Springfield-Holyoke, Massachusetts: Florida Surge market. In 2024, voted D+21%. Democratic peak: D+48 in 1964.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+21MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Florida SurgeAkashic typology
- Population
- 695,7872024 5-year
- Median household income
- $75,3282024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 70.6%2024 5-year
- Black
- 6.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 20.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+48 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+47 in 1896MIT Election Lab
| Kamala Harris ✓Democratic | 59.0% | 197,859 |
|---|---|---|
| Donald TrumpRepublican | 38.2% | 128,158 |
| OtherAll other candidates | 2.8% | 9,555 |
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | −7.5% |
| 1896 | −47.4% |
| 1900 | −23.6% |
| 1904 | −30.1% |
| 1908 | −24.1% |
| 1912 | −5.9% |
| 1916 | −7.4% |
| 1920 | −43.1% |
| 1924 | −40.2% |
| 1928 | −2.3% |
| 1932 | +0.3% |
| 1936 | +13.3% |
| 1940 | +10.6% |
| 1944 | +13.0% |
| 1948 | +8.5% |
| 1952 | −9.8% |
| 1956 | −17.6% |
| 1960 | +19.5% |
| 1964 | +47.8% |
| 1968 | +26.4% |
| 1972 | +3.3% |
| 1976 | +19.1% |
| 1980 | +5.0% |
| 1984 | +1.0% |
| 1988 | +16.1% |
| 1992 | +21.1% |
| 1996 | +35.2% |
| 2000 | +24.7% |
| 2004 | +29.4% |
| 2008 | +33.2% |
| 2012 | +32.5% |
| 2016 | +24.4% |
| 2020 | +28.0% |
| 2024 | +20.8% |
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 197,859 | 128,158 | 335,572 | ||
| D | 219,340 | 120,800 | 352,128 | ||
| D | 192,435 | 110,839 | 334,491 | ||
| D | 208,050 | 104,216 | 319,778 | ||
| D | 206,242 | 101,513 | 315,819 | ||
| D | 190,940 | 103,298 | 298,442 | ||
| D | 156,591 | 88,936 | 274,085 | ||
| D | 166,622 | 71,355 | 270,290 | ||
| D | 141,151 | 79,006 | 294,163 | ||
| D | 156,476 | 112,678 | 271,458 | ||
| D | 136,084 | 133,324 | 270,446 | ||
| D | 119,810 | 106,173 | 270,197 | ||
| D | 159,960 | 107,064 | 276,546 | ||
| D | 135,485 | 126,781 | 264,050 | ||
| D | 150,114 | 84,398 | 248,948 | ||
| D | 182,249 | 64,028 | 247,488 | ||
| D | 159,010 | 107,082 | 266,935 | ||
| R | 105,436 | 150,829 | 257,367 | ||
| R | 116,912 | 142,271 | 259,947 | ||
| D | 121,852 | 102,506 | 227,926 | ||
| D | 118,895 | 91,452 | 210,869 | ||
| D | 116,772 | 94,290 | 212,239 | ||
| D | 104,900 | 79,056 | 194,807 | ||
| D | 81,769 | 81,313 | 170,246 | ||
| R | 80,593 | 84,497 | 166,197 | ||
| R | 26,205 | 71,757 | 113,246 | ||
| R | 27,003 | 69,846 | 99,370 | ||
| R | 24,284 | 28,308 | 54,159 | ||
| R | 15,754 | 18,541 | 47,361 | ||
| R | 14,159 | 24,671 | 43,656 | ||
| R | 13,333 | 25,888 | 41,655 | ||
| R | 14,690 | 24,244 | 40,495 | ||
| R | 9,505 | 28,169 | 39,395 | ||
| R | 17,792 | 20,770 | 39,952 | ||
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Demographics
Centered on the Connecticut River corridor, this western Massachusetts market blends dense, majority-minority urban electorates in Holyoke and Springfield with more competitive small-town and rural precincts, producing wide intra-market variation in turnout patterns.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of forty-eight points in 1964 and a Republican high of forty-seven points in 1896. Between 2020 and 2024 the market moved seven points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was twenty-one points.
A population of 695,787, a 71% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $75,328 describe the market.
Compare two places, side by side
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Springfield-Holyoke, Massachusetts. Akashic. https://akashic.app/dma/543/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.