Providence-New Bedford, Rhode Island: Florida Surge market. In 2024, voted D+9%. Democratic peak: D+60 in 1964.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+9MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Florida SurgeAkashic typology
- Population
- 1,684,0712024 5-year
- Median household income
- $87,2042024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 72.6%2024 5-year
- Black
- 5.2%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 15.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+60 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+46 in 1896MIT Election Lab
2024 presidential election
Providence-New Bedford
HarrisD+9
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
| Kamala Harris ✓Democratic | 53.4% | 421,539 |
|---|---|---|
| Donald TrumpRepublican | 44.1% | 348,484 |
| OtherAll other candidates | 2.5% | 19,763 |
D+60R+60
6 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover any county for its result.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | −9.4% |
| 1896 | −46.4% |
| 1900 | −27.8% |
| 1904 | −24.4% |
| 1908 | −27.4% |
| 1912 | +1.6% |
| 1916 | −6.9% |
| 1920 | −37.3% |
| 1924 | −29.4% |
| 1928 | +1.6% |
| 1932 | +11.2% |
| 1936 | +15.8% |
| 1940 | +16.9% |
| 1944 | +18.1% |
| 1948 | +19.3% |
| 1952 | −2.0% |
| 1956 | −16.3% |
| 1960 | +29.4% |
| 1964 | +60.4% |
| 1968 | +32.9% |
| 1972 | −1.2% |
| 1976 | +15.4% |
| 1980 | +8.2% |
| 1984 | −2.4% |
| 1988 | +11.9% |
| 1992 | +19.8% |
| 1996 | +35.5% |
| 2000 | +31.0% |
| 2004 | +23.3% |
| 2008 | +26.4% |
| 2012 | +25.0% |
| 2016 | +13.3% |
| 2020 | +17.5% |
| 2024 | +9.2% |
DemocraticRepublican
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 421,539 | 348,484 | 789,786 | ||
| D | 459,587 | 319,709 | 797,747 | ||
| D | 381,428 | 285,933 | 720,102 | ||
| D | 422,842 | 251,049 | 687,225 | ||
| D | 443,694 | 255,660 | 713,159 | ||
| D | 407,614 | 251,570 | 670,012 | ||
| D | 385,833 | 193,403 | 620,449 | ||
| D | 360,775 | 151,847 | 588,460 | ||
| D | 315,705 | 183,971 | 665,119 | ||
| D | 332,977 | 261,558 | 598,099 | ||
| R | 291,116 | 305,312 | 598,528 | ||
| D | 281,802 | 232,338 | 604,572 | ||
| D | 343,954 | 251,206 | 602,355 | ||
| R | 297,808 | 304,773 | 604,576 | ||
| D | 365,957 | 179,031 | 568,569 | ||
| D | 462,348 | 113,845 | 576,714 | ||
| D | 388,081 | 211,792 | 600,257 | ||
| R | 241,147 | 335,361 | 576,976 | ||
| R | 296,737 | 309,040 | 606,509 | ||
| D | 295,477 | 199,003 | 500,253 | ||
| D | 265,885 | 184,367 | 450,968 | ||
| D | 279,753 | 198,796 | 479,539 | ||
| D | 246,043 | 174,785 | 452,323 | ||
| D | 209,078 | 166,112 | 382,845 | ||
| D | 178,230 | 172,727 | 352,949 | ||
| R | 96,408 | 184,215 | 299,095 | ||
| R | 72,781 | 164,187 | 245,013 | ||
| R | 58,459 | 67,436 | 129,866 | ||
| D | 42,832 | 40,982 | 115,857 | ||
| R | 35,425 | 64,625 | 106,461 | ||
| R | 35,942 | 60,347 | 99,891 | ||
| R | 29,167 | 53,180 | 86,495 | ||
| R | 20,481 | 59,066 | 83,220 | ||
| R | 35,161 | 42,707 | 80,452 | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
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Demographics
2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
Irish
16.3%
Italian
12.4%
English
10.6%
French
7.4%
German
4.5%
American
3.5%
Polish
3.2%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 40.8 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Median household income
Inflation-adjusted dollars
$87,204
Providence-New Bedford ranks near the middle of US counties.
Providence-New Bedford$87,204
Rhode Island$87,796
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
11.2%
Child poverty is below the national average.
Children under 1813.8%
Working age (18–64)10.2%
Seniors (65+)13.5%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
77.3%
speak English only
Spanish11.2%
Other Indo-European8.7%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.9%
Other languages1.0%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 51.8% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
Spanning two states, this media market pairs Providence's dense urban Democratic base with New Bedford's working-class Portuguese-American communities, producing a mixed electoral landscape that resists clean statewide narratives.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of sixty points in 1964 and a Republican high of forty-six points in 1896. Between 2020 and 2024 the market moved eight points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was nine points.
A population of 1,684,071, a 73% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $87,204 describe the market.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Providence-New Bedford, Rhode Island. Akashic. https://akashic.app/dma/521/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Frequently asked questions
How did Providence-New Bedford, Rhode Island vote in 2024?
In 2024, Providence-New Bedford, Rhode Island voted Democratic by 9.2 points (D+9), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 789,786 votes cast, 421,539 went Democratic and 348,484 went Republican.
What is Providence-New Bedford, Rhode Island's political typology?
Akashic places Providence-New Bedford, Rhode Island in the "Florida Surge" typology. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the market has voted Democratic 22 times, Republican 12 times, and other 0 times.
When did Providence-New Bedford, Rhode Island last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Providence-New Bedford, Rhode Island voted Republican was 1984.
How many people live in Providence-New Bedford, Rhode Island?
Providence-New Bedford, Rhode Island has a population of 1,684,071 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Providence-New Bedford, Rhode Island?
Median household income in Providence-New Bedford, Rhode Island is $87,204 — above the national median of $80,734. The Rhode Island state median is $87,796.
What is the political history of Providence-New Bedford, Rhode Island?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Providence-New Bedford, Rhode Island from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 22 went Democratic and 12 went Republican. The market's typology — "Florida Surge" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.