akashic
1876–2024
Congressional District 10·Texas

Texas 10th Congressional District moved 6 points toward the Republican candidate between 2020 and 2024.

A Houston-to-Hill Country corridor that's trended toward single digits

20082024·5 elections
TX
LatestR+25in 2024
TypologyDiversifying Metrocluster typology
Population1,103,6382024 ACS

Texas 10th Congressional District: Diversifying Metro district. In 2024, voted R+25%. Republican peak: R+35 in 2012.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+25MIT Election Lab
Political typology
Diversifying MetroAkashic typology
Population
1,103,6382024 5-year
Median household income
$84,3672024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
58.1%2024 5-year
Black
9.9%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
30.6%2024 5-year
Peak Republican margin
R+35 in 2012MIT Election Lab
DW-NOMINATE
Member ideology
R
MCCAUL, Michael T.Congress 119 · Republican
DW-NOMINATE first-dimension (economic) score0.41 sits at approximately the 71st percentile.00.41−1 liberal+1 conservative
MCCAUL scores 0.41 on the first NOMINATE dimension (−1 most liberal, +1 most conservative).

Predecessors: DOGGETT, Lloyd Alton, II (2003–2005), DOGGETT, Lloyd Alton, II (2001–2003), DOGGETT, Lloyd Alton, II (1999–2001), DOGGETT, Lloyd Alton, II (1997–1999)

Source · Voteview / Lewis, Poole, Rosenthal et al. (CC-BY).
Congressional District 10
TrumpR+25
2024 presidential margin by county for Congressional District 10, TXA map of the constituent counties of Congressional District 10, TX, each outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic).Waller County, TX · R+25Madison County, TX · R+64Washington County, TX · R+55Burleson County, TX · R+63Lee County, TX · R+60Austin County, TX · R+63Brazos County, TX · R+25Bastrop County, TX · R+18Colorado County, TX · R+57Fayette County, TX · R+61Travis County, TX · D+39Williamson County, TX · R+2Grimes County, TX · R+60
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Donald TrumpRepublican61.6%220,429
Kamala HarrisDemocratic36.8%131,838
OtherAll other candidates1.6%5,668
D+60
R+60
13 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover any county for its result.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2008–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 2008 to 2024. Most recent: −24.8% in 2024.−24.8%DR20082024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
2008−25.2%
2012−34.7%
2016−26.3%
2020−18.9%
2024−24.8%
DemocraticRepublican
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−24.8%
131,838220,429357,935
R
−18.9%
135,013198,896338,699
R
−26.3%
89,432158,822263,511
R
−34.7%
73,182150,979224,161
R
−25.2%
84,148141,490227,646

U.S. Senate

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
YearWonD %R %Total
2024R44.6%53.1%11,291,854
2020R43.9%53.5%11,144,040
2018R48.3%50.9%8,371,655
2014R34.4%61.6%4,648,358
2012R40.6%56.5%7,864,822
2008R42.8%54.8%7,912,075
2006R36.0%61.7%4,314,663
2002R43.3%55.3%4,514,012
2000R32.3%65.1%6,267,964
1996R43.9%54.8%5,527,441
1994R38.3%60.8%4,279,940
1990R37.4%60.2%3,822,157
1988D59.2%40.0%5,323,606
1984R41.4%58.5%5,314,178
1982D58.6%40.5%3,103,167
1978R49.3%49.8%2,312,540
1976D56.8%42.2%3,874,230

Demographics

2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
13.4%
English
9.7%
Irish
7.8%
American
3.7%
Italian
2.6%
French
2.1%
Scottish
1.6%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
73.4%
speak English only
Spanish19.8%
Asian & Pacific Islander2.9%
Other Indo-European2.8%
Other languages1.0%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
20.2%
Baptist
8.4%
Other Christian
7.4%
Mainline Protestant
4.2%
Methodist
3.0%
Non-Christian
1.7%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.1%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 54.0% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Texas's 10th stretches from Houston's western suburbs through the Hill Country to Austin's eastern fringe, blending exurban growth with rural ranching communities. The district's presidential margin narrowed to R+6.7 in 2024, reflecting ongoing suburban realignment.

Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of thirty-five points in 2012. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved six points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was twenty-five points.

A population of 1,103,638, a 58% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $84,367 describe the district.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Congressional District 10, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/4810/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Congressional District 10, Texas vote in 2024?
In 2024, Congressional District 10, Texas voted Republican by 24.8 points (R+25), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 357,935 votes cast, 131,838 went Democratic and 220,429 went Republican.
What is Congressional District 10, Texas's political typology?
Akashic places Congressional District 10, Texas in the "Diversifying Metro" typology. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 5 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 0 times, Republican 5 times, and other 0 times.
How many people live in Congressional District 10, Texas?
Congressional District 10, Texas has a population of 1,103,638 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Congressional District 10, Texas?
Median household income in Congressional District 10, Texas is $84,367 — above the national median of $80,734. The Texas state median is $78,476.
What is the political history of Congressional District 10, Texas?
Akashic tracks 5 presidential elections in Congressional District 10, Texas from 2008 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 5 went Republican. The district's typology — "Diversifying Metro" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.