Columbia-Jefferson City, Missouri: Stable Rural Right market. In 2024, voted R+27%. Democratic peak: D+40 in 1932.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+27MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Stable Rural RightAkashic typology
- Population
- 488,6162024 5-year
- Median household income
- $69,1352024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 83.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 6.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+40 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+32 in 1972MIT Election Lab
| Donald Trump ✓Republican | 62.7% | 150,540 |
|---|---|---|
| Kamala HarrisDemocratic | 35.5% | 85,302 |
| OtherAll other candidates | 1.7% | 4,153 |
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | +21.7% |
| 1896 | +24.7% |
| 1900 | +21.4% |
| 1904 | +14.7% |
| 1908 | +17.1% |
| 1912 | +26.4% |
| 1916 | +18.2% |
| 1920 | +5.6% |
| 1924 | +14.4% |
| 1928 | +4.6% |
| 1932 | +39.9% |
| 1936 | +26.3% |
| 1940 | +14.5% |
| 1944 | +10.3% |
| 1948 | +23.4% |
| 1952 | +0.5% |
| 1956 | +1.9% |
| 1960 | +0.8% |
| 1964 | +18.0% |
| 1968 | −11.8% |
| 1972 | −32.5% |
| 1976 | −3.4% |
| 1980 | −11.5% |
| 1984 | −29.4% |
| 1988 | −11.8% |
| 1992 | +2.6% |
| 1996 | −1.0% |
| 2000 | −12.5% |
| 2004 | −20.4% |
| 2008 | −11.2% |
| 2012 | −21.4% |
| 2016 | −27.6% |
| 2020 | −25.0% |
| 2024 | −27.2% |
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 85,302 | 150,540 | 239,995 | ||
| R | 86,724 | 146,377 | 238,839 | ||
| R | 73,649 | 135,170 | 222,753 | ||
| R | 81,573 | 127,318 | 213,980 | ||
| R | 98,905 | 124,254 | 226,649 | ||
| R | 83,431 | 126,460 | 211,318 | ||
| R | 76,757 | 99,362 | 180,956 | ||
| R | 71,859 | 73,559 | 163,792 | ||
| D | 72,277 | 67,550 | 179,174 | ||
| R | 68,240 | 86,549 | 155,192 | ||
| R | 56,239 | 103,135 | 159,374 | ||
| R | 63,526 | 81,037 | 151,618 | ||
| R | 65,101 | 69,719 | 136,297 | ||
| R | 44,421 | 87,196 | 131,617 | ||
| R | 48,222 | 62,689 | 122,456 | ||
| D | 70,656 | 49,137 | 119,793 | ||
| D | 63,198 | 62,244 | 125,442 | ||
| D | 60,821 | 58,495 | 119,316 | ||
| D | 61,714 | 61,089 | 122,984 | ||
| D | 66,466 | 41,191 | 107,959 | ||
| D | 61,296 | 49,789 | 111,281 | ||
| D | 74,374 | 55,551 | 130,168 | ||
| D | 78,522 | 45,753 | 124,780 | ||
| D | 80,840 | 34,531 | 116,044 | ||
| D | 57,461 | 52,416 | 110,069 | ||
| D | 59,698 | 44,169 | 107,959 | ||
| D | 57,616 | 51,486 | 109,857 | ||
| D | 38,717 | 26,682 | 66,084 | ||
| D | 35,169 | 19,138 | 60,774 | ||
| D | 37,091 | 26,148 | 64,034 | ||
| D | 33,786 | 24,942 | 60,042 | ||
| D | 37,875 | 24,287 | 63,370 | ||
| D | 40,909 | 24,600 | 65,974 | ||
| D | 32,830 | 20,571 | 56,554 | ||
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Demographics
The Columbia-Jefferson City market pairs a major university town with the state capital, producing an unusually wide ideological range for a market its size — college precincts and government-worker suburbs pull in opposite directions.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of forty points in 1932 and a Republican high of thirty-two points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the market moved two points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was twenty-seven points.
A population of 488,616, a 84% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $69,135 describe the market.
Compare two places, side by side
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Columbia-Jefferson City, Missouri. Akashic. https://akashic.app/dma/604/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.