Texas 38th Congressional District (TX) — Elections 1876–2024

Texas 38th Congressional District: Texan Right district. In 2024, voted R+21%. Republican peak: R+43 in 2012.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: R+21MIT Election Lab
Political typology: Texan RightAkashic typology
Population: 847,9282024 5-year
Median household income: $74,9832024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 34.4%2024 5-year
Black: 19.0%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 44.0%2024 5-year
Peak Republican margin: R+43 in 2012MIT Election Lab

DW-NOMINATE

Member ideology

HUNT, WesleyCongress 119 · Republican

HUNT scores 0.60 on the first NOMINATE dimension (−1 most liberal, +1 most conservative).

Source · Voteview / Lewis, Poole, Rosenthal et al. (CC-BY).

2024 presidential election

Congressional District 38

TrumpR+21

—

How it voted

Share of the 2024 vote

Donald Trump ✓Republican	59.4%	206,797
Kamala HarrisDemocratic	38.7%	134,721
OtherAll other candidates	1.8%	6,360

D+60

R+60

1 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin.

presidential history

Presidential margin, 2008–2024

Democratic minus Republican, by election

Presidential margin over time
Year	Margin (D minus R)
2008	−40.3%
2012	−42.8%
2016	−26.7%
2020	−18.2%
2024	−20.7%

DemocraticRepublican

5 presidential elections

Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
Year	Won	Margin	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	R	−20.7%	134,721	206,797	347,878
2020	R	−18.2%	143,915	208,726	356,767
2016	R	−26.7%	98,195	174,837	287,200
2012	R	−42.8%	72,558	181,090	253,648
2008	R	−40.3%	73,561	173,328	247,569

Congressional elections · 17 Senate races

U.S. Senate

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
Year	Won	D %	R %	Total
2024	R	44.6%	53.1%	11,291,854
2020	R	43.9%	53.5%	11,144,040
2018	R	48.3%	50.9%	8,371,655
2014	R	34.4%	61.6%	4,648,358
2012	R	40.6%	56.5%	7,864,822
2008	R	42.8%	54.8%	7,912,075
2006	R	36.0%	61.7%	4,314,663
2002	R	43.3%	55.3%	4,514,012
2000	R	32.3%	65.1%	6,267,964
1996	R	43.9%	54.8%	5,527,441
1994	R	38.3%	60.8%	4,279,940
1990	R	37.4%	60.2%	3,822,157
1988	D	59.2%	40.0%	5,323,606
1984	R	41.4%	58.5%	5,314,178
1982	D	58.6%	40.5%	3,103,167
1978	R	49.3%	49.8%	2,312,540
1976	D	56.8%	42.2%	3,874,230

Demographics

2024 ACS

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry

Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.

German

5.7%

English

5.7%

Irish

4.0%

American

3.2%

Italian

1.8%

French

1.4%

Polish

0.9%

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.

2024 ACS

Age distribution by sex

Median age: 34.6 in this county, 39.1 nationally

Male

Age

Female

0.4%

85+

0.7%

1.4%

75–84

1.8%

3.5%

65–74

3.9%

5.2%

55–64

5.4%

6.2%

45–54

6.2%

7.4%

35–44

7.2%

7.7%

25–34

7.7%

4.8%

18–24

4.6%

9.7%

5–17

9.4%

3.5%

3.4%

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.

2024 ACS

Median household income

Inflation-adjusted dollars

$74,983

Congressional District 38 ranks near the middle of US counties.

Congressional District 38$74,983

Texas$78,476

United States$80,734

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.

2024 ACS

Poverty rate

All persons below federal poverty line

16.3%

Children face moderate poverty.

Children under 1823.6%

Working age (18–64)13.6%

Seniors (65+)14.3%

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.

2024 ACS

Language at home

Population aged 5 and older

55.0%

speak English only

Spanish35.3%

Asian & Pacific Islander4.7%

Other Indo-European3.4%

Other languages1.6%

Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.

2020 religion census

Religious adherents

Adherents per capita by tradition

Catholic & Orthodox

19.8%

Other Christian

14.2%

Baptist

13.8%

Methodist

3.7%

Non-Christian

3.3%

Pentecostal & Holiness

1.9%

Mainline Protestant

1.9%

Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 41.4% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Texas CD-38, anchored in the northwestern Houston suburbs, leans heavily toward Republican candidates across federal and state races, with its fast-growing exurban precincts contributing to some of the widest margins in the metro area.

Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of forty-three points in 2012. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved three points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was twenty-one points.

A population of 847,928, a 34% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $74,983 describe the district.

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Cite this page

All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.

Congressional District 38, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/4838/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.

License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Congressional District 38, Texas vote in 2024?

In 2024, Congressional District 38, Texas voted Republican by 20.7 points (R+21), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 347,878 votes cast, 134,721 went Democratic and 206,797 went Republican.

What is Congressional District 38, Texas's political typology?

Akashic places Congressional District 38, Texas in the "Texan Right" typology. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 5 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 0 times, Republican 5 times, and other 0 times.

How many people live in Congressional District 38, Texas?

Congressional District 38, Texas has a population of 847,928 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Congressional District 38, Texas?

Median household income in Congressional District 38, Texas is $74,983 — below the national median of $80,734. The Texas state median is $78,476.

What is the political history of Congressional District 38, Texas?

Akashic tracks 5 presidential elections in Congressional District 38, Texas from 2008 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 5 went Republican. The district's typology — "Texan Right" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.

Texas 38th Congressional District delivered R+21 in 2024.

Key facts

U.S. Senate

Demographics

Compare two places, side by side

Frequently asked questions