Cincinnati, Kentucky: Industrial Catholic Metro market. In 2024, voted R+19%. Republican peak: R+35 in 1972.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+19MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Industrial Catholic MetroAkashic typology
- Population
- 2,460,3332024 5-year
- Median household income
- $80,6532024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 78.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 10.7%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 4.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+17 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+35 in 1972MIT Election Lab
| Donald Trump ✓Republican | 58.7% | 720,636 |
|---|---|---|
| Kamala HarrisDemocratic | 39.8% | 488,505 |
| OtherAll other candidates | 1.6% | 19,444 |
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | +4.5% |
| 1896 | −5.0% |
| 1900 | −2.3% |
| 1904 | −18.2% |
| 1908 | −3.4% |
| 1912 | +11.8% |
| 1916 | +3.8% |
| 1920 | −7.1% |
| 1924 | −27.1% |
| 1928 | −18.1% |
| 1932 | +9.1% |
| 1936 | +17.0% |
| 1940 | +1.0% |
| 1944 | −2.2% |
| 1948 | −0.1% |
| 1952 | −15.0% |
| 1956 | −26.8% |
| 1960 | −12.0% |
| 1964 | +13.1% |
| 1968 | −13.9% |
| 1972 | −35.3% |
| 1976 | −14.4% |
| 1980 | −22.0% |
| 1984 | −34.7% |
| 1988 | −29.5% |
| 1992 | −14.5% |
| 1996 | −13.1% |
| 2000 | −23.6% |
| 2004 | −24.0% |
| 2008 | −14.5% |
| 2012 | −16.8% |
| 2016 | −20.1% |
| 2020 | −16.8% |
| 2024 | −18.9% |
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 488,505 | 720,636 | 1,228,585 | ||
| R | 505,205 | 713,378 | 1,238,489 | ||
| R | 422,656 | 654,158 | 1,149,162 | ||
| R | 451,853 | 639,737 | 1,115,774 | ||
| R | 471,161 | 633,223 | 1,119,698 | ||
| R | 408,888 | 668,474 | 1,082,722 | ||
| R | 333,508 | 547,190 | 906,382 | ||
| R | 331,974 | 443,060 | 847,275 | ||
| R | 297,412 | 425,898 | 887,012 | ||
| R | 272,653 | 502,598 | 780,768 | ||
| R | 256,057 | 530,453 | 791,060 | ||
| R | 265,357 | 426,782 | 733,478 | ||
| R | 289,436 | 388,556 | 689,415 | ||
| R | 212,826 | 452,340 | 678,502 | ||
| R | 237,809 | 331,743 | 676,332 | ||
| D | 379,429 | 291,459 | 671,166 | ||
| R | 315,356 | 401,400 | 716,860 | ||
| R | 229,722 | 397,815 | 628,199 | ||
| R | 273,207 | 369,991 | 643,533 | ||
| R | 260,141 | 260,823 | 524,939 | ||
| R | 267,110 | 279,024 | 546,610 | ||
| D | 291,177 | 285,127 | 576,711 | ||
| D | 305,673 | 212,557 | 548,344 | ||
| D | 271,727 | 225,183 | 509,313 | ||
| R | 208,109 | 300,451 | 510,480 | ||
| R | 115,216 | 225,549 | 406,447 | ||
| R | 190,724 | 220,817 | 423,573 | ||
| D | 126,680 | 116,987 | 252,047 | ||
| D | 102,514 | 75,540 | 229,283 | ||
| R | 116,484 | 124,851 | 249,372 | ||
| R | 84,712 | 125,464 | 223,866 | ||
| R | 110,595 | 115,790 | 230,690 | ||
| R | 107,668 | 119,219 | 228,902 | ||
| D | 99,411 | 90,616 | 196,842 | ||
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Demographics
Cincinnati's media market spans the Ohio-Kentucky state line, forcing campaigns to buy cross-state advertising while targeting an audience whose presidential margins have shifted by double digits over two decades.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of seventeen points in 1936 and a Republican high of thirty-five points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the market moved two points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was nineteen points.
A population of 2,460,333, a 78% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $80,653 describe the market.
Compare two places, side by side
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Cincinnati, Kentucky. Akashic. https://akashic.app/dma/515/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.