akashic
1876–2024
Congressional District 1·Wisconsin

Wisconsin 1st Congressional District delivered R+5 in 2024.

Southeast Wisconsin district shifted 11 points toward Republicans in 2024

2008 — 2024·5 elections
WI
LatestR+5in 2024
TypologySunbelt Conservativecluster typology
Population860,4312024 ACS

Wisconsin 1st Congressional District: Sunbelt Conservative district. In 2024, voted R+5%. Democratic peak: D+11 in 2008.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+5MIT Election Lab
Political typology
Sunbelt ConservativeAkashic typology
Population
860,4312024 5-year
Median household income
$73,6832024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
67.0%2024 5-year
Black
13.8%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
15.1%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+11 in 2008MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+5 in 2024MIT Election Lab
DW-NOMINATE
Member ideology
R
STEIL, BryanCongress 119 · Republican
DW-NOMINATE first-dimension (economic) score0.42 sits at approximately the 71st percentile.00.42−1 liberal+1 conservative
STEIL scores 0.42 on the first NOMINATE dimension (−1 most liberal, +1 most conservative).

Predecessors: RYAN, Paul D. (2017–2019), RYAN, Paul D. (2015–2017), RYAN, Paul D. (2013–2015), RYAN, Paul D. (2011–2013)

Source · Voteview / Lewis, Poole, Rosenthal et al. (CC-BY).
2024 presidential election
Congressional District 1
TrumpR+5
—
2024 presidential margin by county for Congressional District 1, WIA map of the constituent counties of Congressional District 1, WI, each outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic).Walworth County, WI · R+22Milwaukee County, WI · D+38Kenosha County, WI · R+6Racine County, WI · R+6Rock County, WI · D+7
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Donald Trump ✓Republican51.5%207,736
Kamala HarrisDemocratic47.0%189,549
OtherAll other candidates1.5%5,974
D+60
R+60
5 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover any county for its result.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2008–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 2008 to 2024. Most recent: −4.5% in 2024.flipped R · 2016−4.5%DR20082024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
2008+10.9%
2012+5.2%
2016−2.7%
2020−2.0%
2024−4.5%
DemocraticRepublican
5 presidential elections
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−4.5%
189,549207,736403,259
R
−2.0%
190,038197,945394,804
R
−2.7%
159,090168,401349,318
D
+5.2%
193,253174,009367,262
D
+10.9%
198,027158,563361,645
Congressional elections · 17 Senate races

U.S. Senate

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
YearWonD %R %Total
2024D49.3%48.5%3,390,787
2022R49.4%50.4%2,652,477
2018D55.4%44.6%2,657,841
2016R46.8%50.2%2,948,741
2012D51.4%45.9%3,009,411
2010R47.0%51.9%2,171,331
2006D67.3%29.5%2,138,297
2004D55.4%44.1%2,949,743
2000D61.5%37.0%2,540,083
1998D50.5%48.4%1,760,836
1994D58.3%40.7%1,565,628
1992D52.6%46.0%2,455,124
1988D52.1%47.5%2,168,190
1986R47.4%50.9%1,483,174
1982D63.6%34.1%1,544,883
1980R48.3%50.2%2,204,202
1976D72.2%27.0%1,935,183

Demographics

2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
27.5%
Irish
9.8%
Polish
7.7%
English
6.4%
Italian
5.3%
American
2.9%
French
1.9%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 38.5 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
0.7%
85+
1.2%
2.0%
75–84
2.6%
4.8%
65–74
5.3%
6.5%
55–64
6.7%
5.8%
45–54
6.0%
6.3%
35–44
6.4%
6.8%
25–34
6.8%
4.8%
18–24
4.6%
8.6%
5–17
8.1%
2.9%
<5
2.8%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Median household income
Inflation-adjusted dollars
$73,683
Congressional District 1 ranks near the middle of US counties.
Congressional District 1$73,683
Wisconsin$77,485
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
12.7%
Children face moderate poverty.
Children under 1817.1%
Working age (18–64)11.3%
Seniors (65+)12.0%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
86.4%
speak English only
Spanish9.4%
Other Indo-European2.0%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.6%
Other languages0.6%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
19.8%
Mainline Protestant
8.0%
Other Christian
7.4%
Non-Christian
2.8%
Baptist
2.7%
Pentecostal & Holiness
2.2%
Methodist
1.2%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 55.9% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Anchored by Racine and Kenosha counties along Lake Michigan, this district has trended steadily rightward over the past decade as working-class voters in its mid-sized industrial cities realigned away from their historically Democratic preferences.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of eleven points in 2008 and a Republican high of five points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved three points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was five points.

A population of 860,431, a 67% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $73,683 describe the district.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Congressional District 1, Wisconsin. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/5501/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Congressional District 1, Wisconsin vote in 2024?
In 2024, Congressional District 1, Wisconsin voted Republican by 4.5 points (R+5), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 403,259 votes cast, 189,549 went Democratic and 207,736 went Republican.
What is Congressional District 1, Wisconsin's political typology?
Akashic places Congressional District 1, Wisconsin in the "Sunbelt Conservative" typology. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 5 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 2 times, Republican 3 times, and other 0 times.
When did Congressional District 1, Wisconsin last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Congressional District 1, Wisconsin voted Democratic was 2012.
How many people live in Congressional District 1, Wisconsin?
Congressional District 1, Wisconsin has a population of 860,431 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Congressional District 1, Wisconsin?
Median household income in Congressional District 1, Wisconsin is $73,683 — below the national median of $80,734. The Wisconsin state median is $77,485.
What is the political history of Congressional District 1, Wisconsin?
Akashic tracks 5 presidential elections in Congressional District 1, Wisconsin from 2008 to 2024. Of those, 2 went Democratic and 3 went Republican. The district's typology — "Sunbelt Conservative" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.