akashic
1876–2024
Congressional District 28·Texas

Texas 28th Congressional District moved 14 points toward the Republican candidate between 2020 and 2024.

A South Texas corridor where a decade of leftward drift reversed sharply

2008 — 2024·5 elections
TX
LatestR+7in 2024
TypologyNew Americancluster typology
Population1,021,3712024 ACS

Texas 28th Congressional District: New American district. In 2024, voted R+7%. Democratic peak: D+22 in 2012.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+7MIT Election Lab
Political typology
New AmericanAkashic typology
Population
1,021,3712024 5-year
Median household income
$67,5122024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
36.5%2024 5-year
Black
4.9%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
71.7%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+22 in 2012MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+7 in 2024MIT Election Lab
DW-NOMINATE
Member ideology
D
CUELLAR, HenryCongress 119 · Democratic
DW-NOMINATE first-dimension (economic) score-0.23 sits at approximately the 39th percentile.0-0.23−1 liberal+1 conservative
CUELLAR scores -0.23 on the first NOMINATE dimension (−1 most liberal, +1 most conservative).

Predecessors: RODRIGUEZ, Ciro D. (2003–2005), RODRIGUEZ, Ciro D. (2001–2003), RODRIGUEZ, Ciro D. (1999–2001), RODRIGUEZ, Ciro D. (1997–1999)

Source · Voteview / Lewis, Poole, Rosenthal et al. (CC-BY).
2024 presidential election
Congressional District 28
TrumpR+7
—
2024 presidential margin by county for Congressional District 28, TXA map of the constituent counties of Congressional District 28, TX, each outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic).Guadalupe County, TX · R+29McMullen County, TX · R+84La Salle County, TX · R+21Zapata County, TX · R+22Jim Hogg County, TX · D+8Duval County, TX · R+10Atascosa County, TX · R+43Starr County, TX · R+16Webb County, TX · R+2Bexar County, TX · D+10
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Donald Trump ✓Republican53.2%133,135
Kamala HarrisDemocratic45.8%114,811
OtherAll other candidates1.0%2,512
D+60
R+60
10 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover any county for its result.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2008–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 2008 to 2024. Most recent: −7.3% in 2024.flipped R · 2024−7.3%DR20082024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
2008+18.5%
2012+21.8%
2016+19.2%
2020+7.1%
2024−7.3%
DemocraticRepublican
5 presidential elections
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−7.3%
114,811133,135250,458
D
+7.1%
131,747114,197248,181
D
+19.2%
111,64974,372194,330
D
+21.8%
103,69666,555170,251
D
+18.5%
97,96367,109166,711
Congressional elections · 17 Senate races

U.S. Senate

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
YearWonD %R %Total
2024R44.6%53.1%11,291,854
2020R43.9%53.5%11,144,040
2018R48.3%50.9%8,371,655
2014R34.4%61.6%4,648,358
2012R40.6%56.5%7,864,822
2008R42.8%54.8%7,912,075
2006R36.0%61.7%4,314,663
2002R43.3%55.3%4,514,012
2000R32.3%65.1%6,267,964
1996R43.9%54.8%5,527,441
1994R38.3%60.8%4,279,940
1990R37.4%60.2%3,822,157
1988D59.2%40.0%5,323,606
1984R41.4%58.5%5,314,178
1982D58.6%40.5%3,103,167
1978R49.3%49.8%2,312,540
1976D56.8%42.2%3,874,230

Demographics

2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
5.9%
English
4.0%
Irish
3.6%
American
3.0%
Italian
1.3%
French
0.8%
Polish
0.7%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 33.3 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
0.5%
85+
0.9%
1.5%
75–84
2.0%
3.4%
65–74
4.0%
4.8%
55–64
5.2%
5.8%
45–54
6.0%
6.8%
35–44
6.6%
7.6%
25–34
7.1%
5.3%
18–24
5.1%
10.2%
5–17
9.9%
3.6%
<5
3.5%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Median household income
Inflation-adjusted dollars
$67,512
Congressional District 28 ranks near the middle of US counties.
Congressional District 28$67,512
Texas$78,476
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
18.0%
Children face moderate poverty.
Children under 1823.9%
Working age (18–64)15.4%
Seniors (65+)20.2%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
45.9%
speak English only
Spanish51.3%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.3%
Other Indo-European1.0%
Other languages0.4%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
39.6%
Other Christian
9.4%
Baptist
5.2%
Pentecostal & Holiness
2.1%
Methodist
1.3%
Mainline Protestant
1.2%
Non-Christian
0.9%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 40.4% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

TX-28 stretches from San Antonio's southern suburbs to Laredo along the Rio Grande, and its heavily Hispanic electorate has shifted markedly toward Republicans over the past two election cycles, bucking long-held assumptions about the region's partisan lean.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of twenty-two points in 2012 and a Republican high of seven points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved fourteen points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was seven points.

A population of 1,021,371, a 37% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $67,512 describe the district.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Congressional District 28, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/4828/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Congressional District 28, Texas vote in 2024?
In 2024, Congressional District 28, Texas voted Republican by 7.3 points (R+7), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 250,458 votes cast, 114,811 went Democratic and 133,135 went Republican.
What is Congressional District 28, Texas's political typology?
Akashic places Congressional District 28, Texas in the "New American" typology. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 5 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 4 times, Republican 1 times, and other 0 times.
When did Congressional District 28, Texas last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Congressional District 28, Texas voted Democratic was 2020.
How many people live in Congressional District 28, Texas?
Congressional District 28, Texas has a population of 1,021,371 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Congressional District 28, Texas?
Median household income in Congressional District 28, Texas is $67,512 — below the national median of $80,734. The Texas state median is $78,476.
What is the political history of Congressional District 28, Texas?
Akashic tracks 5 presidential elections in Congressional District 28, Texas from 2008 to 2024. Of those, 4 went Democratic and 1 went Republican. The district's typology — "New American" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.