Louisville, Kentucky: Industrial Catholic Metro market. In 2024, voted R+16%. Democratic peak: D+34 in 1912.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+16MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Industrial Catholic MetroAkashic typology
- Population
- 1,817,4552024 5-year
- Median household income
- $72,0832024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 76.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 11.2%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 6.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+34 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+23 in 1972MIT Election Lab
2024 presidential election
Louisville
TrumpR+16
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
| Donald Trump ✓Republican | 57.2% | 485,350 |
|---|---|---|
| Kamala HarrisDemocratic | 40.9% | 346,650 |
| OtherAll other candidates | 1.9% | 16,350 |
D+60R+60
29 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover any county for its result.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | +15.7% |
| 1896 | −3.6% |
| 1900 | +3.8% |
| 1904 | +5.3% |
| 1908 | +5.7% |
| 1912 | +34.0% |
| 1916 | +7.9% |
| 1920 | −0.2% |
| 1924 | −0.5% |
| 1928 | −15.8% |
| 1932 | +14.9% |
| 1936 | +20.1% |
| 1940 | +15.0% |
| 1944 | +10.1% |
| 1948 | +7.6% |
| 1952 | −5.7% |
| 1956 | −13.1% |
| 1960 | −2.6% |
| 1964 | +28.8% |
| 1968 | −4.0% |
| 1972 | −23.4% |
| 1976 | +2.9% |
| 1980 | −3.0% |
| 1984 | −20.3% |
| 1988 | −10.6% |
| 1992 | +5.9% |
| 1996 | +4.0% |
| 2000 | −10.5% |
| 2004 | −14.8% |
| 2008 | −4.9% |
| 2012 | −7.7% |
| 2016 | −15.1% |
| 2020 | −11.7% |
| 2024 | −16.3% |
DemocraticRepublican
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 346,650 | 485,350 | 848,350 | ||
| R | 379,672 | 482,166 | 877,876 | ||
| R | 315,464 | 435,253 | 791,545 | ||
| R | 336,035 | 393,506 | 742,878 | ||
| R | 358,208 | 395,781 | 763,219 | ||
| R | 304,496 | 411,149 | 721,171 | ||
| R | 274,651 | 340,944 | 628,835 | ||
| D | 272,987 | 250,170 | 577,563 | ||
| D | 281,775 | 245,500 | 618,000 | ||
| R | 238,756 | 295,918 | 537,065 | ||
| R | 224,294 | 339,289 | 566,521 | ||
| R | 244,935 | 260,745 | 527,316 | ||
| D | 249,577 | 235,116 | 494,140 | ||
| R | 167,608 | 272,694 | 448,277 | ||
| R | 173,082 | 190,406 | 436,327 | ||
| D | 282,222 | 155,736 | 439,781 | ||
| R | 224,844 | 236,966 | 462,253 | ||
| R | 178,523 | 232,538 | 412,998 | ||
| R | 180,200 | 202,172 | 384,545 | ||
| D | 168,286 | 144,219 | 318,126 | ||
| D | 177,021 | 144,324 | 323,045 | ||
| D | 201,119 | 148,479 | 350,777 | ||
| D | 193,343 | 127,589 | 326,359 | ||
| D | 190,836 | 140,857 | 335,070 | ||
| R | 142,921 | 196,613 | 340,435 | ||
| R | 136,186 | 137,545 | 282,910 | ||
| R | 154,882 | 155,411 | 313,493 | ||
| D | 86,750 | 73,852 | 163,643 | ||
| D | 75,001 | 23,904 | 150,133 | ||
| D | 83,979 | 74,705 | 162,604 | ||
| D | 75,727 | 67,901 | 148,443 | ||
| D | 80,141 | 74,250 | 156,264 | ||
| R | 72,167 | 77,638 | 152,964 | ||
| D | 67,950 | 48,422 | 124,391 | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
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Demographics
2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
15.8%
English
13.5%
Irish
11.9%
American
8.2%
Italian
2.4%
Scottish
2.0%
French
1.3%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 39.5 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Median household income
Inflation-adjusted dollars
$72,083
Louisville ranks near the middle of US counties.
Louisville$72,083
Kentucky$63,726
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
13.1%
Children face moderate poverty.
Children under 1817.3%
Working age (18–64)11.8%
Seniors (65+)12.0%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
91.7%
speak English only
Spanish4.6%
Other Indo-European1.8%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.1%
Other languages0.9%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 53.8% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
Louisville's Jefferson County delivers Democratic margins that routinely offset Republican gains in surrounding rural counties, making the market's inner precincts a reliable bellwether for statewide competitive races.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of thirty-four points in 1912 and a Republican high of twenty-three points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the market moved five points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was sixteen points.
A population of 1,817,455, a 77% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $72,083 describe the market.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Louisville, Kentucky. Akashic. https://akashic.app/dma/529/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Frequently asked questions
How did Louisville, Kentucky vote in 2024?
In 2024, Louisville, Kentucky voted Republican by 16.3 points (R+16), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 848,350 votes cast, 346,650 went Democratic and 485,350 went Republican.
What is Louisville, Kentucky's political typology?
Akashic places Louisville, Kentucky in the "Industrial Catholic Metro" typology. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the market has voted Democratic 15 times, Republican 19 times, and other 0 times.
When did Louisville, Kentucky last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Louisville, Kentucky voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in Louisville, Kentucky?
Louisville, Kentucky has a population of 1,817,455 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Louisville, Kentucky?
Median household income in Louisville, Kentucky is $72,083 — below the national median of $80,734. The Kentucky state median is $63,726.
What is the political history of Louisville, Kentucky?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Louisville, Kentucky from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 15 went Democratic and 19 went Republican. The market's typology — "Industrial Catholic Metro" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.