St. Louis, Missouri: Industrial Catholic Metro market. In 2024, voted R+5%. Democratic peak: D+34 in 1964.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+5MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Industrial Catholic MetroAkashic typology
- Population
- 3,190,4712024 5-year
- Median household income
- $79,1362024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 73.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 15.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.8%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+34 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+22 in 1920MIT Election Lab
| Donald Trump ✓Republican | 51.7% | 822,103 |
|---|---|---|
| Kamala HarrisDemocratic | 46.4% | 738,597 |
| OtherAll other candidates | 1.9% | 29,910 |
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | +3.9% |
| 1896 | −4.8% |
| 1900 | +0.1% |
| 1904 | −9.3% |
| 1908 | −7.3% |
| 1912 | +10.2% |
| 1916 | −3.5% |
| 1920 | −21.9% |
| 1924 | −14.6% |
| 1928 | −2.1% |
| 1932 | +27.9% |
| 1936 | +24.1% |
| 1940 | +7.0% |
| 1944 | +7.9% |
| 1948 | +16.1% |
| 1952 | +7.3% |
| 1956 | +4.5% |
| 1960 | +11.4% |
| 1964 | +34.1% |
| 1968 | +6.0% |
| 1972 | −14.0% |
| 1976 | +4.2% |
| 1980 | −6.4% |
| 1984 | −15.7% |
| 1988 | +1.0% |
| 1992 | +16.4% |
| 1996 | +13.0% |
| 2000 | +6.1% |
| 2004 | +5.3% |
| 2008 | +13.6% |
| 2012 | +3.6% |
| 2016 | −5.9% |
| 2020 | −2.6% |
| 2024 | −5.2% |
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 738,597 | 822,103 | 1,590,610 | ||
| R | 784,154 | 827,367 | 1,645,218 | ||
| R | 684,873 | 776,308 | 1,552,449 | ||
| D | 772,095 | 717,046 | 1,520,136 | ||
| D | 902,176 | 684,480 | 1,605,593 | ||
| D | 787,469 | 707,133 | 1,503,304 | ||
| D | 682,398 | 602,531 | 1,317,340 | ||
| D | 621,155 | 463,136 | 1,213,748 | ||
| D | 656,869 | 430,928 | 1,376,313 | ||
| D | 615,646 | 603,289 | 1,223,557 | ||
| R | 524,516 | 720,559 | 1,246,676 | ||
| R | 546,654 | 626,141 | 1,233,209 | ||
| D | 607,497 | 558,194 | 1,183,586 | ||
| R | 485,197 | 643,969 | 1,130,937 | ||
| D | 524,108 | 457,639 | 1,109,644 | ||
| D | 742,136 | 364,376 | 1,106,512 | ||
| D | 635,892 | 505,361 | 1,141,886 | ||
| D | 556,194 | 508,343 | 1,065,056 | ||
| D | 574,175 | 495,749 | 1,071,510 | ||
| D | 502,950 | 362,447 | 871,643 | ||
| D | 465,982 | 397,393 | 866,616 | ||
| D | 527,304 | 458,091 | 989,614 | ||
| D | 565,993 | 340,943 | 931,935 | ||
| D | 521,014 | 289,379 | 831,191 | ||
| R | 371,396 | 387,177 | 762,642 | ||
| R | 218,718 | 308,326 | 612,758 | ||
| R | 214,198 | 345,363 | 598,564 | ||
| R | 209,091 | 224,630 | 447,495 | ||
| D | 136,156 | 104,040 | 315,812 | ||
| R | 144,901 | 168,971 | 328,381 | ||
| R | 119,303 | 145,323 | 280,671 | ||
| D | 143,896 | 143,587 | 295,020 | ||
| R | 132,455 | 145,897 | 281,387 | ||
| D | 105,970 | 97,587 | 212,283 | ||
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Demographics
The St. Louis media market straddles the Missouri-Illinois border, blending a heavily Democratic city center with competitive suburban counties that have shifted markedly in both directions over the past three federal election cycles.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of thirty-four points in 1964 and a Republican high of twenty-two points in 1920. Between 2020 and 2024 the market moved three points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was five points.
A population of 3,190,471, a 74% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $79,136 describe the market.
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St. Louis, Missouri. Akashic. https://akashic.app/dma/609/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.