akashic
1876–2024
Congressional District (at Large)·Vermont

Vermont At-Large Congressional District delivered D+32 in 2024.

Vermont's single seat covers every voter in the state

1876 — 2024·38 elections
VT
LatestD+32in 2024
TypologyIndustrial Catholic Metrocluster typology
Population647,1062024 ACS

Vermont At-Large Congressional District: Industrial Catholic Metro district. In 2024, voted D+32%. Republican peak: R+63 in 1896.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
D+32MIT Election Lab
Political typology
Industrial Catholic MetroAkashic typology
Population
647,1062024 5-year
Median household income
$82,1762024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
90.7%2024 5-year
Black
1.1%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
2.6%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+37 in 2008MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+63 in 1896MIT Election Lab
DW-NOMINATE
Member ideology
D
BALINT, BeccaCongress 119 · Democratic
DW-NOMINATE first-dimension (economic) score-0.44 sits at approximately the 28th percentile.0-0.44−1 liberal+1 conservative
BALINT scores -0.44 on the first NOMINATE dimension (−1 most liberal, +1 most conservative).

Predecessors: WELCH, Peter (2021–2023), WELCH, Peter (2019–2021), WELCH, Peter (2017–2019), WELCH, Peter (2015–2017)

Source · Voteview / Lewis, Poole, Rosenthal et al. (CC-BY).
2024 presidential election
Congressional District (at Large)
HarrisD+32
—
2024 presidential margin by county for Congressional District (at Large), VTA map of the constituent counties of Congressional District (at Large), VT, each outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic).Essex County, VT · R+16Windham County, VT · D+42Windsor County, VT · D+37Orange County, VT · D+20Washington County, VT · D+43Caledonia County, VT · D+12Lamoille County, VT · D+37Grand Isle County, VT · D+21Addison County, VT · D+34Orleans County, VT · TiedBennington County, VT · D+20Franklin County, VT · D+3Rutland County, VT · D+6Chittenden County, VT · D+53
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Kamala Harris ✓Democratic63.5%236,598
Donald TrumpRepublican31.9%118,804
OtherAll other candidates4.7%17,433
D+60
R+60
14 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover any county for its result.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1876 to 2024. Most recent: +31.6% in 2024.flipped D · 1992+31.6%DR18762024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
1876No data
1880No data
1884No data
1888No data
1892−38.8%
1896−63.4%
1900−52.9%
1904−59.1%
1908−53.3%
1912−12.7%
1916−27.2%
1920−52.6%
1924−62.5%
1928−34.0%
1932−16.6%
1936−13.2%
1940−9.9%
1944−14.1%
1948−24.6%
1952−43.2%
1956−44.3%
1960−17.3%
1964+32.6%
1968−9.2%
1972−26.2%
1976−11.2%
1980−6.0%
1984−17.1%
1988−3.5%
1992+15.7%
1996+22.3%
2000+9.9%
2004+20.1%
2008+37.0%
2012+35.6%
2016+26.4%
2020+35.4%
2024+31.6%
DemocraticRepublican
38 presidential elections
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
D
+31.6%
236,598118,804372,835
D
+35.4%
242,820112,704367,428
D
+26.4%
178,57395,369315,067
D
+35.6%
199,23992,698299,290
D
+37.0%
219,26298,974325,046
D
+20.1%
184,067121,180312,309
D
+9.9%
149,022119,775294,308
D
+22.3%
137,89480,352258,449
D
+15.7%
133,59288,122289,701
R
−3.5%
115,775124,331243,333
R
−17.1%
95,730135,865234,446
R
−6.0%
81,89194,598213,207
R
−11.2%
81,044102,085187,855
R
−26.2%
68,174117,149186,946
R
−9.2%
70,25585,142161,404
D
+32.6%
108,12754,942163,089
R
−17.3%
69,18698,131167,324
R
−44.3%
42,549110,390152,978
R
−43.2%
43,355109,717153,557
R
−24.6%
45,55775,926123,382
R
−14.1%
53,82071,527125,361
R
−9.9%
64,26978,371143,062
R
−13.2%
62,12481,023143,689
R
−16.6%
56,26678,984136,980
R
−34.0%
44,44090,404135,191
R
−62.5%
16,12480,498102,917
R
−52.6%
20,91968,21289,961
R
−27.2%
22,70840,25064,475
O
−12.7%
15,35023,30362,805
R
−53.3%
11,49639,55252,683
R
−59.1%
9,77740,45951,888
R
−52.9%
12,84942,56956,212
R
−63.4%
10,64051,12763,847
R
−38.8%
16,32537,99255,796
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Congressional elections · 17 Senate races

