Toledo, Ohio: Farm Belt market. In 2024, voted R+14%. Republican peak: R+35 in 1924.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+14MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Farm BeltAkashic typology
- Population
- 1,053,3722024 5-year
- Median household income
- $67,4092024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 80.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 8.9%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 7.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+26 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+35 in 1924MIT Election Lab
2024 presidential election
Toledo
TrumpR+14
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
| Donald Trump ✓Republican | 56.3% | 292,307 |
|---|---|---|
| Kamala HarrisDemocratic | 42.1% | 218,681 |
| OtherAll other candidates | 1.5% | 8,029 |
D+60R+60
12 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover any county for its result.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | +3.5% |
| 1896 | +2.9% |
| 1900 | +0.5% |
| 1904 | −22.8% |
| 1908 | +0.8% |
| 1912 | +24.9% |
| 1916 | +16.9% |
| 1920 | −25.7% |
| 1924 | −35.5% |
| 1928 | −34.1% |
| 1932 | +12.2% |
| 1936 | +8.2% |
| 1940 | −17.7% |
| 1944 | −20.6% |
| 1948 | −8.9% |
| 1952 | −22.6% |
| 1956 | −25.2% |
| 1960 | −14.4% |
| 1964 | +26.2% |
| 1968 | −5.2% |
| 1972 | −16.3% |
| 1976 | −0.1% |
| 1980 | −15.4% |
| 1984 | −21.9% |
| 1988 | −10.1% |
| 1992 | +3.9% |
| 1996 | +9.3% |
| 2000 | −2.4% |
| 2004 | −2.2% |
| 2008 | +11.3% |
| 2012 | +9.0% |
| 2016 | −8.8% |
| 2020 | −10.7% |
| 2024 | −14.2% |
DemocraticRepublican
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 218,681 | 292,307 | 519,017 | ||
| R | 230,855 | 287,143 | 527,213 | ||
| R | 212,194 | 256,708 | 508,151 | ||
| D | 275,021 | 228,374 | 517,709 | ||
| D | 293,654 | 233,122 | 536,925 | ||
| R | 258,515 | 269,948 | 530,928 | ||
| R | 214,535 | 225,661 | 454,453 | ||
| D | 212,232 | 171,572 | 436,219 | ||
| D | 194,509 | 176,085 | 478,248 | ||
| R | 188,600 | 231,445 | 423,771 | ||
| R | 171,458 | 268,955 | 444,380 | ||
| R | 160,695 | 226,224 | 426,145 | ||
| R | 198,919 | 199,155 | 407,294 | ||
| R | 161,877 | 226,814 | 399,118 | ||
| R | 163,208 | 183,170 | 381,644 | ||
| D | 243,369 | 142,255 | 385,684 | ||
| R | 175,153 | 234,110 | 409,338 | ||
| R | 142,478 | 238,272 | 380,824 | ||
| R | 147,761 | 234,147 | 382,025 | ||
| R | 136,028 | 162,829 | 301,685 | ||
| R | 129,464 | 196,748 | 326,323 | ||
| R | 141,304 | 201,920 | 343,295 | ||
| D | 154,013 | 128,760 | 309,789 | ||
| D | 155,537 | 120,879 | 283,585 | ||
| R | 90,555 | 185,133 | 277,049 | ||
| R | 51,097 | 133,441 | 232,076 | ||
| R | 80,462 | 138,939 | 227,277 | ||
| D | 78,492 | 55,101 | 138,814 | ||
| D | 52,352 | 22,767 | 118,817 | ||
| D | 63,050 | 61,962 | 131,434 | ||
| R | 43,649 | 71,304 | 121,103 | ||
| D | 62,978 | 62,302 | 128,010 | ||
| D | 64,967 | 61,303 | 127,708 | ||
| D | 51,208 | 47,534 | 104,535 | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
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Demographics
2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
29.1%
Irish
10.9%
English
10.4%
American
6.1%
Polish
5.3%
Italian
3.4%
French
2.7%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 39.9 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Median household income
Inflation-adjusted dollars
$67,409
Toledo ranks near the middle of US counties.
Toledo$67,409
Ohio$71,389
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
13.8%
Children face moderate poverty.
Children under 1818.0%
Working age (18–64)12.9%
Seniors (65+)10.2%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
94.9%
speak English only
Spanish2.6%
Other Indo-European1.1%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.7%
Other languages0.7%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 54.0% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
Toledo's media market spans northwest Ohio and reaches into southeast Michigan, blending industrial Rust Belt precincts with rural agricultural counties that together make statewide margins unusually sensitive to shifts here.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of twenty-six points in 1964 and a Republican high of thirty-five points in 1924. Between 2020 and 2024 the market moved four points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was fourteen points.
A population of 1,053,372, a 80% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $67,409 describe the market.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Toledo, Ohio. Akashic. https://akashic.app/dma/547/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Frequently asked questions
How did Toledo, Ohio vote in 2024?
In 2024, Toledo, Ohio voted Republican by 14.2 points (R+14), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 519,017 votes cast, 218,681 went Democratic and 292,307 went Republican.
What is Toledo, Ohio's political typology?
Akashic places Toledo, Ohio in the "Farm Belt" typology. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the market has voted Democratic 13 times, Republican 21 times, and other 0 times.
When did Toledo, Ohio last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Toledo, Ohio voted Democratic was 2012.
How many people live in Toledo, Ohio?
Toledo, Ohio has a population of 1,053,372 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Toledo, Ohio?
Median household income in Toledo, Ohio is $67,409 — below the national median of $80,734. The Ohio state median is $71,389.
What is the political history of Toledo, Ohio?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Toledo, Ohio from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 13 went Democratic and 21 went Republican. The market's typology — "Farm Belt" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.