akashic
1876–2024
Congressional District 4·Ohio

Ohio 4th Congressional District delivered R+37 in 2024.

One of Ohio's most reliably Republican stretches of rural heartland

2008 — 2024·5 elections
OH
LatestR+37in 2024
TypologyStable Rural Rightcluster typology
Population788,1272024 ACS

Ohio 4th Congressional District: Stable Rural Right district. In 2024, voted R+37%. Republican peak: R+37 in 2016.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+37MIT Election Lab
Political typology
Stable Rural RightAkashic typology
Population
788,1272024 5-year
Median household income
$83,5722024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
86.4%2024 5-year
Black
4.3%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
2.8%2024 5-year
Peak Republican margin
R+37 in 2016MIT Election Lab
DW-NOMINATE
Member ideology
R
JORDAN, JimCongress 119 · Republican
DW-NOMINATE first-dimension (economic) score0.71 sits at approximately the 86th percentile.00.71−1 liberal+1 conservative
JORDAN scores 0.71 on the first NOMINATE dimension (−1 most liberal, +1 most conservative).

Predecessors: OXLEY, Michael Garver (2005–2007), OXLEY, Michael Garver (2003–2005), OXLEY, Michael Garver (2001–2003), OXLEY, Michael Garver (1999–2001)

Source · Voteview / Lewis, Poole, Rosenthal et al. (CC-BY).
2024 presidential election
Congressional District 4
TrumpR+37
—
2024 presidential margin by county for Congressional District 4, OHA map of the constituent counties of Congressional District 4, OH, each outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic).Champaign County, OH · R+51Morrow County, OH · R+56Logan County, OH · R+56Union County, OH · R+29Hardin County, OH · R+55Shelby County, OH · R+65Ashland County, OH · R+50Wyandot County, OH · R+51Auglaize County, OH · R+64Marion County, OH · R+41Richland County, OH · R+42Delaware County, OH · R+7Allen County, OH · R+44
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Donald Trump ✓Republican67.9%276,506
Kamala HarrisDemocratic31.2%126,892
OtherAll other candidates0.9%3,559
D+60
R+60
13 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover any county for its result.
Districts are drawn from fractional county slices; this map shows the whole counties that overlap the district. District boundaries: TIGER 2024.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2008–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 2008 to 2024. Most recent: −36.8% in 2024.−36.8%DR20082024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
2008−20.9%
2012−25.2%
2016−37.4%
2020−35.7%
2024−36.8%
DemocraticRepublican
5 presidential elections
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−36.8%
126,892276,506406,957
R
−35.7%
125,717268,712400,736
R
−37.4%
103,520237,234357,525
R
−25.2%
131,280219,851351,131
R
−20.9%
139,883215,857363,623
Congressional elections · 17 Senate races

U.S. Senate

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
YearWonD %R %Total
2024R46.5%50.1%5,704,620
2022R46.9%53.0%4,133,342
2018D53.4%46.6%4,410,898
2016R37.2%58.0%5,374,164
2012D50.7%44.7%5,449,018
2010R39.4%56.8%3,815,098
2006D56.2%43.8%4,019,236
2004R36.1%63.8%5,425,823
2000R35.9%59.9%4,448,801
1998R43.5%56.5%3,404,351
1994R39.2%53.4%3,436,884
1992D51.0%42.3%4,793,953
1988D57.0%43.0%4,352,905
1986D62.5%37.5%3,121,189
1982D56.7%41.1%3,395,463
1980D68.8%28.2%4,027,303
1976D49.5%46.5%3,920,613

Demographics

2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
26.8%
English
12.5%
Irish
12.3%
American
7.2%
Italian
3.9%
Scottish
2.1%
Polish
1.4%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 40.3 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
0.7%
85+
1.3%
2.3%
75–84
2.9%
5.2%
65–74
5.6%
6.5%
55–64
6.5%
6.5%
45–54
6.2%
6.6%
35–44
6.2%
6.2%
25–34
5.7%
4.5%
18–24
4.0%
8.9%
5–17
8.4%
3.0%
<5
2.8%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Median household income
Inflation-adjusted dollars
$83,572
Congressional District 4 ranks near the middle of US counties.
Congressional District 4$83,572
Ohio$71,389
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
10.6%
Child poverty is below the national average.
Children under 1814.1%
Working age (18–64)9.7%
Seniors (65+)8.3%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
94.5%
speak English only
Other Indo-European2.3%
Spanish1.4%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.4%
Other languages0.4%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Other Christian
14.7%
Catholic & Orthodox
11.1%
Mainline Protestant
4.6%
Methodist
4.6%
Pentecostal & Holiness
3.7%
Baptist
2.7%
Non-Christian
0.9%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 57.7% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Ohio's 4th covers a swath of north-central and west-central farm country where Republican presidential nominees have carried the district by margins exceeding 35 points in recent cycles, reflecting a rural electorate with few competitive precincts.

Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of thirty-seven points in 2016. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved one point toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was thirty-seven points.

A population of 788,127, a 86% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $83,572 describe the district.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Congressional District 4, Ohio. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/3904/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Congressional District 4, Ohio vote in 2024?
In 2024, Congressional District 4, Ohio voted Republican by 36.8 points (R+37), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 406,957 votes cast, 126,892 went Democratic and 276,506 went Republican.
What is Congressional District 4, Ohio's political typology?
Akashic places Congressional District 4, Ohio in the "Stable Rural Right" typology. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 5 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 0 times, Republican 5 times, and other 0 times.
How many people live in Congressional District 4, Ohio?
Congressional District 4, Ohio has a population of 788,127 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Congressional District 4, Ohio?
Median household income in Congressional District 4, Ohio is $83,572 — above the national median of $80,734. The Ohio state median is $71,389.
What is the political history of Congressional District 4, Ohio?
Akashic tracks 5 presidential elections in Congressional District 4, Ohio from 2008 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 5 went Republican. The district's typology — "Stable Rural Right" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.