2024 presidential election
Virginia 10th Congressional District
HarrisD+8.3
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
| Kamala Harris ✓Democratic | 52.6% | 221,123 |
|---|---|---|
| Donald TrumpRepublican | 44.3% | 186,195 |
| OtherAll other candidates | 3.1% | 13,069 |
D+60R+60
District boundary, filled by its own 2024 D-vs-R margin — precinct detail where available, over the 7 counties it's drawn from (shown faint).
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the district’s overall result across 1876–2024, on its current boundaries.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2008–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2008 | +2.6% |
| 2012 | −0.9% |
| 2016 | +7.6% |
| 2020 | +18.7% |
| 2024 | +8.3% |
DemocraticRepublican
current representation
Current officeholders
D
Suhas Subramanyam
D
Mark R. Warner
D
Timothy Michael (tim) Kaine
Federal officeholders only. State and local officeholders are planned for the next data pass.
Source · Voteview HSall_members.csv.
5 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 52.6%Harris221,123 | 44.3%Trump186,195 | 3.1% | 420,387 | ||
| D | 58.4%Biden239,323 | 39.7%Trump162,608 | 2.0%incl. Jorgensen | 409,963 | ||
| D | 50.5%Clinton174,825 | 42.9%Trump148,535 | 6.5%incl. Johnson | 345,983 | ||
| R | 49.4%Obama152,812 | 50.2%Romney155,481 | 0.4% | 309,447 | ||
| D | 50.8%Obama140,323 | 48.3%McCain133,247 | 0.9% | 276,123 |
Congressional elections · 25 House races · 17 Senate races
U.S. House
| Year | District | Won | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 10 | D | 52.1%215,131 | 47.5%196,343 | 413,012 |
| 2022 | 10 | D | 53.2%157,405 | 46.7%138,163 | 296,145 |
| 2020 | 10 | D | 56.5%268,734 | 43.4%206,253 | 475,546 |
| 2018 | 10 | D | 56.1%206,356 | 43.7%160,841 | 367,795 |
| 2016 | 10 | R | 46.9%187,712 | 52.7%210,791 | 400,083 |
| 2014 | 10 | R | 40.4%89,957 | 56.5%125,914 | 222,910 |
| 2012 | 10 | R | 38.8%142,024 | 58.4%214,038 | 366,444 |
| 2010 | 10 | R | 34.8%72,604 | 62.9%131,116 | 208,556 |
| 2008 | 10 | R | 38.8%147,357 | 58.8%223,140 | 379,480 |
| 2006 | 10 | R | 41.0%98,769 | 57.3%138,213 | 241,134 |
| 2004 | 10 | R | 36.1%116,654 | 63.8%205,982 | 323,011 |
| 2002 | 10 | R | 28.1%45,464 | 71.7%115,917 | 161,615 |
| 2000 | 10 | R | 0.0%0 | 84.2%238,817 | 283,637 |
| 1998 | 10 | R | 25.2%36,476 | 71.6%103,648 | 144,755 |
| 1996 | 10 | R | 25.2%59,145 | 72.0%169,266 | 235,013 |
| 1994 | 10 | R | 0.0%0 | 87.3%153,311 | 175,531 |
| 1992 | 10 | R | 34.3%75,775 | 65.4%144,471 | 221,004 |
| 1990 | 10 | R | 33.9%57,249 | 61.5%103,761 | 168,825 |
| 1988 | 10 | R | 31.9%88,284 | 68.1%188,550 | 276,908 |
| 1986 | 10 | R | 39.8%63,292 | 60.2%95,724 | 159,023 |
| 1984 | 10 | R | 37.5%95,074 | 62.5%158,528 | 253,625 |
| 1982 | 10 | R | 45.9%75,361 | 52.7%86,506 | 164,035 |
| 1980 | 10 | R | 48.9%105,883 | 51.1%110,840 | 216,744 |
| 1978 | 10 | D | 53.3%70,892 | 46.6%61,981 | 132,882 |
