akashic
1876–2024
Columbia-Jefferson City·Missouri

Columbia-Jefferson City has voted Republican in eight straight presidential elections — R+27 in 2024.

Missouri's capital corridor anchors a mid-state swing zone

18762024·38 elections
MO
LatestR+27in 2024
TypologyStable Rural Rightcluster typology
Population488,6162024 ACS

Columbia-Jefferson City, Missouri: Stable Rural Right market. In 2024, voted R+27%. Democratic peak: D+40 in 1932.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+27MIT Election Lab
Political typology
Stable Rural RightAkashic typology
Population
488,6162024 5-year
Median household income
$69,1352024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
83.8%2024 5-year
Black
6.6%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
3.5%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+40 in 1932MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+32 in 1972MIT Election Lab
Columbia-Jefferson City
TrumpR+27
2024 presidential margin by county for Columbia-Jefferson City, MOA map of the constituent counties of Columbia-Jefferson City, MO, each outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic).Howard County, MO · R+44Maries County, MO · R+68Moniteau County, MO · R+63Audrain County, MO · R+48Cooper County, MO · R+46Montgomery County, MO · R+60Osage County, MO · R+73Cole County, MO · R+34Randolph County, MO · R+52Miller County, MO · R+67Chariton County, MO · R+56Callaway County, MO · R+43Morgan County, MO · R+60Boone County, MO · D+10
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Donald TrumpRepublican62.7%150,540
Kamala HarrisDemocratic35.5%85,302
OtherAll other candidates1.7%4,153
D+60
R+60
14 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover any county for its result.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1876 to 2024. Most recent: −27.2% in 2024.flipped R · 1996−27.2%DR18762024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
1876No data
1880No data
1884No data
1888No data
1892+21.7%
1896+24.7%
1900+21.4%
1904+14.7%
1908+17.1%
1912+26.4%
1916+18.2%
1920+5.6%
1924+14.4%
1928+4.6%
1932+39.9%
1936+26.3%
1940+14.5%
1944+10.3%
1948+23.4%
1952+0.5%
1956+1.9%
1960+0.8%
1964+18.0%
1968−11.8%
1972−32.5%
1976−3.4%
1980−11.5%
1984−29.4%
1988−11.8%
1992+2.6%
1996−1.0%
2000−12.5%
2004−20.4%
2008−11.2%
2012−21.4%
2016−27.6%
2020−25.0%
2024−27.2%
DemocraticRepublican
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−27.2%
85,302150,540239,995
R
−25.0%
86,724146,377238,839
R
−27.6%
73,649135,170222,753
R
−21.4%
81,573127,318213,980
R
−11.2%
98,905124,254226,649
R
−20.4%
83,431126,460211,318
R
−12.5%
76,75799,362180,956
R
−1.0%
71,85973,559163,792
D
+2.6%
72,27767,550179,174
R
−11.8%
68,24086,549155,192
R
−29.4%
56,239103,135159,374
R
−11.5%
63,52681,037151,618
R
−3.4%
65,10169,719136,297
R
−32.5%
44,42187,196131,617
R
−11.8%
48,22262,689122,456
D
+18.0%
70,65649,137119,793
D
+0.8%
63,19862,244125,442
D
+1.9%
60,82158,495119,316
D
+0.5%
61,71461,089122,984
D
+23.4%
66,46641,191107,959
D
+10.3%
61,29649,789111,281
D
+14.5%
74,37455,551130,168
D
+26.3%
78,52245,753124,780
D
+39.9%
80,84034,531116,044
D
+4.6%
57,46152,416110,069
D
+14.4%
59,69844,169107,959
D
+5.6%
57,61651,486109,857
D
+18.2%
38,71726,68266,084
D
+26.4%
35,16919,13860,774
D
+17.1%
37,09126,14864,034
D
+14.7%
33,78624,94260,042
D
+21.4%
37,87524,28763,370
D
+24.7%
40,90924,60065,974
D
+21.7%
32,83020,57156,554
No data
No data
No data
No data

Demographics

2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
25.5%
English
13.1%
Irish
10.9%
American
7.7%
Italian
2.3%
Scottish
2.0%
French
1.9%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
94.3%
speak English only
Spanish1.9%
Other Indo-European1.8%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.5%
Other languages0.5%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Baptist
12.5%
Catholic & Orthodox
11.5%
Other Christian
8.8%
Mainline Protestant
5.5%
Methodist
3.6%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.6%
Non-Christian
0.9%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 55.5% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

The Columbia-Jefferson City market pairs a major university town with the state capital, producing an unusually wide ideological range for a market its size — college precincts and government-worker suburbs pull in opposite directions.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of forty points in 1932 and a Republican high of thirty-two points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the market moved two points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was twenty-seven points.

A population of 488,616, a 84% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $69,135 describe the market.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Columbia-Jefferson City, Missouri. Akashic. https://akashic.app/dma/604/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Columbia-Jefferson City, Missouri vote in 2024?
In 2024, Columbia-Jefferson City, Missouri voted Republican by 27.2 points (R+27), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 239,995 votes cast, 85,302 went Democratic and 150,540 went Republican.
What is Columbia-Jefferson City, Missouri's political typology?
Akashic places Columbia-Jefferson City, Missouri in the "Stable Rural Right" typology. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the market has voted Democratic 20 times, Republican 14 times, and other 0 times.
When did Columbia-Jefferson City, Missouri last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Columbia-Jefferson City, Missouri voted Democratic was 1992.
How many people live in Columbia-Jefferson City, Missouri?
Columbia-Jefferson City, Missouri has a population of 488,616 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Columbia-Jefferson City, Missouri?
Median household income in Columbia-Jefferson City, Missouri is $69,135 — below the national median of $80,734. The Missouri state median is $70,702.
What is the political history of Columbia-Jefferson City, Missouri?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Columbia-Jefferson City, Missouri from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 20 went Democratic and 14 went Republican. The market's typology — "Stable Rural Right" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.