Baltimore, Maryland: Diversifying Metro market. In 2024, voted D+20%. Democratic peak: D+81 in 1912.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+20MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Diversifying MetroAkashic typology
- Population
- 3,045,3282024 5-year
- Median household income
- $102,3592024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 55.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 27.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 8.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+81 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+25 in 1972MIT Election Lab
| Kamala Harris ✓Democratic | 58.4% | 891,227 |
|---|---|---|
| Donald TrumpRepublican | 38.2% | 582,994 |
| OtherAll other candidates | 3.4% | 51,518 |
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | +14.0% |
| 1896 | −14.3% |
| 1900 | No data |
| 1904 | No data |
| 1908 | No data |
| 1912 | +81.2% |
| 1916 | +10.3% |
| 1920 | −14.0% |
| 1924 | −2.6% |
| 1928 | −9.5% |
| 1932 | +29.9% |
| 1936 | +29.6% |
| 1940 | +20.4% |
| 1944 | +8.5% |
| 1948 | +1.5% |
| 1952 | −8.0% |
| 1956 | −21.9% |
| 1960 | +10.4% |
| 1964 | +34.1% |
| 1968 | +4.9% |
| 1972 | −24.9% |
| 1976 | +6.7% |
| 1980 | +9.2% |
| 1984 | −6.3% |
| 1988 | −4.2% |
| 1992 | +12.0% |
| 1996 | +11.1% |
| 2000 | +9.8% |
| 2004 | +4.1% |
| 2008 | +14.9% |
| 2012 | +15.9% |
| 2016 | +15.4% |
| 2020 | +23.2% |
| 2024 | +20.2% |
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 891,227 | 582,994 | 1,525,739 | ||
| D | 916,480 | 563,542 | 1,520,960 | ||
| D | 764,605 | 551,473 | 1,381,451 | ||
| D | 781,229 | 562,277 | 1,376,628 | ||
| D | 762,482 | 561,581 | 1,349,918 | ||
| D | 632,941 | 582,705 | 1,231,569 | ||
| D | 554,852 | 452,598 | 1,043,283 | ||
| D | 471,134 | 369,299 | 917,801 | ||
| D | 510,711 | 383,606 | 1,060,988 | ||
| R | 434,978 | 472,999 | 914,518 | ||
| R | 425,899 | 483,169 | 914,037 | ||
| D | 436,679 | 357,616 | 863,542 | ||
| D | 424,162 | 370,673 | 794,835 | ||
| R | 273,268 | 458,463 | 743,091 | ||
| D | 317,988 | 283,595 | 697,165 | ||
| D | 450,436 | 221,499 | 671,985 | ||
| D | 362,792 | 294,144 | 656,938 | ||
| R | 234,763 | 366,338 | 601,101 | ||
| R | 274,024 | 322,426 | 602,327 | ||
| D | 201,937 | 195,706 | 407,979 | ||
| D | 227,470 | 191,753 | 419,223 | ||
| D | 277,409 | 182,583 | 464,508 | ||
| D | 285,987 | 154,681 | 443,379 | ||
| D | 229,631 | 121,616 | 361,017 | ||
| R | 170,135 | 206,044 | 378,494 | ||
| R | 98,653 | 104,968 | 242,657 | ||
| R | 128,133 | 171,133 | 308,061 | ||
| D | 99,661 | 80,686 | 184,300 | ||
| D | 167,164 | 34,474 | 163,330 | ||
| — | 156,940 | 82,266 | 4,065 | ||
| — | 182,363 | 74,243 | 3,371 | ||
| — | 85,473 | 92,948 | 1,147 | ||
| R | 71,345 | 96,280 | 173,974 | ||
| D | 81,286 | 60,900 | 146,075 | ||
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Demographics
Baltimore's media market mixes the city's dense Democratic precincts with competitive suburban Baltimore and Harford County corridors, making aggregate vote share a poor guide to the competitive margins that actually shift statewide outcomes.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of eighty-one points in 1912 and a Republican high of twenty-five points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the market moved three points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was twenty points.
A population of 3,045,328, a 55% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $102,359 describe the market.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Baltimore, Maryland. Akashic. https://akashic.app/dma/512/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.