U.S. Senate

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
YearWonD %R %Total
2024O0.0%31.2%372,885
2022D68.4%28.0%287,386
2018O0.0%27.4%272,624
2016D60.0%32.3%320,467
2012O0.0%24.9%292,762
2010D64.3%30.9%235,178
2006O0.0%32.4%262,419
2004D70.6%24.5%307,208
2000R25.4%65.6%288,500
1998D72.2%22.4%214,036
1994R40.6%50.3%211,672
1992D54.2%43.3%285,739
1988R29.8%68.0%240,108
1986D63.2%34.5%196,532
1982R47.2%50.3%168,002
1980D49.8%48.5%209,124
1976R45.3%50.0%189,060

Demographics

2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
English
19.1%
Irish
16.8%
German
10.7%
French
8.6%
Italian
7.4%
American
7.0%
Scottish
2.3%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 43.4 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
0.9%
85+
1.3%
2.8%
75–84
3.5%
6.3%
65–74
6.7%
7.1%
55–64
7.4%
6.0%
45–54
5.9%
6.1%
35–44
6.2%
6.0%
25–34
5.8%
5.1%
18–24
4.9%
7.0%
5–17
6.6%
2.2%
<5
2.1%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Median household income
Inflation-adjusted dollars
$82,176
Congressional District (at Large) ranks near the middle of US counties.
Congressional District (at Large)$82,176
Vermont$81,203
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
10.0%
Child poverty is below the national average.
Children under 1810.7%
Working age (18–64)9.9%
Seniors (65+)9.8%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
94.5%
speak English only
Other Indo-European3.0%
Spanish1.3%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.9%
Other languages0.3%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
20.9%
Other Christian
7.3%
Mainline Protestant
3.1%
Non-Christian
2.5%
Baptist
1.8%
Methodist
1.5%
Pentecostal & Holiness
0.5%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 62.4% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

As an at-large district, Vermont sends one representative to speak for a politically unified electorate that broke D+32.7 in 2024 — one of the widest presidential margins of any congressional seat in the country.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of thirty-seven points in 2008 and a Republican high of sixty-three points in 1896. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved four points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was thirty-two points.

A population of 647,106, a 91% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $82,176 describe the district.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Congressional District (at Large), Vermont. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/5000/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Congressional District (at Large), Vermont vote in 2024?
In 2024, Congressional District (at Large), Vermont voted Democratic by 31.6 points (D+32), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 372,835 votes cast, 236,598 went Democratic and 118,804 went Republican.
What is Congressional District (at Large), Vermont's political typology?
Akashic places Congressional District (at Large), Vermont in the "Industrial Catholic Metro" typology. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 10 times, Republican 23 times, and other 1 times.
When did Congressional District (at Large), Vermont last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Congressional District (at Large), Vermont voted Republican was 1988.
How many people live in Congressional District (at Large), Vermont?
Congressional District (at Large), Vermont has a population of 647,106 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Congressional District (at Large), Vermont?
Median household income in Congressional District (at Large), Vermont is $82,176 — above the national median of $80,734. The Vermont state median is $81,203.
What is the political history of Congressional District (at Large), Vermont?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Congressional District (at Large), Vermont from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 10 went Democratic and 23 went Republican. The district's typology — "Industrial Catholic Metro" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.