akashic
1876–2024
Congressional District 34·Texas

Texas 34th Congressional District moved 20 points toward the Republican candidate between 2020 and 2024.

A South Texas corridor that has shifted sharply toward Republicans since 2020

20082024·5 elections
TX
LatestR+4in 2024
TypologyNew Americancluster typology
Population647,5752024 ACS

Texas 34th Congressional District: New American district. In 2024, voted R+4%. Democratic peak: D+38 in 2012.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+4MIT Election Lab
Political typology
New AmericanAkashic typology
Population
647,5752024 5-year
Median household income
$53,5152024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
33.8%2024 5-year
Black
0.8%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
89.1%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+38 in 2012MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+4 in 2024MIT Election Lab
DW-NOMINATE
Member ideology
D
GONZALEZ, Vicente, Jr.Congress 119 · Democratic
DW-NOMINATE first-dimension (economic) score-0.39 sits at approximately the 31st percentile.0-0.39−1 liberal+1 conservative
GONZALEZ scores -0.39 on the first NOMINATE dimension (−1 most liberal, +1 most conservative).

Predecessors: VELA, Filemon (2021–2023), FLORES, Mayra (2021–2023), VELA, Filemon (2019–2021), VELA, Filemon (2017–2019)

Source · Voteview / Lewis, Poole, Rosenthal et al. (CC-BY).
Congressional District 34
TrumpR+4
2024 presidential margin by county for Congressional District 34, TXA map of the constituent counties of Congressional District 34, TX, each outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic).Kleberg County, TX · R+13Kenedy County, TX · R+47Hidalgo County, TX · R+3Cameron County, TX · R+6Willacy County, TX · R+3
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Donald TrumpRepublican51.8%105,957
Kamala HarrisDemocratic47.3%96,937
OtherAll other candidates0.9%1,852
D+60
R+60
5 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover any county for its result.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2008–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 2008 to 2024. Most recent: −4.4% in 2024.flipped R · 2024−4.4%DR20082024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
2008+34.4%
2012+38.3%
2016+36.1%
2020+15.6%
2024−4.4%
DemocraticRepublican
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−4.4%
96,937105,957204,746
D
+15.6%
116,90585,214203,375
D
+36.1%
109,89649,802166,336
D
+38.3%
94,94642,367137,313
D
+34.4%
91,03544,039136,604

U.S. Senate

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
YearWonD %R %Total
2024R44.6%53.1%11,291,854
2020R43.9%53.5%11,144,040
2018R48.3%50.9%8,371,655
2014R34.4%61.6%4,648,358
2012R40.6%56.5%7,864,822
2008R42.8%54.8%7,912,075
2006R36.0%61.7%4,314,663
2002R43.3%55.3%4,514,012
2000R32.3%65.1%6,267,964
1996R43.9%54.8%5,527,441
1994R38.3%60.8%4,279,940
1990R37.4%60.2%3,822,157
1988D59.2%40.0%5,323,606
1984R41.4%58.5%5,314,178
1982D58.6%40.5%3,103,167
1978R49.3%49.8%2,312,540
1976D56.8%42.2%3,874,230

Demographics

2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
2.3%
American
2.2%
English
2.0%
Irish
1.4%
Italian
0.5%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
27.9%
speak English only
Spanish71.1%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.6%
Other Indo-European0.4%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
38.9%
Other Christian
10.9%
Baptist
2.8%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.3%
Mainline Protestant
0.9%
Methodist
0.8%
Non-Christian
0.2%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 44.2% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Stretching along the Rio Grande from Laredo to the Gulf Coast, TX-34 backed Democrats by double digits as recently as 2020 before swinging R+12.1 in 2024, making it one of the cycle's most dramatic margin reversals among majority-Hispanic districts.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of thirty-eight points in 2012 and a Republican high of four points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved twenty points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was four points.

A population of 647,575, a 34% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $53,515 describe the district.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Congressional District 34, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/4834/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Congressional District 34, Texas vote in 2024?
In 2024, Congressional District 34, Texas voted Republican by 4.4 points (R+4), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 204,746 votes cast, 96,937 went Democratic and 105,957 went Republican.
What is Congressional District 34, Texas's political typology?
Akashic places Congressional District 34, Texas in the "New American" typology. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 5 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 4 times, Republican 1 times, and other 0 times.
When did Congressional District 34, Texas last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Congressional District 34, Texas voted Democratic was 2020.
How many people live in Congressional District 34, Texas?
Congressional District 34, Texas has a population of 647,575 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Congressional District 34, Texas?
Median household income in Congressional District 34, Texas is $53,515 — below the national median of $80,734. The Texas state median is $78,476.
What is the political history of Congressional District 34, Texas?
Akashic tracks 5 presidential elections in Congressional District 34, Texas from 2008 to 2024. Of those, 4 went Democratic and 1 went Republican. The district's typology — "New American" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.