| 1976 | 10 | D | 54.7%103,689 | 38.8%73,616 | 189,489 |
U.S. Senate
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 54.4%2,417,115 | 45.4%2,019,911 | 4,445,535 |
| 2020 | D | 56.0%2,466,500 | 44.0%1,934,199 | 4,400,699 |
| 2018 | D | 57.1%1,910,370 | 41.1%1,374,313 | 3,346,248 |
| 2014 | D | 49.2%1,073,667 | 48.4%1,055,940 | 2,182,709 |
| 2012 | D | 53.0%2,010,067 | 47.0%1,785,542 | 3,795,609 |
| 2008 | D | 65.1%2,369,327 | 33.8%1,228,830 | 3,640,116 |
| 2006 | D | 49.6%1,175,606 | 49.3%1,166,277 | 2,367,985 |
| 2002 | R | 0.0%0 | 83.0%1,229,894 | 1,481,051 |
| 2000 | R | 47.7%1,296,093 | 52.3%1,420,460 | 2,716,553 |
| 1996 | R | 47.5%1,115,982 | 52.5%1,235,744 | 2,351,726 |
| 1994 | D | 45.6%938,376 | 42.9%882,213 | 2,056,026 |
| 1990 | R | 0.0%0 | 81.7%876,782 | 1,073,537 |
| 1988 | D | 71.3%1,474,086 | 28.7%593,652 | 2,067,738 |
| 1984 | R | 29.9%601,142 | 70.0%1,406,194 | 2,007,487 |
| 1982 | R | 48.8%690,839 | 51.2%724,571 | 1,415,410 |
| 1978 | R | 49.8%608,511 | 50.2%613,232 | 1,221,743 |
| 1976 | O | 38.3%596,009 | 0.0%0 | 1,557,346 |
Demographics
Demographic profile
Demographic Profile
Key indicators compared across containing geographies
| Indicator | VA-10Congressional district | VirginiaState | United StatesNation |
|---|---|---|---|
| Race & Ethnicity | |||
| White | 55.2% | 60.2% | 61.0% |
| Black | 8.4% | 18.6% | 12.2% |
| Asian | 15.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% |
| Two or more races | 10.9% | 9.5% | 12.6% |
| Other race | 9.9% | 4.8% | 8.2% |
| Hispanic or Latino | 17.7% | 11.0% | 19.3% |
| Income & Age | |||
| Median household income | $162,359 | $93,170 | $84,427 |
| Poverty rate | 5.0% | 10.0% | 12.5% |
| Median age | 38.3 | 39.3 | 39.1 |
| Age 18–24 | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.2% |
| Age 65 and older | 12.1% | 16.7% | 17.2% |
| Education & Language | |||
| Bachelor's degree or higher (25+) | 54.8% | 42.3% | 35.6% |
| Speaks a non-English language at home | 35.0% | 17.5% | 22.3% |
| Spanish | 15.5% | 7.9% | 13.6% |
| Other Indo-European | 7.0% | 2.6% | 2.0% |
| Other Asian & Pacific Island | 3.3% | 1.2% | 1.1% |
| Other languages | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.8% |
| Ancestry | |||
| Largest ancestry | German 9.9% | English 12.0% | German 12.5% |
| 2nd-largest ancestry | English 9.7% | German 10.1% | Mexican 11.3% |
| 3rd-largest ancestry | Irish 9.1% | Irish 9.1% | English 9.5% |
| Religion | |||
| Catholic | 15.2%County context | 10.2% | 18.6% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 9.3%County context | 19.9% | 16.5% |
| Unaffiliated or unclaimed | 62.1%County context | 54.3% | 51.5% |
| Mainline Protestant | 5.6%County context | 8.4% | 5.2% |
ACS values are survey estimates and may include margins of error.
Religion data may be available only at county or larger geographies. Sub-county values are labeled when inherited, modeled, or contextual.
