West Palm Beach-Ft. Pierce, Florida: Florida Surge market. In 2024, voted R+7%. Democratic peak: D+60 in 1912.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+7MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Florida SurgeAkashic typology
- Population
- 2,264,2342024 5-year
- Median household income
- $80,4002024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 57.6%2024 5-year
- Black
- 17.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 22.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+60 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+48 in 1972MIT Election Lab
| Donald Trump ✓Republican | 53.0% | 606,129 |
|---|---|---|
| Kamala HarrisDemocratic | 46.2% | 528,551 |
| OtherAll other candidates | 0.8% | 9,003 |
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | No data |
| 1896 | No data |
| 1900 | No data |
| 1904 | No data |
| 1908 | +50.0% |
| 1912 | +59.6% |
| 1916 | +40.6% |
| 1920 | +3.8% |
| 1924 | +2.6% |
| 1928 | −26.8% |
| 1932 | +39.6% |
| 1936 | +40.7% |
| 1940 | +27.2% |
| 1944 | +24.0% |
| 1948 | −3.5% |
| 1952 | −31.9% |
| 1956 | −39.9% |
| 1960 | −18.2% |
| 1964 | −5.6% |
| 1968 | −23.6% |
| 1972 | −47.7% |
| 1976 | −1.2% |
| 1980 | −23.0% |
| 1984 | −29.2% |
| 1988 | −19.0% |
| 1992 | +5.2% |
| 1996 | +15.8% |
| 2000 | +16.9% |
| 2004 | +11.9% |
| 2008 | +14.5% |
| 2012 | +8.5% |
| 2016 | +5.2% |
| 2020 | +3.8% |
| 2024 | −6.8% |
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 528,551 | 606,129 | 1,143,683 | ||
| D | 596,836 | 553,052 | 1,157,491 | ||
| D | 504,741 | 453,871 | 982,633 | ||
| D | 477,975 | 402,561 | 886,409 | ||
| D | 496,722 | 370,429 | 872,750 | ||
| D | 439,839 | 345,558 | 790,742 | ||
| D | 362,293 | 255,337 | 632,709 | ||
| D | 308,912 | 217,364 | 579,829 | ||
| D | 242,325 | 211,988 | 580,000 | ||
| R | 186,591 | 274,459 | 463,503 | ||
| R | 149,071 | 272,076 | 421,192 | ||
| R | 121,412 | 200,637 | 343,841 | ||
| R | 129,572 | 132,836 | 267,101 | ||
| R | 52,301 | 148,546 | 201,728 | ||
| R | 44,370 | 82,031 | 159,802 | ||
| R | 61,343 | 68,617 | 129,960 | ||
| R | 41,990 | 60,679 | 102,669 | ||
| R | 20,973 | 48,812 | 69,785 | ||
| R | 20,226 | 39,164 | 59,390 | ||
| R | 13,766 | 14,946 | 34,165 | ||
| D | 16,227 | 9,956 | 26,183 | ||
| D | 17,380 | 9,955 | 27,335 | ||
| D | 14,284 | 6,020 | 20,304 | ||
| D | 12,271 | 5,311 | 17,582 | ||
| R | 4,811 | 8,488 | 13,695 | ||
| D | 2,447 | 2,307 | 5,431 | ||
| D | 2,892 | 2,657 | 6,247 | ||
| D | 1,428 | 445 | 2,423 | ||
| D | 810 | 76 | 1,231 | ||
| D | 280 | 63 | 434 | ||
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Demographics
This South Florida market blends the affluent retirement communities of Palm Beach County with the heavily Hispanic farmworker populations of the Treasure Coast, producing a demographic mix that routinely complicates straight-line polling models.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of sixty points in 1912 and a Republican high of forty-eight points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the market moved eleven points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was seven points.
A population of 2,264,234, a 58% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $80,400 describe the market.
Compare two places, side by side
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West Palm Beach-Ft. Pierce, Florida. Akashic. https://akashic.app/dma/548/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.