akashic
1876–2024
Congressional District 3·Texas

Texas 3rd Congressional District moved 6 points toward the Republican candidate between 2020 and 2024.

Collin County suburbs where a once-safe R margin has narrowed to single digits

2008 — 2024·5 elections
TX
LatestR+20in 2024
TypologyDiversifying Metrocluster typology
Population1,034,8502024 ACS

Texas 3rd Congressional District: Diversifying Metro district. In 2024, voted R+20%. Republican peak: R+39 in 2012.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+20MIT Election Lab
Political typology
Diversifying MetroAkashic typology
Population
1,034,8502024 5-year
Median household income
$116,9672024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
55.1%2024 5-year
Black
10.7%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
16.6%2024 5-year
Peak Republican margin
R+39 in 2012MIT Election Lab
DW-NOMINATE
Member ideology
R
SELF, KeithCongress 119 · Republican
DW-NOMINATE first-dimension (economic) score0.81 sits at approximately the 91st percentile.00.81−1 liberal+1 conservative
SELF scores 0.81 on the first NOMINATE dimension (−1 most liberal, +1 most conservative).

Predecessors: TAYLOR, Nicholas (2021–2023), TAYLOR, Nicholas (2019–2021), JOHNSON, Sam (2017–2019), JOHNSON, Sam (2015–2017)

Source · Voteview / Lewis, Poole, Rosenthal et al. (CC-BY).
2024 presidential election
Congressional District 3
TrumpR+20
—
2024 presidential margin by county for Congressional District 3, TXA map of the constituent counties of Congressional District 3, TX, each outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic).Hunt County, TX · R+55Collin County, TX · R+11
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Donald Trump ✓Republican58.7%232,064
Kamala HarrisDemocratic38.6%152,835
OtherAll other candidates2.7%10,721
D+60
R+60
2 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover any county for its result.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2008–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 2008 to 2024. Most recent: −20.0% in 2024.−20.0%DR20082024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
2008−31.7%
2012−39.0%
2016−26.0%
2020−14.4%
2024−20.0%
DemocraticRepublican
5 presidential elections
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−20.0%
152,835232,064395,620
R
−14.4%
152,324204,557361,544
R
−26.0%
92,173162,763271,444
R
−39.0%
67,612153,944221,556
R
−31.7%
73,623142,646217,591
Congressional elections · 17 Senate races

U.S. Senate

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
YearWonD %R %Total
2024R44.6%53.1%11,291,854
2020R43.9%53.5%11,144,040
2018R48.3%50.9%8,371,655
2014R34.4%61.6%4,648,358
2012R40.6%56.5%7,864,822
2008R42.8%54.8%7,912,075
2006R36.0%61.7%4,314,663
2002R43.3%55.3%4,514,012
2000R32.3%65.1%6,267,964
1996R43.9%54.8%5,527,441
1994R38.3%60.8%4,279,940
1990R37.4%60.2%3,822,157
1988D59.2%40.0%5,323,606
1984R41.4%58.5%5,314,178
1982D58.6%40.5%3,103,167
1978R49.3%49.8%2,312,540
1976D56.8%42.2%3,874,230

Demographics

2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
English
10.5%
German
9.7%
Irish
7.6%
American
6.3%
Italian
2.8%
Scottish
1.8%
French
1.6%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 37.3 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
0.4%
85+
0.7%
1.6%
75–84
2.0%
3.4%
65–74
3.9%
5.7%
55–64
5.7%
7.4%
45–54
7.2%
7.7%
35–44
7.9%
6.5%
25–34
6.6%
4.5%
18–24
4.3%
9.6%
5–17
9.3%
3.0%
<5
2.8%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Median household income
Inflation-adjusted dollars
$116,967
Congressional District 3 ranks near the middle of US counties.
Congressional District 3$116,967
Texas$78,476
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
6.7%
Child poverty is below the national average.
Children under 187.7%
Working age (18–64)6.2%
Seniors (65+)9.9%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
70.1%
speak English only
Spanish11.1%
Asian & Pacific Islander9.1%
Other Indo-European7.3%
Other languages2.5%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
12.3%
Other Christian
11.8%
Baptist
10.0%
Non-Christian
5.7%
Methodist
4.4%
Mainline Protestant
1.7%
Pentecostal & Holiness
0.9%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 53.1% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Texas's 3rd district covers the affluent northern Dallas suburbs, a corridor of rapid population growth and rising educational attainment that compressed its presidential margin from R+20 a decade ago to R+7.5 in 2024.

Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of thirty-nine points in 2012. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved six points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was twenty points.

A population of 1,034,850, a 55% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $116,967 describe the district.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Congressional District 3, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/4803/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Congressional District 3, Texas vote in 2024?
In 2024, Congressional District 3, Texas voted Republican by 20.0 points (R+20), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 395,620 votes cast, 152,835 went Democratic and 232,064 went Republican.
What is Congressional District 3, Texas's political typology?
Akashic places Congressional District 3, Texas in the "Diversifying Metro" typology. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 5 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 0 times, Republican 5 times, and other 0 times.
How many people live in Congressional District 3, Texas?
Congressional District 3, Texas has a population of 1,034,850 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Congressional District 3, Texas?
Median household income in Congressional District 3, Texas is $116,967 — above the national median of $80,734. The Texas state median is $78,476.
What is the political history of Congressional District 3, Texas?
Akashic tracks 5 presidential elections in Congressional District 3, Texas from 2008 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 5 went Republican. The district's typology — "Diversifying Metro" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.