.3), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 186,456 votes cast, 137,174 went Democratic and 47,172 went Republican.
How many people live in New York 15th Congressional District?
New York 15th Congressional District has a population of 777,002 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in New York 15th Congressional District?
Median household income in New York 15th Congressional District is $47,075 — below the national median of $80,734. The New York state median is $85,974.
What is the political history of New York 15th Congressional District?
Akashic tracks 5 presidential elections in New York 15th Congressional District from 2008 to 2024. Of those, 5 went Democratic and 0 went Republican.