2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the origins and ancestries reported within it.
Reported ancestry · ACS B04006
German
9.9%
English
9.7%
Irish
9.1%
Italian
4.5%
American
4.4%
Polish
2.1%
Scottish
1.9%
French
1.3%
Specific origin · ACS B03001
Salvadoran
6.1%
Mexican
3.0%
Puerto Rican
1.5%
Peruvian
1.4%
Guatemalan
1.3%
Honduran
1.3%
Bolivian
1.1%
Colombian
0.6%
Detailed group · ACS B02015
Asian Indian
6.0%
Pakistani
1.6%
Korean
1.5%
Vietnamese
1.4%
Chinese
1.1%
Filipino
1.1%
Afghan
0.5%
Bangladeshi
0.4%
The ACS does not publish subgroup detail for people reporting two or more races.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, Pacific Islander, and other single-race responses combined.
Reported ancestry · ACS B04006
African American identity is recorded by the ACS race question; the ancestry item enumerates specific African and Caribbean ancestries only.
African
0.8%
Ethiopian
0.7%
Ghanaian
0.5%
Nigerian
0.3%
Jamaican
0.2%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Race shares: B02001 · B03003. Subgroup detail: B03001 (Hispanic or Latino specific origin), B02015 (Asian groups), B02020 · B02016 (American Indian/Alaska Native tribes and Pacific Islander groups), B04006 (reported ancestry). Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so group shares can total more than 100%. All subgroup rows are shares of total population; ancestry is self-reported and multiple-response, so rows do not sum to the parent group's share.
2024 ACS
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 38.3 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Median household income
Inflation-adjusted dollars
$162,359
Virginia 10th Congressional District$162,359
Virginia$93,170
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
5.0%
Child poverty is below the national average.
Children under 186.6%
Working age (18–64)4.9%
Seniors (65+)7.4%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
65.0%
speak English only
Spanish15.5%
Other Indo-European7.0%
Other Asian & Pacific Island3.3%
Other languages2.0%
Arabic1.6%
Vietnamese1.2%
Korean1.2%
Chinese (incl. Mandarin & Cantonese)0.9%
Tagalog (incl. Filipino)0.7%
Russian, Polish, or other Slavic0.6%
French (incl. Cajun & Haitian)0.6%
German or other West Germanic0.4%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Unaffiliated or not counted62.1%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. The unaffiliated-or-not-counted share is everyone not claimed as an adherent by any reporting body — uncounted congregations as well as the religiously unaffiliated.
Virginia's 10th stretches from the D.C. suburbs through the Shenandoah foothills, drawing a workforce heavily tied to government contracting and federal agencies — a demographic pattern that has pushed its presidential margins steadily toward double digits.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 18.7 points in 2020 and a Republican high of 0.9 points in 2012. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 10.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 8.3 points.
A population of 784,266, a 55% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $162,359 describe the district.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Virginia 10th Congressional District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/5110/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Frequently asked questions
How did Virginia 10th Congressional District vote in 2024?
In 2024, Virginia 10th Congressional District voted Democratic by 8.3 points (D+8.3), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 420,387 votes cast, 221,123 went Democratic and 186,195 went Republican.
What is Virginia 10th Congressional District's political typology?
Akashic places Virginia 10th Congressional District in the "" typology. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 5 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 4 times, Republican 1 times, and other 0 times.
When did Virginia 10th Congressional District last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Virginia 10th Congressional District voted Republican was 2012.
How many people live in Virginia 10th Congressional District?
Virginia 10th Congressional District has a population of 784,266 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Virginia 10th Congressional District?
Median household income in Virginia 10th Congressional District is $162,359 — above the national median of $80,734. The Virginia state median is $93,170.
What is the political history of Virginia 10th Congressional District?
Akashic tracks 5 presidential elections in Virginia 10th Congressional District from 2008 to 2024. Of those, 4 went Democratic and 1 went Republican. The district's typology — "" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.